Private-Dancer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$527

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 09-10 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 42% -$202

Other

20% 11% -$186

Politics

8% 12% -$139

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	5	$301	366	366	+0	Spain	-$1	07-19 20:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:10 UTC	3	$248	178	178	+0	Up	-$2	07-20 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$154	175	175	+0	Up	+$4	09-07 11:17
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	3	$109	170	170	+0	No	-$31	03-22 19:43
will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	6	$106	2,658	0	+2,658	No	-$106	04-01 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$106	164	164	+0	Up	+$6	05-19 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$103	116	116	+0	Down	+$3	09-10 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$101	179	127	+52	Down	+$1	05-20 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:20 UTC	1	$100	255	0	+255	Down	-$100	07-20 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$80	333	139	+194	Down	-$20	07-20 08:09
will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70 and 75	4	$79	111	111	+0	Yes	+$5	03-23 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$79	125	125	+0	Up	+$29	05-20 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	10	$61	78	78	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 16:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$60	252	0	+252	No	-$60	04-12 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$59	71	62	+9	Up	-$1	05-19 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$57	79	79	+0	Down	+$7	05-20 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$56	50	50	+0	Down	+$6	05-20 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$56	60	60	+0	Up	+$6	05-20 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$56	50	50	+0	Up	+$6	09-01 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$53	43	43	+0	Down	+$3	09-04 06:50
will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 34 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	4	$51	330	330	+0	No	-$49	03-23 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:45 UTC	3	$50	29	29	+0	Up	+$0	07-20 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$48	1,288	0	+1,288	Down	-$48	05-20 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:10 UTC	3	$45	89	27	+62	Down	-$14	04-02 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$14	05-20 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:50 UTC	3	$43	132	132	+0	Down	-$7	08-18 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$39	54	40	+15	Up	-$11	09-10 13:46
will the slovenian democratic party sds win 35 39 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	2	$35	399	0	+399	No	-$35	03-22 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:55 UTC	2	$28	19	19	+1	Down	+$9	04-01 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Down	-$25	05-20 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 13:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x35c283…
09-10 13:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x03bec4…
09-10 10:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x41f112…
09-10 10:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	68	30¢	$20	0xb41ec0…
09-10 10:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xbaaea5…
09-10 10:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	48	68¢	$33	0x120e46…
09-10 10:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x50b604…
09-07 11:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	124	41¢	$51	0x8a62b5…
09-07 11:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x2b0439…
09-07 11:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x65909b…
09-07 11:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	51	56¢	$29	0x5ddd75…
09-07 11:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x4cef1a…
09-05 11:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x20ce7a…
09-04 06:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0x0944a8…
09-04 06:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x6e014a…
09-01 09:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xcf1af1…
09-01 09:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x16f534…
08-19 08:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	54	14¢	$8	0xa0684a…
08-19 08:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa65752…
08-19 08:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdc51e1…
08-18 18:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x405ee1…
08-18 18:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xf31aa8…
08-18 18:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:50 UTC	Up	SELL	125	14¢	$17	0x244a9e…
08-18 18:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x46ffd1…
08-18 10:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1e3b53…
08-18 10:38:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xbdb451…
07-20 08:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x309c74…
07-20 08:47:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x35bee3…
07-20 08:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x2748f3…
07-20 08:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x1b56d3…
07-20 08:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x9d80cf…
07-20 08:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3cd500…
07-20 08:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	178	69¢	$123	0x144d5c…
07-20 08:11:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x28a691…
07-20 08:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xe88101…
07-20 08:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	194	13¢	$25	0xdd16b6…
07-20 08:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	139	22¢	$30	0x6a789a…
07-20 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x011946…
07-19 20:37:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	121	40¢	$48	0xb691c5…
07-19 20:35:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0x25489f…
07-19 20:34:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	245	42¢	$102	0xe49ea6…
07-19 14:20:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x9b79b6…
07-19 09:56:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5aa55e…
05-20 09:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9c7754…
05-20 09:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x1a2f1f…
05-20 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4eac7a…
05-20 08:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x96d767…
05-20 08:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9388b9…
05-20 08:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8c08ca…
05-20 08:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xc0515b…
05-20 08:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x47e427…
05-20 08:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	119	40¢	$48	0x8de53b…
05-20 08:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	127	20¢	$25	0x1af14d…
05-20 08:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x3e4cd4…
05-20 08:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0xe1b28d…
05-20 08:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x8e78a2…
05-20 07:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	79	40¢	$32	0xb56965…
05-20 07:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0xdd4577…
05-20 07:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xf2ec44…
05-20 07:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7fc6ca…
05-20 07:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdf4086…
05-20 07:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3d2bbe…
05-20 07:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,169	2¢	$23	0xcc2b94…
05-20 07:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x7ff1dc…
05-20 07:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	125	43¢	$54	0x38bf7f…
05-20 07:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x2e9a26…
05-20 07:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x3990bd…
05-20 07:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc3a6c2…
05-19 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	109	29¢	$31	0x33d52a…
05-19 16:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xee2e86…
05-19 16:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	51	45¢	$23	0x8e8186…
05-19 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc4a57f…
05-19 16:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x67ec65…
05-19 16:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	52	44¢	$23	0x953bd2…
05-19 16:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x392cb8…
05-19 16:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x1f62fe…
05-19 16:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x6cc63e…
05-19 16:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08468f…
05-19 16:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6a4870…
05-19 16:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4eeede…
05-19 16:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0x3112a9…
05-19 16:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x280265…
05-19 16:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x741ebb…
05-19 16:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5c590a…
05-19 16:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8a287c…
05-19 16:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb17c30…
05-19 16:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xf2e601…
05-19 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2d3fe1…
04-12 13:28:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x7b5c7d…
04-12 13:28:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x963657…
04-12 13:28:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3fdb97…
04-12 13:27:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3ee7eb…
04-12 13:27:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x56ac4f…
04-12 13:27:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2c0486…
04-11 16:47:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x96f395…
04-09 08:07:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfee045…
04-08 08:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c7c8b…
04-03 08:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	576	1¢	$5	0x478ddc…
04-02 11:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1cabb6…
04-02 11:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x252f5d…