Criminal-Calm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$925

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-18 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

39% 100% +$3

Sports

9% 100% +$3

Politics

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$67	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	04-24 07:03
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$53	38	30	+8	open	—	03-26 09:10
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	02-14 13:11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$41	23	22	+1	open	—	04-24 07:05
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	5	$38	53	0	+53	open	—	03-30 08:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	05-26 10:18
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	05-12 02:50
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$33	45	0	+45	open	—	04-11 13:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	3	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 03:55
will wti reach 100 in august 2026	2	$29	21	11	+10	open	—	08-18 01:07
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	07-30 06:03
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$27	15	14	+0	open	—	07-30 06:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	3	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 03:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-14 11:35
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$24	13	12	+0	open	—	08-13 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 08:15
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	01-15 08:47
bitcoin above 82k on january 6	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-03 09:19
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 09:10
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$18	21	0	+21	No	+$3	03-18 09:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$18	9	10	-1	open	—	07-02 01:41
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	08-05 02:29
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	02-21 07:31
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-09 07:54
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-29 08:18
will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	07-23 00:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	02-28 01:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 07:07
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-19 02:16
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 140 164	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 17:25:46	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb7d40a…
08-18 01:11:48	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf8eb27…
08-18 01:07:30	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x0f4e51…
08-13 07:02:54	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x899304…
08-13 07:01:22	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x95c5b7…
08-05 02:31:42	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xa0bc4e…
08-05 02:29:41	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x8d014a…
08-01 02:35:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x8c1926…
07-30 06:11:23	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x219bb0…
07-30 06:09:14	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x8714b9…
07-30 06:03:38	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd59456…
07-30 06:03:05	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xb2795c…
07-23 05:09:54	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0xbb25bb…
07-23 00:59:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x429662…
07-23 00:42:37	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xef57fc…
07-23 00:40:34	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x3bc170…
07-15 06:22:16	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x35b90d…
07-14 10:28:47	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe82ce7…
07-02 01:41:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x269170…
07-02 01:40:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xb4214f…
06-09 08:05:06	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x8e3142…
05-26 10:18:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xbf810c…
05-18 10:21:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x036628…
05-12 02:54:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x364bea…
05-12 02:50:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x7da8da…
05-05 07:47:10	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xa66c11…
04-29 08:18:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x910b87…
04-29 08:15:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc89679…
04-24 07:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x48034c…
04-24 07:07:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x939745…
04-24 07:05:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x093045…
04-24 07:03:22	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5167b5…
04-18 05:13:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x8167e9…
04-18 03:56:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x28af18…
04-18 03:55:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x52ce63…
04-18 03:54:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71f5df…
04-14 11:36:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xedff23…
04-14 11:35:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6bab68…
04-11 13:02:11	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfb547f…
04-11 06:44:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xe5fc08…
04-08 00:28:33	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x67202c…
04-07 03:22:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0xbaa1cf…
04-07 03:22:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xda9b05…
04-03 05:11:11	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x15b4a7…
04-02 09:17:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x7dd132…
04-02 09:10:41	Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe0a483…
04-02 09:08:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xe2535c…
03-30 08:47:40	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	83¢	$10	0x40a9e4…
03-30 08:29:58	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x8f9fb1…
03-26 09:17:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x8fca8a…
03-26 09:11:45	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xfbb3cb…
03-26 09:11:37	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x031f82…
03-26 09:11:31	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xdbefe5…
03-26 09:11:19	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x86c24a…
03-26 09:10:57	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x704269…
03-26 09:10:51	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xc4ed55…
03-26 09:10:43	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x4be412…
03-26 09:10:27	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x45b7ae…
03-22 08:34:41	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x12fd30…
03-22 08:34:31	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x724bba…
03-22 08:34:11	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb40c87…
03-18 09:48:13	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x58f4ce…
03-18 09:47:47	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x985d68…
03-18 09:47:17	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4c4abe…
03-18 09:47:01	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc53259…
03-14 03:03:53	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 140 164	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4f1955…
03-14 02:50:57	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x9927f4…
03-14 02:50:13	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xf2f2d9…
03-09 07:54:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xedf88d…
03-09 07:54:17	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	26	83¢	$22	0x4e80e6…
03-04 01:18:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x72862c…
03-04 01:18:01	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0xa03a81…
02-28 01:20:13	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x3278fc…
02-28 01:19:17	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 140 164	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17ccd3…
02-21 07:31:58	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf87b8a…
02-19 15:47:10	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of february 882 138 877 117 343 764 976	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb0b800…
02-19 13:59:38	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcd2363…
02-19 06:11:00	will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fab5f…
02-19 02:18:02	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x023d66…
02-19 02:17:40	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9d208d…
02-19 02:17:34	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x323b8f…
02-19 02:16:28	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf74f4c…
02-19 02:16:12	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x37fbc5…
02-19 02:16:02	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xb01b8d…
02-14 13:11:11	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0xe33b4f…
02-14 12:31:21	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x9a6936…
02-11 02:02:05	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 320 339	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x43803c…
02-08 06:04:31	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb70975…
02-08 04:49:37	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5776f…
02-08 02:16:53	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcea7ae…
02-08 02:02:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4389a5…
02-08 02:01:53	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9727e6…
02-05 03:34:37	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9a9273…
02-02 07:19:10	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 3 9	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x7ac586…
02-02 07:18:52	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0e109c…
02-02 07:18:36	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 115 139	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x672220…
01-15 08:47:12	bitcoin above 88k on january 21	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x5983fb…
01-03 09:21:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x78bf8c…
01-03 09:21:17	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa6e470…
01-03 09:20:03	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3ec6ac…