Shoddy-Urn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$387

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

480

Trades

1,114

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-17 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

73% 68% -$271

Crypto

25% 66% -$84

Politics

1% 89% -$11

Sports

1% 44% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	4	$491	356	356	+0	Up	+$71	05-21 20:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$339	300	300	+0	No	-$27	05-31 10:15
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 28?	1	$260	263	0	+263	Up	+$3	05-28 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	2	$233	229	229	+0	Yes	+$33	05-22 10:50
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$200	308	0	+308	Up	+$108	05-29 09:46
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 27?	1	$200	253	0	+253	Yes	+$53	05-26 16:38
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?	1	$200	223	0	+223	Yes	+$23	05-28 12:38
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	4	$194	122	122	+0	Tundra Esports	+$22	05-20 13:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$166	135	135	+0	Up	-$34	05-20 10:29
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group A	10	$150	131	131	+0	Misa Esports	+$24	05-20 13:38
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage	2	$128	78	78	+0	ex-RUBY	+$28	05-20 18:26
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$125	150	0	+150	Down	-$17	05-18 09:44
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	2	$112	62	62	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$12	06-02 15:38
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Play-In	1	$100	273	0	+273	Inner Circle Esports	-$100	05-22 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$100	128	0	+128	Up	+$28	05-20 10:22
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 22?	1	$100	112	0	+112	Up	+$12	05-22 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 21?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$3	05-21 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22?	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-22 08:21
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	2	$82	43	43	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$2	06-03 10:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20?	2	$77	50	50	+0	Yes	-$16	05-20 14:33
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 18?	2	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	-$16	05-18 15:33
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 22?	1	$70	95	0	+95	No	-$70	05-22 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$67	38	38	+0	Up	+$7	06-03 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$67	43	43	+0	Down	+$7	06-03 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$66	47	47	+0	Down	+$6	06-03 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$65	37	37	+0	Up	+$5	06-03 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$64	34	34	+0	Down	+$4	06-03 14:00
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A	2	$63	33	33	+0	GenOne	+$3	06-01 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 22?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-22 09:26
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	-$29	05-20 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 08:53:01	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x7c092e…
06-16 07:26:15	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x423d4b…
06-15 07:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 15?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x4f5dbf…
06-15 07:01:27	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xb595f6…
06-15 02:50:06	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9234f1…
06-15 02:44:22	Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assists	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6e89bf…
06-15 01:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xff4f83…
06-14 23:04:25	Ousmane Diomandé: 1+ assists	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb7c778…
06-14 23:01:19	mlb det cle 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Detroit Tigers	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbd0894…
06-14 21:55:15	CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6007da…
06-14 21:55:12	CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2bd13e…
06-14 21:18:39	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf9dc18…
06-14 20:31:24	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 assists ousmane diomande gte1	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0edd57…
06-14 20:14:45	Overwatch: Twisted Minds vs Telacy (BO3) - OCS EMEA Stage 2 Group Stage	Twisted Minds	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd1debc…
06-14 20:12:06	ow tm tel 2026 06 14	Twisted Minds	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb2ebe4…
06-14 18:59:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 goals antonio rudiger gte1	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcfa437…
06-14 18:25:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals dailon livramento gte1	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ee5c8…
06-14 18:09:57	Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcdc3fc…
06-14 17:25:22	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf0f018…
06-14 17:22:58	IR Tanger vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: Neither team to score first?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x846944…
06-14 09:15:55	IR Tanger vs. US Yacoub El Mansour: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd0d70f…
06-14 09:10:31	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x32a476…
06-14 06:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2e26b6…
06-14 06:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x28a48f…
06-14 06:14:54	Cristian Volpato: 1+ goals	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04f3f1…
06-14 06:06:36	Antonio Rüdiger: 1+ goals	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x40320b…
06-14 05:56:55	Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1ae13a…
06-14 04:21:06	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 assists lucas bergvall gte1	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x098d6c…
06-14 04:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc14064…
06-14 03:02:42	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 second half team total home 1pt5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc3a150…
06-14 00:30:43	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 goals noa lang gte2	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d7bbe…
06-14 00:06:13	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 goals azzedine ounahi gte2	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe178af…
06-13 23:07:09	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x01162f…
06-13 22:51:21	chi1 cuc cu1 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x33b846…
06-13 21:05:49	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 goals breel embolo gte2	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xea3d79…
