Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.0%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 03-03 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

80% 75% -$20,618

Crypto

14% 60% -$673

Other

6% 50% +$110

Tech

0% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$16.0K	22,364	22,364	+0	Yes	-$15,825	03-01 02:35
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	4	$5.0K	5,988	0	+5,988	Yes	-$5,028	02-27 10:09
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$179	02-28 13:42
iran strike on israel by february 28	13	$1.4K	1,008	1,008	+0	Yes	+$151	02-05 12:00
will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	20	$833	1,874	1,418	+456	Yes	-$23	02-04 18:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$664	454	454	+0	No	+$64	01-17 14:19
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$409	225	225	+0	No	+$9	02-04 16:41
will bitcoin dip to 64k february 2 8	2	$402	735	0	+735	Yes	-$402	02-05 15:33
will bitcoin dip to 70k february 2 8	3	$348	435	435	+0	Yes	+$9	02-04 18:13
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	7	$298	198	147	+51	Yes	-$33	03-03 16:21
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	4	$246	153	153	+0	Yes	+$15	03-03 14:04
bitcoin up or down on february 4	4	$244	124	124	+0	Down	+$3	02-04 16:10
iran strike on israel by january 31	4	$231	138	138	+0	No	+$13	02-01 09:59
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	4	$230	204	204	+0	No	+$30	02-04 13:58
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	5	$218	116	116	+0	No	+$3	03-03 08:58
will bitcoin dip to 68k february 2 8	3	$216	539	0	+539	Yes	-$216	02-05 12:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 3	5	$201	126	126	+0	Yes	+$14	03-02 14:40
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$195	103	103	+0	No	+$5	01-15 13:37
bitcoin up or down on march 2	5	$174	131	131	+0	Up	+$14	03-02 13:42
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	3	$96	128	0	+128	Yes	-$96	03-03 15:44
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	2	$85	927	927	+0	Yes	-$15	01-18 19:08
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	5	$77	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	03-03 16:05
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	1	$69	79	0	+79	Yes	+$10	03-01 07:57
us strike on somalia by february 7	2	$69	616	0	+616	Yes	-$69	02-03 17:08
houthi strike on israel by february 28	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$2	02-25 19:24
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$3	02-05 19:18
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	1	$14	23	0	+23	Yes	-$14	02-05 19:19
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	02-01 12:56
will bitcoin reach 82k february 2 8	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	02-05 19:18
bitcoin above 92k on january 23	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	01-23 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-03 16:21:59	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x9d6941…
03-03 16:05:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xb09382…
03-03 16:05:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x155971…
03-03 15:44:45	bitcoin above 68k on march 3	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0a52b3…
03-03 15:44:43	bitcoin above 68k on march 3	No	BUY	97	75¢	$73	0xc090e1…
03-03 15:44:43	bitcoin above 68k on march 3	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x80a9d0…
03-03 14:42:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xf1c2e9…
03-03 14:42:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xdd96f8…
03-03 14:42:03	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x54457c…
03-03 14:40:59	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	SELL	107	90¢	$96	0x3ec779…
03-03 14:35:15	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9f09dc…
03-03 14:35:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x9b31be…
03-03 14:33:43	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x6c7015…
03-03 14:04:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 3	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd2a824…
03-03 13:59:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 3	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7efed5…
03-03 13:57:47	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1b2e76…
03-03 12:10:03	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	BUY	147	85¢	$125	0x4068cc…
03-03 12:06:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 3	Yes	SELL	147	85¢	$125	0x48274e…
03-03 09:22:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 3	Yes	BUY	147	75¢	$110	0x4597cf…
03-03 08:58:57	bitcoin above 70k on march 3	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x8f813c…
03-03 08:58:57	bitcoin above 70k on march 3	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x2a191d…
03-03 08:58:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 3	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x4eb5ac…
03-03 08:58:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 3	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xe33da5…
03-02 14:49:11	bitcoin above 70k on march 3	No	BUY	116	93¢	$108	0x323699…
03-02 14:40:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 3	Yes	SELL	70	85¢	$60	0xac539e…
03-02 14:39:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 3	Yes	SELL	56	85¢	$48	0x0c11ca…
03-02 13:49:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 3	Yes	BUY	45	74¢	$33	0xc97d65…
03-02 13:49:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 3	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xd89ebd…
03-02 13:47:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 3	Yes	BUY	63	74¢	$46	0x08c46f…
03-02 13:42:45	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Down	SELL	131	71¢	$94	0x0d88d0…
03-02 07:25:53	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4ac7e4…
03-02 07:25:53	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Down	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x1cc106…
