Unimportant-Deduce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,277

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

77% 97% +$1

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:44:31	wta osorio waltert 2026 06 29	Camila Osorio	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee6820…
06-30 19:16:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b6274…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5148b8…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b0e10…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17d134…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30af5f…
06-30 01:50:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73a4cc…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35fb0b…
06-29 23:38:40	will germany reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149725	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x650469…
06-29 22:38:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf630ee…
06-29 20:00:13	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7131d3…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ba9db…
06-29 18:07:13	r6siege secret fnc 2026 06 29	Fnatic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88505e…
06-29 16:24:55	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83e519…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5eee99…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f7030…
06-29 11:36:34	wta pegula vidmano 2026 06 29 set 2 winner Pegula vs Vidmanova	Pegula	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6dde1b…
06-28 20:58:52	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x260ce9…
06-28 12:40:19	kbo kt sam 2026 06 28	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48c0bd…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7a941…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32b20e…
06-27 22:56:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e652d…
06-27 20:38:35	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ede8a…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe01261…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3591c8…
06-27 13:00:19	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee4e2d…
06-27 02:30:01	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8632f6…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb90b95…
06-26 21:02:53	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals michael olise gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5999e…
06-26 21:02:53	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadaa66…
06-26 16:12:44	codmw riyf tor 2026 06 26	Toronto KOI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a4eab…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe72977…
06-25 22:21:14	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbee469…
06-25 02:00:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x483a41…
06-25 01:49:31	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88d959…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5efdfc…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x37b541…
06-25 00:04:43	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37121b…
06-24 21:14:35	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x174970…
06-24 21:03:43	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x107ce4…
06-24 20:58:53	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef7073…
06-23 20:00:56	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68466e…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09899b…
06-23 19:09:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79378b…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dbe20…
06-23 12:39:16	kbo sam lg 2026 06 23	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56b0ad…
06-23 10:34:28	cs2 inf6 eac 2026 06 23 game1	Esport Academy Copenhagen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad2ae0…
06-22 00:09:22	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 goals federico valverde gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7480c…
06-21 18:35:56	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 assists lamine yamal gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb485b7…
06-21 18:17:25	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8dea70…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x682168…
06-21 11:56:11	cs2 echo k271 2026 06 21	K27	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x600269…
06-21 06:05:35	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8fba2…
06-21 04:54:50	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5323e…
06-21 01:59:20	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fcde4…
06-20 23:35:02	ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xea73d9…
06-20 23:29:22	ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x179269…
06-20 20:06:31	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72a089…
06-20 19:10:41	wnba ind atl 2026 06 20 total 177pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc49648…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b0bcf…
06-20 05:12:25	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x46fe2b…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42c84…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80ce7a…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33d9e3…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8a49e…
06-18 22:31:01	val srb adg 2026 06 18 game2	Shopify Rebellion Black	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdbe4c…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92c4bc…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x001268…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x476f9d…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x698033…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51dc2d…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x146187…
06-17 16:06:26	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x527ebf…
06-17 04:05:34	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0466a…
06-17 03:12:07	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ef2dc…
06-17 03:10:43	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf39db9…
06-17 03:02:22	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40fa3d…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x180139…
06-16 13:45:50	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7914d…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9541c9…
06-15 18:09:00	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0c31f…
06-15 17:13:15	victor munoz 20260609173616778	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fc14e…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c269b…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee17eb…
06-14 19:58:55	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef77cc…
06-14 19:06:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e3c5f…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd48d77…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c003f…
06-14 06:13:18	will there be a double breen bang during the 2026 nba finals	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5e744…
06-13 11:58:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e7f7a…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23e8ff…
06-12 22:02:10	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x731039…
06-12 21:04:03	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4b173…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb753e7…
06-12 20:26:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61ed5e…
06-12 20:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75a196…
06-12 20:17:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb73b6a…
06-12 20:05:37	cs2 noirve saab 2026 06 12	Noir Verse	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3724b5…
06-12 13:30:04	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7a00c…
06-12 07:38:48	itf morvayo kubka 2026 06 12 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf33e4…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 11:26
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:52
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 15:57
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 21:38
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
wta pegula vidmano 2026 06 29 set 2 winner Pegula vs Vidmanova	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-29 11:36
fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners team away 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-24 21:14
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
lol wb al 2026 04 14 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 18:04
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Noskova	+$0	05-09 11:37
highest temperature in miami on april 8 2026 72 73f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 19:28
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Tabur	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 19:48
val qor nrga 2026 03 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 02:35