Inconsequential-Valley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

226

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$42.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 09-14 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

54% 43% +$3,567

Politics

32% 40% -$4,578

Crypto

12% 31% -$554

Sports

1% 0% -$1,182

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$20.4K	11,952	11,952	+0	No	+$3,390	04-13 00:10
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	6	$8.9K	6,013	6,013	+0	No	+$61	05-29 05:43
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$4.6K	5,926	0	+5,926	No	-$4,604	05-29 05:54
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	3	$559	556	556	+0	G2 Esports	+$159	07-08 09:18
spx up or down on july 9 2026	1	$500	610	0	+610	Up	+$110	07-09 14:49
atp cui kukushk 2026 04 12	2	$276	179	176	+2	Mikhail Kukushkin	+$78	04-15 07:27
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	2	$265	167	167	+0	Yes	+$66	08-12 06:06
nba por phx 2026 04 14	7	$262	541	247	+294	Trail Blazers	-$214	04-15 04:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	2	$207	1,176	1,176	+0	No	-$193	08-25 03:01
spx up or down on july 8 2026	1	$200	952	0	+952	Down	-$200	07-08 12:15
lol g2 ly 2026 07 10	2	$200	315	0	+315	LYON	-$200	07-10 09:12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$197	0	1,163	-1,163	Yes	-$966	05-29 05:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 05:00 UTC	2	$124	109	109	+0	Up	+$74	07-24 05:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:15 UTC	2	$123	166	127	+39	Down	+$142	08-08 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 07:30 UTC	3	$118	132	132	+0	Up	+$68	07-08 07:42
bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	2	$110	161	81	+81	Up	+$91	08-09 14:04
spx up or down on august 5 2026	1	$110	336	0	+336	Down	+$226	08-05 10:08
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$100	1,055	0	+1,055	No	-$100	05-14 07:35
spx up or down on august 6 2026	1	$100	294	0	+294	Down	+$194	08-06 10:06
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	1	$100	295	0	+295	Bilibili Gaming	-$100	07-09 09:06
lol kt dk 2026 04 15	1	$100	161	0	+161	KT Rolster	+$61	04-15 09:05
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	1	$100	143	0	+143	Yes	+$43	08-10 09:51
atp gadamau shick 2026 04 12	1	$100	156	0	+156	Buvaysar Gadamauri	+$56	04-14 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$86	87	87	+0	Up	+$46	05-13 06:22
bitcoin up or down on april 13 2026	5	$85	256	0	+256	Up	-$85	04-13 13:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:45 UTC	2	$82	61	61	+0	Down	+$32	07-09 07:57
nhl lak van 2026 04 14	2	$78	89	89	+0	Canucks	-$2	04-15 04:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 07:00 UTC	2	$77	188	188	+0	Up	+$17	07-08 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:55 UTC	2	$76	81	76	+4	Up	+$40	04-17 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 02:45 UTC	4	$75	1,510	1,510	+0	Up	-$45	08-17 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 03:46:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	21¢	$35	0xc1c80b…
09-08 09:13:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	157	25¢	$40	0x73a27c…
09-07 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	177	11¢	$20	0xad8d14…
09-07 06:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2fbacd…
09-07 04:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb24e54…
08-25 08:17:34	spx up or down on august 25 2026	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x08482e…
08-25 03:01:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$3	0xdaf1b8…
08-25 03:01:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	1,176	1¢	$7	0xb65d42…
08-20 03:33:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x85d756…
08-19 07:49:36	lol gen kt 2026 08 19	KT Rolster	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xd728ef…
08-19 07:44:28	lol gen kt 2026 08 19	KT Rolster	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x1e21ad…
08-19 03:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	149	13¢	$20	0x9f6bfd…
08-19 03:37:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xa5d17b…
08-17 03:58:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	290	1¢	$3	0x03c42f…
08-17 03:52:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	290	7¢	$20	0x27f2c7…
08-17 02:55:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1,510	1¢	$15	0xebe58b…
08-17 02:52:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,097	2¢	$20	0x962981…
08-17 02:52:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	313	6¢	$20	0x432515…
08-17 02:50:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3c3bbb…
08-17 02:34:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x2eea67…
08-16 09:00:49	lol t1 gen 2026 08 16	T1	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x5405dd…
08-16 07:58:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0x7d505a…
08-16 07:49:27	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0x79af3f…
08-16 05:55:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	86	40¢	$34	0xd28e29…
08-16 05:53:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0x9efa88…
08-15 06:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	47	3¢	$1	0xb20abc…
08-15 06:12:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xe9b9e6…
08-15 06:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xee07ff…
08-15 04:50:01	bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7a470a…
08-15 04:46:33	dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14	LGD Gaming	SELL	79	47¢	$37	0x92e348…
