Absolute-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$315

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

524

Trades

766

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 08-14 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

99% 44% -$291

Politics

1% 8% -$14

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 16c	5	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	04-01 13:45
highest temperature in warsaw on april 12 2026 15corhigher	6	$165	110	109	+1	Yes	-$2	04-12 13:59
highest temperature in ankara on april 7 2026 17c	3	$103	130	0	+130	Yes	+$27	04-07 11:26
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 14c	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-02 18:15
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 15c	2	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	04-02 06:56
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 13c	1	$89	90	0	+90	No	+$0	03-29 17:40
highest temperature in warsaw on april 12 2026 14c	4	$85	100	97	+3	No	+$33	04-12 13:58
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 13c	3	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-01 11:41
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 19corhigher	2	$55	96	9	+87	Yes	-$42	04-14 14:16
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 12c	2	$54	80	0	+80	Yes	+$27	04-03 09:34
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 10c	10	$47	78	0	+78	Yes	+$30	03-26 06:59
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 12c	9	$41	35	61	-26	Yes	-$13	03-27 11:12
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 10 2026 23c	4	$33	53	0	+53	No	-$33	04-10 17:16
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 9c	10	$31	65	0	+65	Yes	+$34	03-25 12:20
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 12c	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-01 10:16
highest temperature in warsaw on april 6 2026 11c	5	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-06 12:08
highest temperature in helsinki on april 13 2026 12corhigher	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	04-13 08:42
highest temperature in chicago on april 3 2026 58forhigher	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	04-02 22:08
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 5 2026 21c	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	04-05 11:34
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 13 2026 14c	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	04-13 14:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 13c	4	$17	47	0	+47	No	-$17	03-25 12:20
highest temperature in istanbul on april 9 2026 13c	1	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	04-09 07:50
highest temperature in warsaw on april 16 2026 15c	3	$16	22	0	+22	Yes	+$6	04-16 13:29
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	2	$15	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 10:29
highest temperature in panama city on april 11 2026 32corhigher	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	04-11 18:04
highest temperature in tokyo on march 26 2026 12c	7	$14	43	0	+43	No	-$14	03-25 12:20
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 9 2026 22c	2	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	+$7	04-09 10:12
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 8 2026 20c	2	$13	23	0	+23	No	-$13	04-08 09:23
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 52 53f	1	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	+$7	04-05 19:51
highest temperature in munich on april 5 2026 23c	1	$13	20	0	+20	Yes	+$7	04-05 11:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 13:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x801d93…
08-14 13:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x634cce…
08-14 02:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xe1721c…
08-13 20:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6266f6…
08-13 19:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 13?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xffa709…
08-13 16:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x67cc62…
08-13 14:21:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xb1869b…
08-13 14:18:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x3e9a40…
08-12 22:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd1419c…
08-12 22:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x10582a…
08-12 22:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xc02e83…
08-12 22:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x8c4174…
08-12 22:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x3b9681…
08-12 15:17:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xb8c253…
08-12 11:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe635de…
08-10 15:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xbbce86…
08-10 15:47:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	17	21¢	$3	0x981623…
08-10 14:47:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x0b8ac0…
08-10 02:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x197efc…
08-09 14:47:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0x22b941…
08-08 15:47:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2fadf2…
08-08 15:47:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x079fc6…
08-08 14:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x022bf7…
08-08 14:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	No	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xa1f8c7…
08-08 13:47:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfea50d…
08-07 20:53:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 7?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x322211…
08-07 16:47:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	71	6¢	$5	0xfe8de9…
08-07 11:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7?	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x3b0483…
08-07 08:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb52ef0…
08-07 05:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x2f9bc3…
08-06 20:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 6?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa7e8dd…
08-06 18:48:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xda5778…
08-06 17:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc6d2d3…
08-06 14:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1e7f55…
08-06 13:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x2e8bea…
08-06 05:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x385b56…
08-06 02:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	No	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xfd72a6…
08-05 20:53:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd5c99e…
08-05 14:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x9de38c…
08-05 14:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xdba799…
08-05 12:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd9bdeb…
08-05 11:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x72b3c5…
08-05 08:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xaa7399…
08-05 08:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x71b520…
08-05 08:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x47db18…
08-05 08:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x14b05e…
08-05 08:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb1bd95…
08-04 21:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3d64d2…
08-04 20:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x56ca19…
08-04 16:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x7fdfa5…
08-04 14:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcebed6…
08-04 13:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc64738…
08-04 12:18:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x23cd55…
08-04 12:17:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xf1bd6c…
08-04 07:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfef9f3…
08-04 07:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x535335…
08-03 21:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 3?	No	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x9516c9…
08-03 18:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf2bf49…
08-03 16:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 3?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8babf4…
08-03 14:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5a4892…
08-03 12:47:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x509d6b…
08-03 04:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 3?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc082ad…
08-02 21:54:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 2?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44bb7c…
08-02 21:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7682b7…
08-02 11:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 2?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x080c73…
08-02 09:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xefc61b…
08-01 19:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 1?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x894681…
08-01 17:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 1?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x02a9ca…
08-01 05:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 1?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9fffa4…
07-31 20:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 31?	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x08dd78…
07-31 15:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x607d0e…
07-30 17:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 30?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x7fbf5f…
07-30 13:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 30?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1430bb…
07-29 18:48:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x21928d…
07-29 17:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xbd6290…
07-29 12:47:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe167c2…
07-29 09:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x217e13…
07-28 20:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x7a1d17…
07-28 16:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe067a2…
07-28 03:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0f47e4…
07-27 23:53:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x706713…
07-27 23:53:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4fccb5…
07-27 23:53:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x0df20c…
07-27 17:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5d3a98…
07-27 06:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x59d632…
07-26 17:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 26?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x818467…
07-26 16:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6179b3…
07-26 15:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x68a69e…
07-26 09:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x1a1463…
07-25 19:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1e3bff…
07-25 15:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe5ef5a…
07-25 15:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x4f8e4b…
07-25 13:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa790a4…
07-25 03:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xa6bd4c…
07-24 20:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 24?	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x52cd4c…
07-24 15:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 24?	No	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0x664f2c…
07-24 13:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xd6d2be…
07-24 13:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xd6973d…
07-24 13:17:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xfabecc…
07-24 05:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1ec176…