Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$67

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-25

last 11-06 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

85% 58% +$4

Politics

13% 33% -$4

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No		+1	$1	62¢	$1	$0	11-06 13:06
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	28¢	$0	-$1	10-25 14:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 05:14
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	11-01 09:04
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-16 23:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 15:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 06:44
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 23:11
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-05 18:09
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-18 01:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	11-05 02:38
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	10-01 13:44
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-18 03:25
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-20 20:21
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-20 22:09
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 06:34
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 18:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	11-06 02:45
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 10:06
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-10 12:01
will meta reach 770 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-28 04:47
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-08 04:16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	11-06 13:06
will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-29 09:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-08 22:25
spx up or down on september 9 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-09 04:28
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-17 16:05
will mu reach 990 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:13
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-18 12:12
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-15 10:47
wti closes above 89 on october 1 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-01 05:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:06:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x30fedf…
11-06 02:45:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x44121a…
11-05 02:38:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x577afe…
11-01 09:04:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2c0ba3…
10-25 14:48:00	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x012c54…
10-25 06:34:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6957aa…
10-20 20:21:18	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9f489e…
10-18 12:12:00	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc4ca07…
10-18 01:04:03	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x333b82…
10-17 16:05:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1679e6…
10-17 06:44:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xafec31…
10-16 15:00:36	spy closes above 770 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x80c7f6…
10-16 06:57:13	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe52b71…
10-15 10:47:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd38f44…
10-10 12:01:01	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x214e59…
10-08 22:25:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8f9ab5…
10-08 04:16:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfc2344…
10-05 18:09:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc45383…
10-05 00:32:26	will coin dip to 180 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe9cb7d…
10-02 06:05:03	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4b1a91…
10-01 13:44:20	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x80f3af…
10-01 05:42:26	wti closes above 89 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbe19f3…
09-29 09:24:27	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x094b36…
09-29 01:21:09	will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf8c51f…
09-28 04:47:33	will meta reach 770 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x80b8ae…
09-27 20:47:09	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9a265e…
09-27 09:54:36	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3540ed…
09-27 01:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xad72a8…
09-26 09:22:56	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc0431a…
09-23 23:26:52	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd88a83…
09-23 15:25:47	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5d94ff…
09-23 07:24:58	wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf8dcb3…
09-21 23:11:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xee44ff…
09-21 15:10:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1dcd8e…
09-21 07:09:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x67511d…
09-20 22:09:59	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc633e5…
09-20 04:02:43	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6ff6db…
09-19 06:13:52	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0b5449…
09-18 03:25:28	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x536fde…
09-17 18:25:04	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc9d21d…
09-17 07:21:49	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdab6f5…
09-16 23:08:13	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb91017…
09-16 02:05:48	will spy reach 760 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x93439a…
09-14 05:14:15	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x019257…
09-13 21:13:37	will mu reach 990 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1da340…
09-09 04:28:07	spx up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa689e1…
09-08 18:37:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x65e01d…
09-08 10:06:48	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x80ce97…
09-08 00:51:01	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x97ad8d…
09-07 13:01:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x367adf…
09-04 00:08:49	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb7c27c…
08-31 11:25:09	will nvda dip to 216 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc9630e…
08-31 00:20:28	will nvda dip to 208 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xba44a5…
08-30 16:18:18	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9a81e8…
08-29 22:33:27	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x685cb4…
08-29 14:08:06	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa74cb0…
08-29 03:39:34	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3325ea…
08-28 18:38:01	will xauusd dip to 4400 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d5351…
08-28 10:13:51	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdecfbc…
08-28 02:13:18	will trump say iss or international space station during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xff6b48…
08-27 18:11:28	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6f2858…
08-27 10:10:13	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x593124…
08-27 02:06:06	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xde9a4b…
08-26 13:35:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcd5048…
08-26 02:30:55	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8e1131…
08-25 16:33:31	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf03beb…
08-25 07:46:51	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x68fded…