Determined-Fit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

101

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-12 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 35% $-110

Other

28% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 420 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	71	$183	463	301	+162	Down	+$39	05-08 16:11
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	9	$147	9,504	0	+9,504	open	—	04-30 21:44
Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Yue Yuan	10	$124	1,316	1,400	-84	open	—	04-24 15:22
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	49	$72	760	760	+0	open	—	04-24 14:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	13	$48	36	36	+0	open	—	05-04 18:06
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffon	4	$34	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	32	$32	1,043	0	+1,043	Up	$-16	05-08 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	28	$30	144	4	+140	Down	$-24	05-08 16:36
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	9	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	13	$26	132	11	+120	Down	$-4	05-08 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	17	$25	42	10	+32	Up	$-6	05-08 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$19	511	11	+500	open	—	05-04 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	16	$16	32	0	+32	Up	$-15	05-08 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	10	$15	32	0	+32	Up	$-14	05-08 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12PM ET	6	$15	12	10	+2	open	—	05-04 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	15	$15	669	0	+669	Down	$-13	05-08 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	9	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 18:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	14	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	05-04 18:08
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	4	$13	64	64	+0	open	—	04-24 14:38
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$13	191	191	+0	open	—	05-12 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	13	$13	26	0	+26	Down	+$2	05-08 16:23
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	7	$12	11	6	+5	open	—	05-04 18:15
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	11	$11	45	0	+45	open	—	05-04 18:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	10	$10	19	1	+18	Down	$-6	05-08 16:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	10	$10	316	0	+316	Down	$-10	05-08 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	10	$10	84	0	+84	open	—	05-04 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$9	81	0	+81	open	—	05-04 18:16
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	9	$9	12	0	+12	Up	$-0	05-08 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	9	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$5	05-08 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbf3c09…
05-12 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x85bc75…
05-12 18:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x68c391…
05-12 18:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7aee92…
05-12 18:37:58	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	191	2¢	$5	0xf9623b…
05-12 18:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x892524…
05-12 18:34:07	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x05f822…
05-08 18:54:37	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x0894f4…
05-08 18:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xdb7baa…
05-08 18:51:14	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x2a4d7a…
05-08 18:51:09	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$6	0xb2b0a6…
05-08 18:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa64e1e…
05-08 18:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb8060…
05-08 18:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xb38fc6…
05-08 18:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6c9b6d…
05-08 18:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0b15e6…
05-08 18:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x922454…
05-08 18:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xd45c9a…
05-08 18:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x77ece5…
05-08 18:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc8c3bf…
05-08 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd16637…
05-08 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x93ab6f…
05-08 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4e41f9…
05-08 18:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xed8c39…
05-08 18:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xedd7a4…
05-08 18:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa65863…
05-08 18:33:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x504d5c…
05-08 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x08cce6…
05-08 18:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0287ee…
05-08 18:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6a6ad6…
05-08 18:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb35092…
05-08 18:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaf817b…
05-08 18:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x66f98e…
05-08 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x60688f…
05-08 18:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf6b90d…
05-08 18:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe026e1…
05-08 18:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd037a7…
05-08 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd6ae33…
05-08 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbc3a32…
05-08 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x30c995…
05-08 18:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xee5537…
05-08 18:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb6d2ae…
05-08 18:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdfc47e…
05-08 18:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x868eaa…
05-08 18:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf495f7…
05-08 18:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4cfec3…
05-08 18:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0bfe21…
05-08 18:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9cb6e8…
05-08 18:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa3cbed…
05-08 18:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2d0f43…
05-08 18:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x6065fa…
05-08 18:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc27ed0…
05-08 18:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x209604…
05-08 18:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x051302…
05-08 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x54b29b…
05-08 18:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x86283f…
05-08 18:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb286fe…
05-08 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xec9a7d…
05-08 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x750262…
05-08 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x388e95…
05-08 18:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf7d897…
05-08 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd1bfe9…
05-08 18:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x48c784…
05-08 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a58ca…
05-08 18:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9e38be…
05-08 17:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xa84aa9…
05-08 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x425bf6…
05-08 17:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x4aefdd…
05-08 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0c70fe…
05-08 17:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x1c77fc…
05-08 17:08:57	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa62ef1…
05-08 16:45:25	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x15880d…
05-08 16:40:38	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf5f77a…
05-08 16:40:36	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x29cbb5…
05-08 16:40:32	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd0c2b9…
05-08 16:40:32	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8120d9…
05-08 16:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9f3949…
05-08 16:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x804468…
05-08 16:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x59e376…
05-08 16:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4801ab…
05-08 16:36:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xfc5ac8…
05-08 16:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdaa06c…
05-08 16:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2a8d9d…
05-08 16:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x572f8a…
05-08 16:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x24b2b2…
05-08 16:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4ad72c…
05-08 16:31:58	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x86d87f…
05-08 16:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b55eb…
05-08 16:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc6853a…
05-08 16:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa2a1d5…
05-08 16:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0d79ac…
05-08 16:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa8bc39…
05-08 16:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x636fa6…
05-08 16:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x322196…
05-08 16:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9e98f1…
05-08 16:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x85f195…
05-08 16:31:53	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2f5395…
05-08 16:31:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3490db…
05-08 16:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x77537d…
05-08 16:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbc2fb6…