03-02 07:24:49	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xe35596…
03-02 07:24:13	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Down	BUY	68	61¢	$41	0x0d491a…
03-01 07:57:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	Yes	BUY	79	87¢	$69	0x3b9556…
03-01 02:35:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	22,364	0¢	$70	0xb00291…
02-28 15:44:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	995	60¢	$600	0xb7a52a…
02-28 14:49:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,710	62¢	$1,055	0x885b07…
02-28 14:20:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	407	58¢	$236	0x9e74d3…
02-28 14:19:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0x74489b…
02-28 14:19:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	539	58¢	$312	0x37e985…
02-28 14:19:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	362	58¢	$209	0xfdeb27…
02-28 14:19:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0xe1bbd4…
02-28 14:19:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x114cf3…
02-28 14:10:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	9,668	61¢	$5,888	0x76ae35…
02-28 13:42:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,320	70¢	$927	0x99bba0…
02-28 13:42:17	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	Yes	SELL	1,000	93¢	$927	0x83c07e…
02-28 13:12:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,934	97¢	$1,871	0x886f90…
02-28 12:33:13	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	Yes	BUY	1,000	75¢	$748	0xd6e34d…
02-28 12:25:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xa9ca2d…
02-28 12:25:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x334cc2…
02-28 12:25:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	356	91¢	$324	0x117bae…
02-28 12:24:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0xea1804…
02-28 12:24:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0xe9130a…
02-28 12:24:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x03f66b…
02-28 12:24:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	167	91¢	$152	0x58a50b…
02-28 12:24:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x28830b…
02-28 12:24:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfa767d…
02-28 12:24:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x64587f…
02-28 12:24:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xe7915d…
02-28 12:24:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	793	90¢	$716	0xc56135…
02-28 12:24:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x3da5df…
02-27 10:09:27	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2,021	84¢	$1,697	0xf9cf55…
02-27 07:59:11	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2,488	84¢	$2,090	0xdb6ab2…
02-27 07:45:11	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1,443	84¢	$1,212	0x1a052e…
02-25 19:24:44	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	No	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0x962fb7…
02-25 19:24:10	houthi strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xee19d4…
02-05 19:19:15	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	No	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0x67608f…
02-05 19:18:07	will bitcoin reach 82k february 2 8	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0c5ea9…
02-05 19:18:03	will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd10c75…
02-05 15:33:17	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 2 8	No	BUY	537	44¢	$237	0x662a46…
02-05 12:02:35	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 2 8	No	BUY	198	83¢	$165	0x5fe1eb…
02-05 12:01:25	will bitcoin dip to 68k february 2 8	No	BUY	509	39¢	$200	0x5dc715…
02-05 12:00:49	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	480	79¢	$381	0xbbda0c…
02-05 07:47:03	will bitcoin dip to 68k february 2 8	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x0d1e3c…
02-05 07:45:29	will bitcoin dip to 68k february 2 8	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x8d457e…
02-05 07:44:59	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x8f8dc0…
02-04 18:35:19	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x51698f…
02-04 18:31:51	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	400	28¢	$112	0x84973d…
02-04 18:13:09	will bitcoin dip to 70k february 2 8	No	SELL	435	41¢	$178	0xdf1b50…
02-04 17:28:29	will bitcoin dip to 70k february 2 8	No	BUY	399	39¢	$156	0x044121…
02-04 17:28:19	will bitcoin dip to 70k february 2 8	No	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x94a26f…
02-04 17:20:31	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x96f79f…
02-04 17:20:21	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0xb078de…
02-04 17:20:11	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xdbe8ed…
02-04 17:20:11	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1f8124…
02-04 17:15:51	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	397	28¢	$111	0xf4c294…
02-04 17:14:47	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x26c6e5…
02-04 17:14:33	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xad78e2…
02-04 17:10:25	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x1cc9b1…
02-04 17:01:31	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xffc423…
02-04 16:59:19	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xb00669…
02-04 16:58:41	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xa292ca…
02-04 16:57:19	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	384	30¢	$115	0x889e2e…
02-04 16:56:37	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x764dbe…
02-04 16:55:45	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x848a7b…
02-04 16:42:03	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x57a929…
02-04 16:41:21	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	SELL	225	93¢	$209	0xb14e27…
02-04 16:16:25	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	276	33¢	$91	0x2042b3…
02-04 16:16:21	will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	No	BUY	49	33¢	$16	0xe38ecc…