Realized P&L
-$3.31K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
1,796
Trades
38,572
lifetime
Volume
$876.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 02-19 01:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
57%
67%
+$102
Politics
35%
57%
-$413
Crypto
6%
76%
-$1,932
Sports
1%
54%
+$24
Tech
1%
60%
-$1,087
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
-$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-19).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 920 | $57.3K | 33,115 | 31,317 | +1,799 | Yes | -$191 | 02-03 20:19 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 387 | $30.1K | 15,236 | 14,977 | +260 | No | -$8 | 01-04 01:58 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 524 | $28.8K | 14,987 | 15,260 | -273 | No | -$34 | 02-12 11:44 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 404 | $25.0K | 12,852 | 12,783 | +69 | No | -$14 | 02-08 01:42 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 420 | $18.5K | 10,613 | 9,563 | +1,050 | No | +$88 | 02-01 05:31 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 111 | $17.9K | 13,767 | 4,360 | +9,407 | Yes | +$110 | 02-03 20:45 |
| will israel nuke iran by january 31 | 6,965 | $16.9K | 8,453 | 8,533 | -80 | No | -$13 | 01-31 20:30 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 310 | $13.3K | 9,642 | 8,299 | +1,343 | No | -$19 | 02-01 05:31 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 207 | $12.5K | 6,479 | 6,638 | -159 | No | +$61 | 01-31 14:41 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 106 | $11.6K | 6,213 | 5,582 | +632 | No | +$15 | 01-31 22:08 |
| ilhan omar town hall attack staged | 144 | $9.2K | 4,731 | 4,731 | +0 | No | +$24 | 02-11 21:07 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:25 UTC | 465 | $9.2K | 7,956 | 7,359 | +597 | Down | -$428 | 02-15 05:25 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 89 | $8.4K | 5,495 | 2,938 | +2,557 | No | +$8 | 01-05 00:27 |
| nicols maduro seen in public by january 5 | 177 | $7.8K | 6,199 | 2,382 | +3,817 | Yes | +$52 | 01-04 02:00 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 256 | $7.7K | 5,183 | 3,490 | +1,693 | No | -$121 | 01-24 04:50 |
| will gta 6 cost 100 | 143 | $7.7K | 3,831 | 3,931 | -100 | No | -$6 | 02-11 19:34 |
| will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31 | 138 | $7.3K | 3,734 | 3,708 | +26 | Yes | +$57 | 01-31 09:48 |
| us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31 | 214 | $7.1K | 5,761 | 1,347 | +4,414 | Yes | +$5 | 01-02 20:41 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | 141 | $6.6K | 6,105 | 601 | +5,505 | No | +$61 | 01-27 23:37 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 671 | $6.3K | 9,020 | 9,970 | -950 | No | +$64 | 02-12 11:45 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 188 | $6.1K | 6,731 | 5,581 | +1,151 | No | -$41 | 01-31 14:01 |
| will the us strike somalia next 656 | 166 | $5.7K | 4,853 | 1,173 | +3,681 | Yes | +$77 | 01-24 19:53 |
| will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 45m and 50m | 35 | $5.6K | 2,815 | 2,815 | +0 | No | -$8 | 01-04 16:09 |
| nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026 | 48 | $5.5K | 2,949 | 2,549 | +400 | No | +$3 | 01-09 09:07 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 219 | $5.4K | 3,775 | 3,775 | +0 | No | -$92 | 02-12 11:49 |
| maduro out by january 31 2026 318 | 44 | $5.3K | 4,563 | 2,824 | +1,740 | Yes | -$752 | 01-03 11:09 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 50 | $5.3K | 2,703 | 2,718 | -15 | No | +$4 | 02-11 19:49 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 82 | $5.1K | 2,713 | 2,713 | +0 | No | +$35 | 02-11 21:29 |
| us strikes iran by february 1 2026 | 53 | $5.1K | 3,779 | 1,622 | +2,157 | No | +$52 | 02-01 23:58 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | 72 | $5.0K | 2,860 | 2,305 | +554 | Yes | +$51 | 01-31 13:39 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||