Realized P&L
+$244
Unrealized P&L
-$261
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
102
Trades
2,211
lifetime
Volume
$21.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.44K
20 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 10-09 11:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
81% 39% +$868
Sports
11% 38% -$625
Pop-Culture
5% 50% +$11
Tech
2% 0% -$6
Crypto
0% — —
Politics
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 292 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +22,870 $709 2¢ $492 -$218 10-05 08:38
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +445 $328 87¢ $388 +$60 10-03 04:07
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,048 $231 18¢ $183 -$47 10-09 08:41
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +412 $137 24¢ $99 -$38 10-01 22:38
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +100 $79 88¢ $88 +$10 09-28 08:27
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $35 95¢ $48 +$13 08-11 08:49
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +152 $12 16¢ $24 +$12 10-01 15:53
Discord IPO before 2027? No +20 $14 94¢ $19 +$5 08-21 09:50
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +120 $32 15¢ $18 -$14 10-01 15:17
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $28 2¢ $18 -$10 10-09 11:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15 $13 87¢ $13 $0 09-07 13:07
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +180 $32 6¢ $11 -$21 09-30 08:29
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 08-18 13:10
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +20 $12 44¢ $9 -$3 09-25 11:12
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 09-21 13:43
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +10 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 09-26 19:18
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +50 $13 6¢ $3 -$10 08-17 09:56
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +300 $5 1¢ $3 -$3 10-05 15:27
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-02 14:29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +10 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 08-18 13:10