Sniveling-Scimitar-Runaway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$164

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.2%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-31 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

60% 6% -$116

Politics

33% 0% -$21

Crypto

5% 50% -$15

Tech

3% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	4	$142	141	141	+0	No	-$1	07-20 15:32
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	6	$131	175	175	+0	Yes	-$2	07-20 13:59
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	6	$124	149	149	+0	Yes	-$3	07-20 08:11
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	2	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	10-31 16:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	3	$97	71	71	+0	open	—	10-31 18:58
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 9 2026 1159 pm et	4	$92	68	68	-0	Yes	-$6	09-06 00:59
will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	8	$71	81	81	+0	No	-$7	07-31 02:21
Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	10	$69	96	96	+0	open	—	10-30 08:24
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	2	$56	41	41	+0	open	—	09-14 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?	4	$56	43	43	+0	No	-$2	09-22 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?	4	$51	35	35	+0	Yes	-$7	09-24 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	5	$49	40	40	-0	Yes	-$7	09-23 15:59
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$47	43	43	+0	open	—	10-31 16:15
will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	4	$47	52	52	+0	open	—	07-31 02:21
will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	3	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	09-08 23:37
amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	2	$39	34	34	+0	No	-$21	09-15 00:35
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	4	$34	51	51	+0	Yes	-$3	09-07 06:00
will texas am have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194043237	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	08-14 03:12
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	1	$24	74	0	+74	open	—	10-31 22:09
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 24 2026?	3	$22	23	23	+0	No	+$1	08-25 17:53
will lacy or marlon die to a skeleton again	4	$21	53	53	+0	No	-$18	09-06 05:52
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?	3	$19	40	40	+0	No	-$13	09-06 02:03
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	4	$19	38	38	+0	No	-$10	07-31 02:21
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	3	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	08-29 17:57
lol tes lgd 2026 08 13	2	$16	32	0	+32	LGD Gaming	-$16	08-13 11:46
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	3	$15	27	27	+0	open	—	10-31 09:37
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$14	25	25	+0	open	—	09-14 03:18
Will "The Fix" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	-$1	09-09 16:14
will the next gpt luna model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	3	$14	39	39	+0	No	-$2	09-22 05:46
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	2	$12	63	0	+63	open	—	10-31 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:22:27	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xfb3318…
10-31 23:22:27	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0xa43d5c…
10-31 22:09:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	74	32¢	$24	0x1797f6…
10-31 18:58:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0xe22a00…
10-31 18:58:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	37	66¢	$24	0x2dc507…
10-31 18:23:01	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xea1627…
10-31 16:44:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xb00b78…
10-31 16:15:07	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x869051…
10-31 14:59:37	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0x7c6c0a…
10-31 13:02:16	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5ebe08…
10-31 09:37:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Yes	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xa1b4dc…
10-31 09:37:36	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xb89d92…
10-30 10:43:48	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xf562cd…
10-30 08:24:51	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	58	12¢	$7	0xdc3cff…
10-29 22:57:03	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xd90d84…
10-29 22:57:01	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xa58a12…
10-29 22:57:00	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xb13c20…
10-29 22:57:00	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x14c223…
10-29 22:56:58	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x4b52d6…
10-29 22:35:07	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0xc4adb4…
10-29 22:19:51	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0xd8b7da…
10-29 22:19:51	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x79d2e9…
10-29 22:19:51	Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x58e60d…
09-24 03:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xe2790e…
09-24 03:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x6a9803…
09-24 03:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x2b7461…
09-24 03:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xf78b92…
09-23 15:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x5d32ec…
09-23 15:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x318ebc…
09-23 15:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xe0e638…
09-23 15:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$11	0x7a2119…
09-23 15:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xd7ee76…
09-22 16:42:01	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x0fc3e1…
09-22 16:34:39	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x202add…
09-22 09:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?	No	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0x25d6d2…
09-22 09:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xa581f5…
09-22 09:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0333f8…
09-22 09:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?	No	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0x715876…
09-22 05:46:57	will the next gpt luna model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xae788c…
09-22 05:45:06	will the next gpt luna model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0xacc102…
