Enormous-Escape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$40

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 48% +$8

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No		+29	$5	12¢	$4	$-1	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down		+4	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-05 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Up	$-0	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-04 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-05 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-04 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Up	$-0	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$2	05-05 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x644519…
05-05 17:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcb6c91…
05-05 16:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x03e604…
05-05 05:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x90bf8d…
05-05 04:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5993a8…
05-05 04:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x461a29…
05-05 04:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x46dc66…
05-05 04:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3c8775…
05-05 04:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8e1a02…
05-05 03:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb45695…
05-05 03:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5190c3…
05-05 02:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb33f7a…
05-05 02:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc024c0…
05-05 02:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb74fc3…
05-05 02:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9bd385…
05-05 02:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x77003d…
05-05 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x91706d…
05-05 01:04:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x41b8bb…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x32b1e7…
05-04 23:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd02a69…
05-04 23:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3d1064…
05-04 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe0d530…
05-04 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5cd1b7…
05-04 22:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7c0916…
05-04 22:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x475976…
05-04 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9fab0b…
05-04 21:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb5cfc1…
05-04 20:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x372a79…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	25	$4.40K	138	05-05 18:14
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	18	$609	50	05-05 17:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	17	$1.64K	42	05-05 18:12
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	16	$755	59	05-05 17:39
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	16	$578	48	05-05 17:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	15	$2.35K	30	05-05 18:13
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$808	65	05-05 17:39
Humble-Outcome 0x9a1d…86d6	15	$571	35	05-05 18:12