08-15 03:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x4fc69b…
08-15 03:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x5d7d5e…
08-15 03:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xb53889…
08-15 03:40:06	dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14	LGD Gaming	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0x375959…
08-14 10:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x587df6…
08-14 10:05:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd33ad0…
08-14 04:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	239	2¢	$4	0xeeb55c…
08-14 04:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xf45722…
08-14 04:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x0b2c82…
08-14 03:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xe180f0…
08-13 06:34:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xc4c97b…
08-13 06:14:19	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x8b2371…
08-13 06:04:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xd9550c…
08-13 06:03:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x7f4079…
08-13 06:02:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	34¢	$11	0xac7c4d…
08-13 04:24:21	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x3839ca…
08-12 08:48:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x86e98f…
08-12 08:47:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xfbd32c…
08-12 08:28:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa95e4c…
08-12 08:19:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xe85bb1…
08-12 08:17:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x87db62…
08-12 08:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x60c676…
08-12 08:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7359b7…
08-12 07:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xfc708b…
08-12 06:56:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x5f72a3…
08-12 06:47:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xa50ce4…
08-12 06:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdbfb57…
08-12 06:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x48c280…
08-12 06:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb83c0c…
08-12 06:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x212bf6…
08-12 06:06:25	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0xb9e996…
08-10 09:51:27	Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x6110ba…
08-10 09:37:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa932d4…
08-10 09:36:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb770a4…
08-10 09:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x9047ad…
08-10 09:20:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x3b9a6d…
08-10 08:55:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xa70ec1…
08-10 08:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8d0e57…
08-10 08:39:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xbc7f7c…
08-10 07:29:09	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x91821a…
08-09 14:04:06	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	SELL	81	75¢	$60	0x1a9537…
08-09 08:24:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xadaa52…
08-09 08:21:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2fee65…
08-09 08:21:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3fb26e…
08-09 08:15:49	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xf1d0ad…
08-09 08:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x0b66c3…
08-09 08:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0xcf2976…
08-09 08:04:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0x3754cf…
08-08 06:46:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa758d5…
08-08 06:45:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xf614f2…
08-08 06:29:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	127	89¢	$113	0x1b7a77…
08-08 06:28:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x3b3057…
08-08 06:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x8d0df3…
08-08 06:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc9b92e…
08-08 06:05:28	will wti reach 120 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x94b579…
08-06 10:06:20	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xea2fd0…
08-06 08:23:09	spx opens up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xc72aaa…
08-05 10:08:08	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	336	33¢	$110	0xd079e8…
08-01 05:59:15	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x451eab…
08-01 05:51:29	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Down	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x447a1b…
08-01 05:47:47	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xed7706…
07-31 08:53:35	lol gen t1 2026 07 31	T1	SELL	56	64¢	$36	0x7abd78…
07-31 08:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x03fabb…
07-31 08:01:06	lol gen t1 2026 07 31	T1	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb87e0e…
07-25 14:07:57	bitcoin up or down on july 25 2026	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x45d637…
07-25 07:09:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf01741…
07-25 07:04:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x794798…
07-25 06:57:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xb7513e…
07-25 06:27:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xff976d…
07-25 06:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x921eb2…