Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
24
Trades
96
lifetime
Volume
$295
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$64
11 positions
First seen
2026-10-16
last 10-27 23:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
46% 70% +$1
Politics
27% 100% +$1
Sports
25% 43% -$39
Crypto
2% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +38 $24 66¢ $25 +$1 10-21 09:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +17 $16 96¢ $16 +$0 10-27 23:32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 10-17 18:11
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 10-19 09:12
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 80¢ $4 $0 10-19 13:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-23 14:25
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 $0 10-27 16:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 10-27 07:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-25 01:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-27 09:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-27 13:03