Outlandish-Number — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

6,753

Trades

10,666

lifetime

Volume

$56.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-13 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 277 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$222

Other

0% 100% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	2	$172	147	147	+0	Yes	+$72	07-07 21:50
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:15 UTC	1	$108	3,852	0	+3,852	Down	-$108	03-09 11:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:15 UTC	8	$100	103	110	-7	Up	+$10	03-02 15:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 15:15 UTC	4	$86	162	0	+162	Up	+$76	03-11 15:14
bitcoin up or down february 15 5am et	3	$80	53	53	+0	Up	+$26	02-15 11:41
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 09:30 UTC	13	$76	74	84	-10	Up	-$9	03-06 09:39
bitcoin up or down february 22 12pm et	3	$59	39	39	+0	Down	+$19	02-22 17:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 15:00 UTC	11	$54	170	0	+170	Down	-$54	03-11 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:30 UTC	2	$52	17	47	-30	Up	+$3	02-12 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	5	$48	89	0	+89	Down	-$48	03-18 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 09:00 UTC	4	$47	20	37	-18	Up	+$9	03-03 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 17:30 UTC	9	$47	94	0	+94	Down	-$47	03-02 17:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	8	$45	45	44	+1	Down	+$9	02-05 20:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 18:00 UTC	3	$45	85	0	+85	Down	+$40	03-20 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 14:30 UTC	5	$43	84	0	+84	Up	-$33	04-17 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:30 UTC	4	$43	30	29	+0	Up	+$14	02-09 03:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 10:30 UTC	3	$43	79	0	+79	Down	-$43	02-16 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:00 UTC	4	$42	30	29	+0	Up	+$13	02-09 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 19:00 UTC	3	$40	74	0	+74	Up	+$34	03-18 18:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 10:45 UTC	4	$40	74	0	+74	Down	-$40	03-18 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 11:45 UTC	3	$40	74	0	+74	Down	-$40	03-19 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:15 UTC	4	$37	32	31	+0	Up	+$8	02-07 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$37	88	0	+88	Up	+$51	05-19 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:30 UTC	2	$36	32	32	+1	Up	+$4	02-16 22:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:30 UTC	8	$35	64	0	+64	Down	-$35	02-22 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 08:30 UTC	2	$35	66	0	+66	Up	-$35	02-16 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:15 UTC	3	$35	69	0	+69	Up	+$24	03-02 14:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 14:15 UTC	4	$35	67	0	+67	Up	+$32	03-14 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 23:30 UTC	2	$35	68	0	+68	Down	-$35	02-14 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC	3	$34	66	0	+66	Down	+$32	04-24 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 12:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf14b70…
11-13 03:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x6e704b…
11-13 03:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xebbf4e…
11-13 02:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x14302c…
11-13 02:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x694c7c…
11-12 23:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf1bcaa…
11-12 22:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe14c81…
11-12 14:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x57e4ca…
11-12 14:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x71b996…
11-12 14:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xc29109…
11-12 13:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xdc0f45…
11-12 11:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x432d46…
11-11 14:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x47828e…
11-11 14:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x54d3a7…
11-11 12:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x8aee73…
11-11 12:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf3a25a…
11-11 07:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5d2780…
11-11 07:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x1cf90a…
11-11 04:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1675ea…
11-11 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe2cd9e…
11-11 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x74acea…
11-10 22:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd3a316…
11-10 22:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11421c…
11-10 13:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5eccb2…
11-10 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x80d9db…
11-10 10:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x639b65…
11-10 06:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9cd3dd…
11-10 06:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0d6cb4…
11-09 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe6c919…
11-09 12:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x63bd09…
11-09 06:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5ce4e6…
11-09 06:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x30217f…
11-09 05:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x14561e…
11-09 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0a16c4…
11-09 03:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x87d528…
11-08 23:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x954176…
11-08 13:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x80b04c…
11-08 13:14:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xec3322…
11-06 12:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb6fe94…
11-06 11:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e639f…
11-05 22:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x775d3d…
11-05 22:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1756fb…
11-05 22:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xc6faec…
11-05 22:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x43a871…
11-05 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x80bf31…
11-05 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x8f1c35…
11-05 10:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5fc31e…
11-04 22:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf82407…
11-04 22:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x557cdc…
11-04 22:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf367d5…
11-04 19:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb13493…
11-04 15:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa468bc…
11-04 14:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xed8e56…
11-04 02:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb21e72…
11-03 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x446623…
11-03 12:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf9e8cf…
11-03 12:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xa15c6b…
11-03 09:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x61bc5a…
11-03 08:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xc0b021…
11-03 05:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x55fd39…
11-02 23:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7efd68…
11-02 17:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x1d661e…
11-02 05:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5c7150…
11-01 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x8b5975…
10-31 21:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x82768e…
10-31 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x240bb0…
10-31 01:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5c52e4…
10-30 09:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x38a732…
10-29 23:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xde4cb1…
10-29 20:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xf4f5c3…
10-29 20:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xbbfcad…
10-29 20:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x87f506…
10-29 17:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x22ff5f…
10-29 17:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x98b30e…
10-29 05:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x398c7e…
10-29 01:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x51a4a3…
10-28 12:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x31d606…
10-28 12:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf1d6ee…
10-28 01:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x95c304…
10-27 20:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd9ec6d…
10-27 12:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xaff45d…
10-27 12:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x9297b9…
10-27 10:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x85fde0…
10-27 10:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x70c1ca…
10-27 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x992890…
10-27 01:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x86a536…
10-27 00:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7831a2…
10-26 21:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x49fa98…
10-26 09:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x4bc2f4…
10-26 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x9305fd…
10-26 04:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe5e282…
10-26 04:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3eef6b…
10-26 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xce1f8d…
10-26 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x539c34…
10-25 19:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x5a4f81…
10-25 17:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf8e041…
10-25 16:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe128b9…
10-25 14:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5b5407…
10-25 13:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8956a9…
10-25 13:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x3ef971…