09-22 05:44:42	will the next gpt luna model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1460 by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0xf8b499…
09-22 00:49:30	will the next claude opus model be released by september 23 2026	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x0f4b9c…
09-22 00:42:25	will the next claude opus model be released by september 23 2026	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf5f577…
09-22 00:42:25	will the next claude opus model be released by september 23 2026	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x4cd6db…
09-15 00:35:25	amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0x0f068f…
09-15 00:20:18	amazon matches anthropics evaluator commitment by october 31	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7fd5b2…
09-14 16:41:43	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	SELL	41	65¢	$26	0xf3a649…
09-14 16:29:43	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x895596…
09-14 03:18:43	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x3e9c98…
09-14 03:12:43	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x6f5e03…
09-09 16:14:43	Will "The Fix" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xd9e039…
09-09 13:27:51	Will "The Fix" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x9fcaa5…
09-08 23:37:24	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xb9065a…
09-08 23:36:03	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xfd5ffb…
09-08 23:35:48	will an ai lab announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x22ec53…
09-07 18:21:51	trump renames new mexico to new america by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x8f35ed…
09-07 18:21:37	trump renames new mexico to new america by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc708ee…
09-07 18:21:37	trump renames new mexico to new america by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x27f642…
09-07 06:00:22	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	No	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0x1001e5…
09-07 05:59:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x286b91…
09-07 05:58:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	No	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x36c6e6…
09-07 05:58:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0x0dcddc…
09-06 05:52:12	will lacy or marlon die to a skeleton again	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xf36881…
09-06 05:51:09	will lacy or marlon die to a skeleton again	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0xe23f9d…
09-06 05:50:01	will lacy or marlon die to a skeleton again	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xfb3d28…
09-06 05:49:45	will lacy or marlon die to a skeleton again	Yes	BUY	53	37¢	$20	0x8149c4…
09-06 02:03:40	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xadd2e0…
09-06 02:01:46	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8ada25…
09-06 02:01:36	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x9c0a65…
09-06 00:59:51	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 9 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x8efff3…
09-06 00:58:46	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 9 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	SELL	36	62¢	$22	0x389acc…
09-06 00:57:07	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 9 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x2f0075…
09-06 00:56:52	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 9 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	BUY	68	71¢	$49	0xe8a765…
09-05 01:09:48	will the first announced price of the foldable iphone be at least 2200	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6e71b5…
09-05 01:08:28	will the first announced price of the foldable iphone be at least 2200	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x3dd63d…
09-01 21:14:42	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfcff50…
09-01 21:14:19	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfb727f…
08-29 19:27:52	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x1f84ff…
08-29 18:29:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x82d715…
08-29 17:57:22	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xa22f8b…
08-29 17:51:33	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 30 2026	No	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x1b50c2…
08-29 17:50:27	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	No	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x3811ca…
08-28 09:07:45	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 30 2026	No	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xb7933f…
08-27 18:55:36	will zptais glm 5pt3 flash model debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x85ed35…
08-27 18:27:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xd4d0f5…
08-27 18:27:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x051d6d…
08-27 18:21:12	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	No	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x47351d…
08-25 22:59:12	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xa4ad4e…
08-25 22:59:12	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$13	0x74c305…
08-25 17:53:34	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x874685…
08-25 17:21:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xddf92f…
08-24 15:49:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xbd5b7b…
08-14 03:12:03	will texas am have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194043237	Yes	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0xbde7f6…
08-13 11:46:27	lol tes lgd 2026 08 13	Top Esports	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xa2d9c6…
08-13 11:08:54	lol tes lgd 2026 08 13	Top Esports	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8aebd6…
08-13 10:38:30	will texas am have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194043237	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xa95f7d…
07-31 02:21:57	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x1f1c07…
07-31 02:21:44	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x9cc365…
07-31 02:21:24	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	Yes	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0xff02e7…
07-30 07:17:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x26e3c9…