Loud-Bayou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

302

Trades

392

lifetime

Volume

$122.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-14 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% +$98

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	2	$3.4K	1,712	1,712	+0	Up	+$10	05-12 20:48
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	2	$3.1K	1,538	1,537	+1	Down	+$14	04-21 20:44
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	2	$3.0K	1,526	1,525	+2	Up	+$20	04-20 21:48
xrp up or down april 9 2026 1pm et	2	$2.0K	994	993	+1	Up	+$13	04-09 19:49
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 8am et	2	$1.9K	960	958	+2	Up	+$28	04-08 13:49
solana up or down april 7 2026 4pm et	2	$1.8K	926	923	+3	Up	+$39	04-07 21:48
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 3pm et	2	$1.8K	888	887	+1	Up	+$10	04-07 20:44
ethereum up or down april 7 2026 1pm et	2	$1.7K	881	878	+3	Up	+$42	04-07 19:44
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET	1	$1.7K	1,733	0	+1,733	Down	+$33	05-12 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,691	0	+1,691	Down	+$41	05-06 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,651	0	+1,651	Up	+$21	05-06 11:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	1	$1.6K	1,619	0	+1,619	Down	+$19	05-05 21:47
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,627	0	+1,627	Up	+$27	05-06 08:49
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,606	0	+1,606	Up	+$27	04-27 14:48
ethereum up or down march 31 2026 8am et	2	$1.6K	789	788	+1	Up	+$8	03-31 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	1	$1.6K	1,581	0	+1,581	Down	+$16	04-27 12:54
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 5am et	2	$1.6K	782	781	+1	Down	+$7	03-31 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8PM ET	1	$1.5K	1,567	0	+1,567	Up	+$31	04-27 00:53
ethereum up or down march 31 2026 1am et	2	$1.5K	763	762	+1	Up	+$13	03-31 06:38
ethereum up or down march 6 6am et	2	$1.2K	613	613	+0	Down	+$7	03-06 12:46
ethereum up or down march 6 5am et	3	$1.2K	606	605	+0	Up	+$24	03-06 11:48
ethereum up or down february 27 2am et	2	$1.1K	576	576	+0	Down	+$5	02-27 08:52
bitcoin up or down february 26 3am et	2	$1.1K	537	536	+0	Up	+$5	02-26 09:44
ethereum up or down april 14 2026 10am et	1	$1.0K	1,055	0	+1,055	Down	+$11	04-14 14:46
solana up or down april 13 2026 8pm et	1	$1.0K	1,045	0	+1,045	Down	+$10	04-14 00:47
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12pm et	1	$1.0K	1,035	0	+1,035	Up	+$10	04-13 16:47
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4am et	1	$1.0K	1,026	0	+1,026	Down	+$11	04-13 08:51
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	1	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	Up	+$14	04-10 14:51
bitcoin up or down february 23 5pm et	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	Up	+$2	02-23 23:54
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 3pm et	1	$992	1,002	0	+1,002	Up	+$10	04-09 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 13:51:45	Solana Up or Down - September 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2b6a19…
09-14 13:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0x32c677…
09-14 13:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf59c64…
09-14 12:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb7ce76…
09-14 12:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9f4e93…
09-14 12:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0c7e32…
09-14 08:50:06	XRP Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7190b0…
09-14 08:49:43	Solana Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x427320…
09-14 08:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x48f0c9…
09-14 08:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd2bb97…
09-14 06:46:42	XRP Up or Down - September 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x7d8108…
09-14 06:46:25	Solana Up or Down - September 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x006e43…
09-13 19:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x10ab60…
09-13 19:44:54	XRP Up or Down - September 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb62aee…
09-13 19:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x606a91…
09-13 12:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x0f7199…
09-13 12:46:48	XRP Up or Down - September 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x25dd9d…
09-13 12:41:22	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc6e434…
09-13 12:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x93b8f0…
09-12 22:46:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x1d6089…
09-12 22:45:49	Solana Up or Down - September 12, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x341646…
09-11 08:55:49	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xfca225…
09-11 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xcb2e05…
08-04 22:50:14	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xe80aff…
08-04 21:52:39	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x464f40…
08-04 19:49:48	xrp up or down august 4 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x087173…
08-04 19:48:36	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x8e0bb8…
08-04 19:48:14	xrp up or down august 4 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x2898d5…
08-04 18:46:41	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x2f678f…
08-04 18:46:27	solana up or down august 4 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x85cbfa…
08-04 16:45:41	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb66f86…
08-04 16:45:21	solana up or down august 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xbb2221…
08-04 16:45:06	xrp up or down august 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaccabe…
08-04 16:44:54	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xda547a…
08-04 15:52:14	xrp up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xaa1297…
08-04 15:51:59	solana up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1baa2b…
08-04 15:51:45	xrp up or down august 4 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xf96af2…
08-04 14:51:35	xrp up or down august 4 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x67423f…
08-04 14:51:21	solana up or down august 4 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x264f27…
08-04 14:51:08	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9d1e79…
08-04 14:50:57	xrp up or down august 4 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8295ee…
08-04 13:53:09	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf68ea3…
08-04 13:52:48	xrp up or down august 4 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf3f543…
08-04 12:52:26	xrp up or down august 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xceb5a5…
07-30 11:52:20	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xafab73…
07-30 11:49:38	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xaf8def…
07-30 08:46:41	xrp up or down july 30 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x77041c…
07-30 07:51:26	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xcd83c8…
07-30 07:51:11	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xb76b6d…
06-25 13:48:53	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4dd143…
06-03 18:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x5e7f22…
06-03 17:49:04	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x43ac44…
06-03 16:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x65e048…
06-03 16:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x703bdd…
06-03 10:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x156d2a…
06-03 10:12:15	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb8d637…
06-03 09:51:43	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x9aede2…
06-03 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x619ea7…
06-03 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x924687…
06-03 07:47:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd8954a…
06-03 07:46:50	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe058da…
06-03 06:55:05	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x62f13a…
06-03 06:43:23	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0fbd7a…
06-02 20:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xa94b04…
06-02 20:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x79aa68…
06-02 18:46:16	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9eae57…
06-02 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x104d95…
06-02 17:48:56	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf34bd4…
06-02 16:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x495539…
06-02 16:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x65f071…
06-02 15:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd8c21a…
06-02 15:46:38	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x08d078…
06-02 13:57:07	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdc747e…
06-02 13:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa8fa43…
06-02 11:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x1d38c5…
06-02 10:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xb6fe85…
06-02 10:47:40	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x83a9a7…
06-02 09:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0c0e34…
06-02 09:46:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x2cb902…
06-02 08:49:47	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf73796…
06-02 08:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb6ac77…
06-01 17:42:49	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb9af6c…
06-01 15:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x97934c…
06-01 14:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdfaa48…
06-01 14:51:50	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x872072…
06-01 14:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x430ed9…
06-01 14:48:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x068641…
06-01 12:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdeac51…
06-01 12:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb22b0a…
06-01 10:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2530bf…
06-01 09:46:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc55bc7…
06-01 09:46:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x9fa121…
05-29 14:46:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4f409c…
05-29 14:46:20	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x25d1af…
05-29 14:46:18	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x256181…
05-29 14:46:17	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0bbace…
05-29 14:46:15	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x96d27b…
05-29 14:46:11	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x99c637…
05-29 14:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdbf05d…
05-29 14:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x97e5e5…