Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

8.2%

Resolved

115

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$288

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-28

last 10-10 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

49% 12% -$10

Politics

37% 0% -$2

Tech

10% 0% -$1

Crypto

2% 0% -$6

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
manchester city punishment announced by december 18 2026	Yes		+20	$13	20¢	$4	-$9	09-28 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	8	$82	80	80	+0	Yes	-$2	10-10 20:06
openai resumes training by october 5 2026	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-28 12:31
will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	09-29 11:43
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	3	$26	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-26 17:21
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-26 18:32
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	-$2	09-29 11:03
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-26 16:56
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	3	$18	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-26 17:00
spy closes above 770 on september 28 2026	2	$14	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-28 13:10
manchester city punishment announced by december 18 2026	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	09-28 12:24
will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	2	$8	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-28 12:25
Will A.J. Brown finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	1	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	10-09 17:50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	6	$2	20	20	+0	No	-$2	10-10 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 21:25 UTC	2	$0	10	0	+10	Up	$0	08-28 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 17:40 UTC	2	$0	10	0	+10	Up	$0	08-28 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:15 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$0	08-29 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 21:55 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-28 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 21:40 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-28 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:50 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-29 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 23:15 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-28 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:25 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$0	08-28 22:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:00 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$0	08-29 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:40 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$0	08-29 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:10 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$0	08-29 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:00 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$0	08-28 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-28 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-29 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 23:05 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$0	08-28 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 21:45 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-28 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:50 UTC	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$0	08-28 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 20:06:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xb14732…
10-10 18:00:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xb940a1…
10-10 17:42:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x2115d2…
10-10 17:37:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xbc26cd…
10-10 17:36:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x216dd7…
10-10 17:36:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x216dd7…
10-10 17:22:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa426eb…
10-10 17:00:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x679176…
10-10 17:00:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x524d52…
10-10 16:54:34	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe2afc3…
10-10 16:54:34	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x060c35…
10-10 16:51:13	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x89d13f…
10-10 16:45:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x37e7a9…
10-10 16:13:55	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd92ac4…
10-09 17:50:59	Will A.J. Brown finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x57cc57…
09-29 11:43:26	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x1066cd…
09-29 11:41:05	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x611e86…
09-29 11:03:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x60085d…
09-29 10:45:56	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa23e1e…
09-28 13:10:05	spy closes above 770 on september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x48b000…
09-28 12:31:45	openai resumes training by october 5 2026	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xc6f2e0…
09-28 12:25:59	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x759eb5…
09-28 12:24:08	manchester city punishment announced by december 18 2026	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xbde429…
09-28 12:23:05	spy closes above 770 on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7f41d4…
09-28 12:22:59	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x27d185…
09-28 12:22:14	openai resumes training by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x5a87d9…
09-26 18:32:23	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xe6653b…
09-26 17:21:57	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xa1e195…
09-26 17:03:08	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x4eee5d…
09-26 17:03:08	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0x1afb4e…
09-26 17:00:47	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x5dda8a…
09-26 17:00:23	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xab0a4a…
09-26 16:59:57	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x62bf88…
09-26 16:56:06	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x5df4cb…
09-26 16:55:42	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc5224f…
09-25 21:09:11	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x2c0ec9…
08-29 07:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5477c…
08-29 07:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf90b6e…
08-29 07:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x28ba4d…
08-29 07:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x768049…
08-29 07:18:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x91f9db…
08-29 07:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3bc91f…
08-29 07:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x665783…
08-29 07:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8dd601…
08-29 06:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x12fe8e…
08-29 06:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x70a327…
08-29 06:42:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4603ad…
08-29 06:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa05659…
08-29 06:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdbe67d…
08-29 06:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9fbac5…
08-29 06:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcfbf19…
08-29 06:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd5182c…
08-29 06:09:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x519c03…
08-29 06:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaa9525…
08-29 05:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d2355…
08-29 05:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3973dd…
08-29 05:49:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x921825…
08-29 05:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfbaa86…
08-29 05:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5cc53e…
08-29 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdf56b9…
08-29 05:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfd80e1…
08-29 05:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9d4f14…
08-29 05:13:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdd5979…
08-29 05:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x37e2a7…
08-29 04:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc5d2be…
08-29 04:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2a2fcc…
08-29 04:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x696533…
08-29 04:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x105cb3…
08-29 04:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x704e4f…
08-29 04:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1bed39…
08-29 04:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3a9a7c…
08-29 04:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6862b6…
08-29 04:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x299716…
08-29 03:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x479685…
08-29 03:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xac9f7f…
08-29 03:38:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd88f10…
08-29 03:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9044f7…
08-29 03:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44d1c1…
08-29 03:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b8b34…
08-29 03:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa04cd8…
08-29 03:18:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x16c50a…
08-29 03:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4d9d0b…
08-29 03:03:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc48763…
08-29 02:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x28095e…
08-29 02:53:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x71c995…
08-29 02:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbff599…
08-29 02:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb85618…
08-29 02:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbf8702…
08-29 02:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5e683…
08-29 02:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x221a3d…
08-29 02:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa47de8…
08-29 02:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x450318…
08-29 02:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x610a43…
08-29 01:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x71aea5…
08-29 01:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe25d18…
08-29 01:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb8471f…
08-29 01:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc76ff1…
08-29 01:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf7297…
08-29 01:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x033db9…
08-29 01:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe8df2f…