Lumbering-Menorah — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$978

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

995

Trades

4,305

lifetime

Volume

$45.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-27 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% +$978

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 1436 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 19?	6	$1.7K	893	893	+0	No	+$17	10-19 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	25	$1.4K	690	690	+0	No	+$21	10-25 02:30
highest temperature in ankara on february 27 2026 4c	19	$1.3K	1,044	1,044	+0	No	-$176	02-27 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	14	$1.2K	1,623	1,623	+0	Yes	+$792	10-20 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 5?	1	$1.0K	1,024	0	+1,024	No	+$8	10-04 13:25
highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 9c	3	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$5	02-14 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 8?	2	$951	483	483	+0	No	+$13	10-08 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 15?	2	$832	425	425	+0	No	+$12	10-15 04:47
highest temperature in seoul on february 15 2026 9corhigher	10	$720	438	438	+0	No	+$148	02-15 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	6	$697	380	380	-0	No	+$58	10-16 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	21	$634	801	713	+88	No	-$94	10-23 22:41
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	8	$613	337	337	+0	No	+$59	10-26 15:19
highest temperature in seoul on february 28 2026 12c	6	$582	607	0	+607	Yes	-$582	02-28 04:44
highest temperature in nyc on february 24 2026 28 29f	9	$575	296	296	+0	No	+$4	02-24 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 21?	5	$560	353	225	+128	No	+$18	10-23 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	7	$546	1,272	525	+747	No	+$205	10-22 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	9	$529	304	304	+0	No	+$69	10-16 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	6	$523	298	298	+0	open	—	10-27 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 25?	14	$523	322	322	+0	No	-$44	10-25 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	18	$505	1,453	835	+619	No	-$76	10-22 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 6?	2	$500	256	256	+0	No	+$10	10-06 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10?	2	$496	516	0	+516	No	+$20	10-09 23:16
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	17	$464	881	881	+0	No	+$260	02-13 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 25?	5	$451	336	336	+0	No	-$53	10-24 23:50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 24?	1	$443	487	0	+487	No	+$44	10-23 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	4	$419	228	228	+0	No	-$7	10-14 01:08
highest temperature in wellington on february 24 2026 22corhigher	4	$416	215	215	+0	No	+$12	02-24 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	4	$351	357	357	-0	Yes	+$325	06-02 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?	17	$341	534	109	+425	No	+$221	10-10 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 23?	23	$318	350	337	+13	Yes	+$296	10-23 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	269	4¢	$12	0x855bde…
10-27 03:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	109	2¢	$2	0xe10ba7…
10-27 03:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x4aad09…
10-27 03:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x4d5e39…
10-27 03:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	186	0¢	$1	0x8006cf…
10-27 03:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x1a2214…
10-27 02:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x5575dc…
10-27 02:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	SELL	69	86¢	$59	0x47ceab…
10-27 02:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 27?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x062e1d…
10-27 00:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xa80670…
10-27 00:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$20	0x18dfdf…
10-27 00:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	94	87¢	$82	0xf6d278…
10-27 00:20:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 3°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x757052…
10-26 23:36:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xad05d3…
10-26 23:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xfa82c3…
10-26 23:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0x723e90…
10-26 23:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x233df4…
10-26 23:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x272c1a…
10-26 23:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	154	79¢	$121	0xcf5c04…
10-26 15:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	269	12¢	$33	0xbc448c…
10-26 15:19:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x379eba…
10-26 14:38:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	307	0¢	$1	0x0eff64…
10-26 14:33:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0xaffe84…
10-26 14:32:57	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xef60e6…
10-26 14:32:47	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe6c8f0…
10-26 14:30:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x9c3f1d…
10-26 14:18:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x33abc8…
10-26 13:26:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xcb6ae2…
10-26 12:49:02	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2f5469…
10-26 12:48:54	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xceeeae…
10-26 12:48:54	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2f50bd…
10-26 12:48:45	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xbb96f0…
10-26 12:46:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc827d4…
10-26 12:46:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x811320…
10-26 12:46:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x27770d…
10-26 11:53:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	55	14¢	$7	0x32fccc…
10-26 11:38:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xecc7ee…
10-26 11:38:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x0759ff…
10-26 09:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	169	1¢	$1	0x3525a9…
10-26 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x854bd5…
10-26 09:07:05	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe4c49c…
10-26 09:06:54	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	268	17¢	$45	0x96ef6b…
10-26 09:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	274	12¢	$34	0x8ac3a0…
10-26 05:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x95df5d…
10-26 04:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x567388…
10-26 04:42:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6e5821…
10-26 04:41:57	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x446203…
10-26 04:41:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb93159…
10-26 04:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x58c905…
10-26 04:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x626784…
10-26 04:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	331	0¢	$1	0x00b5a5…
10-26 03:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x80830a…
10-26 03:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x661230…
10-26 03:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0x044801…
10-26 03:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	117	16¢	$18	0x45ea66…
10-26 02:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	62	12¢	$8	0xd9a4fa…
10-25 22:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xc74895…
10-25 22:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x9d2c06…
10-25 22:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x14c6b7…
10-25 22:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	234	4¢	$9	0xf83817…
10-25 15:03:15	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	227	82¢	$186	0xd88ada…
10-25 15:01:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2141c0…
10-25 15:01:41	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xdb0b9d…
10-25 15:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xe75837…
10-25 15:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x08609f…
10-25 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x595718…
10-25 14:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	126	13¢	$16	0x56a678…
10-25 14:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0xbd8535…
10-25 14:13:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	120	27¢	$32	0x7469ff…
10-25 14:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x482fef…
10-25 14:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	68	83¢	$56	0xb57cc8…
10-25 13:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x463ef2…
10-25 12:59:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x694e61…
10-25 11:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	214	13¢	$28	0x7bf999…
10-25 11:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0xcf9586…
10-25 11:02:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9c8332…
10-25 11:02:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	41	84¢	$34	0xdfc70e…
10-25 10:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	48	7¢	$3	0xcbbb28…
10-25 10:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0x502d3f…
10-25 10:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0xad8f31…
10-25 10:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	170	13¢	$22	0xd0c9e2…
10-25 09:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 25?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x824b7c…
10-25 02:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6fdbb3…
10-25 02:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x47f403…
10-25 01:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0bbbbd…
10-25 01:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2c93ec…
10-25 01:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x128972…
10-25 01:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x7b8b41…
10-25 01:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6e6c28…
10-25 01:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1efec0…
10-25 00:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbc8736…
10-25 00:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	149	3¢	$4	0x513744…
10-25 00:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	126	4¢	$5	0x4e4bf8…
10-25 00:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 25?	No	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0xd80b26…
10-24 23:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x752ff1…
10-24 23:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	45	30¢	$13	0xff8ea1…
10-24 23:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x5fe460…
10-24 23:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	42	33¢	$14	0xa5ccba…
10-24 23:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xaba590…
10-24 23:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	59	21¢	$12	0x7b06c7…