06-13 11:42:22	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 second half team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd901d7…
06-13 10:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x5e3a6f…
06-13 10:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xb89df9…
06-13 09:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x97de1b…
06-13 08:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x13dc9d…
06-13 05:48:09	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 assists damian bobadilla gte1	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x94d97b…
06-13 05:23:55	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 second half team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb8c26a…
06-13 05:23:55	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 goals cristian volpato gte1	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x67c54b…
06-13 04:42:03	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 goals lewis ferguson gte1	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf99fa5…
06-13 03:06:06	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 goals azzedine ounahi gte2	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb748c1…
06-12 22:39:55	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4a6ecc…
06-12 22:33:24	Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 1 CR Brasil?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0b285c…
06-12 21:20:48	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 goals breel embolo gte2	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x801924…
06-12 20:20:25	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x03529f…
06-12 20:03:55	will open dip to 4 00 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x4df719…
06-12 19:30:15	will open dip to 4 00 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4ac3e4…
06-12 19:24:48	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbdc74b…
06-12 18:54:25	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x737227…
06-12 18:50:21	Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 1 CR Brasil?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x492adc…
06-12 18:44:12	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x254d24…
06-12 18:43:49	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of June 8 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xa48413…
06-12 18:05:42	googl above 350 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x99aa39…
06-12 17:23:12	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xca48d6…
06-12 17:21:24	aapl above 290 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x499ac0…
06-12 16:09:22	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 assists ivan basic gte1	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x89017e…
06-12 16:08:45	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 goals alphonso davies gte2	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbb8cd2…
06-12 15:31:54	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 assists damian bobadilla gte1	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xab3363…
06-12 15:29:18	googl above 350 on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7f37d0…
06-12 15:19:25	will amzn dip to 232 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa38ee5…
06-12 14:39:46	aapl above 290 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfbb298…
06-12 14:38:54	will meta dip to 550 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc7b289…
06-12 14:06:49	will amzn dip to 232 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x47a1b6…
06-12 13:53:10	will meta dip to 550 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x48ada1…
06-12 13:40:34	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4df244…
06-12 13:30:48	will abnb dip to 126 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc44a2…
06-12 11:40:55	ow o2b zeta 2026 06 12	ZETA DIVISION	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x52e3e6…
06-12 09:55:15	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x50017f…
06-12 09:15:13	will abnb dip to 126 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x537d97…
06-12 08:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x827d61…
06-12 04:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xc539d2…
06-12 04:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9c38d2…
06-12 03:58:09	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 goals eom jisung gte2	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6e03bb…
06-12 01:11:30	googl above 350 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7b11ae…
06-11 23:19:06	mlb sea bal 2026 06 11 f5 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x618eac…
06-11 21:27:22	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 goals alphonso davies gte2	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe95698…
06-11 21:07:46	Oswin Appollis: 2+ goals	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfd20f7…
06-11 20:11:07	will open dip to 4 00 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x23050c…
06-11 19:46:00	wti closes above 87 on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x0f5939…
06-11 18:23:25	wti closes above 87 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdf0414…
06-11 18:19:46	ow o2b zeta 2026 06 12	ZETA DIVISION	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf3f6bd…
06-11 18:18:43	mlb min det 2026 06 11 spread away 3pt5	Detroit Tigers	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7511c4…
06-11 18:18:42	mlb min det 2026 06 11 spread away 3pt5	Detroit Tigers	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4b5698…
06-11 17:52:10	googl close above 355 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5f9f34…
06-11 17:39:01	mlb ari mia 2026 06 11 f5 spread away 1pt5	Miami Marlins	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0xec943c…
06-11 17:39:00	mlb ari mia 2026 06 11 f5 spread away 1pt5	Miami Marlins	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xdecd9a…
06-11 11:15:48	mlb sea bal 2026 06 11 f5 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4ca2d0…
06-11 11:13:33	mlb ari mia 2026 06 11 f5 spread away 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x46c155…
06-11 08:22:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbca1ac…
06-11 05:53:39	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 goals eom jisung gte2	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0520c3…
06-11 04:13:18	solana above 60 on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x207c4d…
06-11 04:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1075a2…
06-11 03:57:19	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 goals oswin appollis gte2	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1dd907…
06-11 03:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53fce9…
06-11 01:58:49	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26bbc3…
06-11 01:58:12	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfa8ed7…