Unsightly-Lantern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$195

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

1,515

Trades

1,864

lifetime

Volume

$51.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-12 23:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 69% -$360

Other

4% 59% +$156

Politics

0% 100% +$14

Sports

0% 17% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:10 UTC	2	$328	201	199	+3	Down	+$68	03-08 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 05:15 UTC	1	$276	357	0	+357	Up	+$81	03-08 05:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:10 UTC	2	$269	485	0	+485	Up	+$216	07-17 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 04:45 UTC	1	$260	276	0	+276	Down	+$16	03-08 04:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:35 UTC	1	$241	315	0	+315	Up	+$74	03-08 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 03:05 UTC	1	$230	235	0	+235	Down	-$230	03-08 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:45 UTC	1	$221	321	0	+321	Up	+$100	03-08 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:55 UTC	1	$221	230	0	+230	Down	+$9	03-08 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:25 UTC	1	$216	221	0	+221	Down	+$4	03-08 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:50 UTC	4	$212	671	670	+1	Down	+$97	03-23 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 04:00 UTC	1	$206	306	0	+306	Up	-$206	03-08 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 08:50 UTC	2	$201	127	125	+2	Down	+$7	04-01 08:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:45 UTC	4	$201	119	118	+1	Up	-$13	04-06 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:20 UTC	1	$201	209	0	+209	Up	-$201	03-08 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:50 UTC	1	$200	303	0	+303	Up	-$200	03-08 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:15 UTC	1	$197	201	0	+201	Up	+$4	03-08 17:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:25 UTC	2	$197	111	111	+0	Up	+$2	03-21 15:28
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:20 UTC	2	$194	100	100	+0	Up	+$1	03-21 15:23
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 15:25 UTC	1	$194	354	0	+354	Down	+$161	06-20 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:10 UTC	2	$190	132	130	+2	Up	+$70	03-07 10:16
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$190	192	0	+192	Down	+$2	10-08 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:45 UTC	2	$188	104	104	+0	Down	+$14	03-15 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$186	354	0	+354	Down	+$169	10-08 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 03:35 UTC	1	$185	189	0	+189	Down	+$4	03-08 03:40
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$185	131	131	+0	Up	+$44	06-13 02:53
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 15:05 UTC	2	$184	98	98	+0	Down	+$9	03-21 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 04:35 UTC	1	$184	263	0	+263	Down	+$79	03-08 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 04:50 UTC	1	$182	309	0	+309	Down	-$182	09-21 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$181	347	0	+347	Down	-$181	10-07 07:23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$176	343	0	+343	Down	+$167	09-22 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 23:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x20155e…
10-12 19:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	51¢	$64	0x341031…
10-12 18:52:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	117	49¢	$57	0xfad77e…
10-12 18:47:02	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x6cf25e…
10-12 14:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	163	54¢	$88	0x2336e0…
10-12 14:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	170	60¢	$102	0x6c352c…
10-12 04:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xa25a80…
10-12 04:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x2e9bf4…
10-11 20:42:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x0fe837…
10-11 20:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xea9c82…
10-11 09:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x0d3f79…
10-10 13:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0xbe9249…
10-08 16:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	354	52¢	$186	0x3f95f5…
10-08 16:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x059d16…
10-08 15:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	190	55¢	$105	0x2f67b2…
10-08 10:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	199	63¢	$125	0x1f6adc…
10-07 07:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	347	52¢	$181	0x7770c8…
10-07 05:53:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	189	63¢	$119	0xb888b5…
10-07 05:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	84	93¢	$78	0xaba679…
10-07 05:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xeba936…
10-07 03:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x5d276f…
10-07 03:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xbb9f18…
10-07 03:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x2d7ab7…
10-07 03:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0x0846fe…
10-07 03:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xcc0a66…
10-07 02:52:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x896931…
10-07 02:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xf8b0b5…
10-07 02:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x7cdfc2…
10-07 02:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xec3c23…
10-06 06:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0x812cd4…
10-06 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x9bc3e1…
10-06 06:08:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x4027c8…
10-06 04:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x77c43e…
10-05 23:22:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	172	52¢	$89	0xcc8427…
10-05 15:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	135	51¢	$69	0x67036f…
10-05 13:01:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	162	54¢	$88	0xa8293f…
10-05 12:19:47	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0xfaad37…
10-05 12:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xbd13aa…
10-05 06:43:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x94cf6a…
10-05 06:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x05f590…
10-05 06:17:38	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x8560f3…
10-05 06:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb697e0…
10-05 02:51:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x30b52d…
10-05 02:42:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x4eb53e…
10-05 02:37:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc7fcfe…
10-05 02:18:25	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x2b9b9d…
10-04 22:51:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x8bea8d…
10-04 22:38:04	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0xaa27ee…
10-04 22:29:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	41	57¢	$24	0xbb72da…
10-04 00:24:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	88	59¢	$52	0x285d0b…
10-03 04:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	112	53¢	$59	0xede660…
10-03 04:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x61bf12…
10-03 02:29:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x2f0d04…
10-03 02:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x9c2512…
10-03 01:59:39	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xc8f791…
10-02 01:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	160	55¢	$88	0xb1215d…
10-02 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	97	53¢	$51	0x4abac9…
10-02 01:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x00dd24…
10-02 01:11:06	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x8281f7…
10-02 00:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0xd17ed5…
10-01 15:11:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x51302a…
10-01 14:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xc7423b…
10-01 14:15:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x3e23da…
10-01 13:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x650289…
10-01 13:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xe4c460…
10-01 13:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x515883…
10-01 13:09:32	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	53¢	$20	0x7ffb36…
10-01 07:59:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	88	54¢	$48	0x70d6d6…
10-01 07:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x692d79…
10-01 07:21:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x12d993…
10-01 01:23:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x623bd8…
10-01 01:08:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x6dea48…
10-01 00:27:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xaf7b13…
09-30 16:47:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x34a50f…
09-30 16:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb8bc4f…
09-30 15:22:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf5b37b…
09-30 14:36:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x725044…
09-30 14:23:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1cadc7…
09-30 14:22:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0x571744…
09-30 14:21:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xf264b4…
09-30 14:12:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xcc17ed…
09-30 06:43:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x0a5e70…
09-30 06:23:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	147	53¢	$78	0x28ccf1…
09-30 06:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xf76c22…
09-30 05:32:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xa5fa74…
09-30 05:26:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x58f0ac…
09-30 05:11:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x41f304…
09-29 11:02:48	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x09e8f8…
09-29 10:37:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe7aa11…
09-29 10:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xe5cb8b…
09-29 10:21:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x81f646…
09-29 10:17:11	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x258955…
09-29 10:13:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x007f4a…
09-29 10:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xb78bc5…
09-29 09:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x4648a8…
09-29 08:47:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xd421b3…
09-29 08:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x897eb5…
09-29 08:25:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	108	62¢	$67	0xdc241d…
09-29 01:19:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$33	0x8247a4…
09-28 14:46:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0x6c1579…