Agile-Nightmare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$334

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

141

Trades

2,065

lifetime

Volume

$7.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-14 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

100% 43% -$339

Politics

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on September 1?	97	$231	246	169	+77	Down	-$15	09-01 19:50
nflx up or down on july 24 2026	43	$220	250	250	+0	Up	-$14	07-24 18:40
nflx up or down on march 20 2026	39	$212	233	141	+92	Up	-$53	03-20 19:54
nflx up or down on july 21 2026	47	$198	243	226	+17	Up	+$13	07-21 19:46
nflx up or down on march 16 2026	49	$175	205	146	+59	Down	+$32	03-16 19:53
nflx up or down on april 16 2026	36	$157	192	110	+82	Up	-$15	04-16 19:44
nflx up or down on june 12 2026	34	$157	159	131	+28	Down	-$12	06-12 19:36
nflx up or down on september 3 2026	41	$153	197	122	+75	Down	-$13	09-03 19:56
nflx up or down on march 12 2026	35	$148	157	145	+13	Down	+$10	03-12 19:54
nflx up or down on july 16 2026	26	$137	148	138	+9	Up	+$8	07-16 19:49
nflx up or down on june 25 2026	33	$129	196	167	+29	Down	+$44	06-25 19:47
nflx up or down on april 6 2026	18	$127	135	81	+54	Up	-$28	04-06 16:52
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on September 2?	49	$125	152	141	+12	Up	-$3	09-02 13:40
nflx up or down on july 22 2026	27	$124	205	142	+64	Down	+$13	07-22 19:33
nflx up or down on august 14 2026	25	$117	143	123	+20	Down	-$1	08-14 19:47
nflx up or down on august 4 2026	25	$113	112	90	+21	Up	-$3	08-04 19:50
nflx up or down on june 18 2026	32	$111	188	149	+39	Up	+$1	06-18 19:39
nflx up or down on april 13 2026	29	$111	128	86	+42	Up	-$16	04-13 19:49
nflx up or down on august 31 2026	37	$110	120	95	+25	Down	-$2	08-31 19:43
nflx up or down on june 16 2026	21	$110	135	109	+26	Down	-$4	06-16 14:19
nflx up or down on june 8 2026	23	$104	130	114	+17	Up	-$15	06-08 19:39
nflx up or down on april 10 2026	29	$104	146	83	+63	Up	-$16	04-10 18:28
nflx up or down on june 23 2026	29	$101	134	99	+35	Down	+$0	06-23 19:49
nflx up or down on april 8 2026	20	$95	197	82	+115	Up	-$21	04-08 19:48
nflx up or down on april 15 2026	23	$95	108	68	+40	Up	+$7	04-15 19:30
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 24?	21	$92	114	65	+50	Down	+$6	04-24 19:48
nflx up or down on april 23 2026	21	$90	148	86	+62	Down	+$4	04-23 19:10
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 6?	21	$89	116	68	+48	Up	-$9	05-06 19:38
nflx up or down on june 22 2026	22	$88	91	75	+16	Down	+$6	06-22 14:22
nflx up or down on june 17 2026	24	$85	271	266	+5	Down	-$28	06-17 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 14:18:45	nflx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x838b54…
10-14 13:07:54	nflx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa88e76…
10-14 09:22:56	nflx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xf81271…
10-13 19:03:58	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x14dcf7…
10-13 19:02:55	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2ae374…
10-13 18:51:27	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xf7bce3…
10-13 16:48:48	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xf1db18…
10-13 16:26:42	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x06d5e4…
10-13 13:33:25	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x83664a…
10-13 12:59:14	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa3fedc…
10-13 12:31:56	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x79e911…
10-13 12:07:50	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x401bfd…
10-13 12:05:32	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfacc90…
10-13 11:19:13	nflx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xe0b1ab…
10-12 14:36:24	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x54c6fd…
10-12 14:11:12	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3d6356…
10-12 13:53:41	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2a8360…
10-12 13:02:45	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x33956d…
10-12 12:18:30	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x26fff7…
10-12 11:24:39	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf6f165…
10-12 10:56:30	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xacd504…
10-12 10:46:33	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd00c02…
10-09 17:37:04	nflx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xeb4067…
10-09 15:03:30	nflx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2d619c…
10-09 14:06:39	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x630a84…
10-09 14:06:39	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x30a3c7…
10-09 14:06:19	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9d7712…
10-09 14:03:12	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x5e113a…
10-09 14:02:13	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x45a48a…
10-09 14:01:39	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x8640cd…
10-09 13:53:42	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x078cbf…
10-09 13:51:07	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xeca938…
10-09 13:48:54	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x8d30d5…
10-09 13:45:36	nflx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x069413…
10-09 13:37:40	nflx up or down on october 9 2026	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xeeae15…
10-09 13:35:33	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x56f974…
10-09 12:43:24	nflx up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd4cb6b…
10-08 13:35:57	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xf30bae…
10-08 13:35:57	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf30bae…
10-08 13:35:48	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x293037…
10-07 23:29:59	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x1faf9f…
10-07 19:30:00	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x36101c…
10-07 15:41:11	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x8f8539…
10-07 13:35:34	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd04d65…
10-07 13:35:20	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x205314…
10-07 12:53:25	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x34b8eb…
10-07 12:32:59	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x624786…
10-07 08:00:15	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x4fbd55…
10-06 15:17:45	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7ec379…
10-06 14:09:18	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x61494c…
10-06 13:55:04	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x9ed4b8…
10-06 13:53:13	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xa676df…
10-06 13:42:31	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xf44e1d…
10-06 13:41:16	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x1bf81e…
10-06 09:23:40	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x9973a6…
10-05 19:47:46	nflx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf7347e…
10-05 19:45:05	nflx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x99db6a…
10-05 18:40:38	nflx up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x964253…
10-05 17:40:40	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x826f17…
10-05 14:42:08	nflx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc260c2…
10-05 14:00:59	nflx up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x9482df…
10-05 13:56:50	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3fc55a…
10-05 13:35:50	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x63ad26…
10-05 13:33:46	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x405bf1…
10-05 13:32:31	nflx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x602cba…
10-02 19:36:33	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x044dd6…
10-02 19:29:59	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x9c440f…
10-02 14:23:26	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xcdcdcd…
10-02 13:51:15	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x0b0881…
10-02 13:37:30	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x7d699c…
10-02 13:37:03	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xd747c0…
10-02 13:34:53	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2e9462…
10-02 13:34:29	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5a5adc…
10-02 13:32:32	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x80b4c4…
10-02 11:43:32	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x05636e…
10-01 21:22:00	nflx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xaefff7…
10-01 13:35:27	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x4cfb40…
10-01 11:55:29	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x56d5d6…
10-01 09:57:26	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x94ba2f…
10-01 09:57:26	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x94ba2f…
10-01 09:27:59	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x179830…
09-30 19:43:30	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8d2a88…
09-30 18:02:35	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xf87d95…
09-30 17:32:27	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x80d9bf…
09-30 17:28:41	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbc9a5a…
09-30 17:15:24	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1680ff…
09-30 13:33:32	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x2a5078…
09-30 13:32:53	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x6ccf33…
09-30 13:32:53	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6ccf33…
09-30 11:51:15	nflx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0a5ae6…
09-29 13:37:47	nflx up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbad066…
09-29 13:32:56	nflx up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc9d753…
09-29 13:27:06	nflx up or down on september 29 2026	Down	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x7e25ef…
09-29 13:24:39	nflx up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x84560d…
09-29 10:52:14	nflx up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x8d36f8…
09-25 19:15:27	nflx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x424e75…
09-25 19:15:21	nflx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xa78cb5…
09-25 19:15:21	nflx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa78cb5…
09-25 16:25:47	nflx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x3788ae…
09-25 15:25:44	nflx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x2e71f3…