Heavy-Inflation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

6,963

Trades

13,619

lifetime

Volume

$751.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 08-03 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$21,036

Other

0% 47% +$531

Politics

0% 50% +$32

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$6.0K	4,967	3,646	+1,321	Up	+$1,343	05-27 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:20 UTC	8	$5.7K	4,870	3,880	+991	Down	+$154	03-31 07:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 11:05 UTC	7	$5.0K	3,503	3,395	+108	Up	+$1,138	04-07 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:40 UTC	10	$4.7K	3,424	3,424	+0	Up	+$1,156	06-13 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	7	$4.4K	3,019	3,019	+0	Down	+$957	06-08 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 16:25 UTC	8	$4.4K	3,653	3,653	+0	Up	+$754	06-13 16:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:35 UTC	163	$4.3K	3,348	3,326	+22	Down	+$709	06-07 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:30 UTC	4	$4.0K	2,952	2,858	+94	Down	+$842	04-07 23:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:25 UTC	2	$4.0K	6,999	0	+6,999	Down	+$3,002	03-11 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 10:15 UTC	8	$3.9K	3,061	2,796	+265	Up	+$416	06-14 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:10 UTC	2	$3.7K	2,386	2,355	+31	Up	+$608	03-06 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:05 UTC	50	$3.6K	5,040	1,220	+3,820	Down	-$2,044	04-02 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	96	$3.5K	2,738	2,738	+0	Up	+$541	05-10 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:05 UTC	151	$3.5K	2,736	2,647	+89	Up	+$618	04-24 08:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:50 UTC	27	$3.3K	2,386	2,308	+78	Up	+$809	04-02 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:40 UTC	5	$3.3K	2,575	2,536	+39	Up	+$479	03-05 19:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	7	$3.3K	2,837	2,837	+0	Up	+$289	06-18 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:25 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,285	2,251	+34	Up	+$615	02-19 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 15:40 UTC	6	$3.0K	2,698	1,939	+759	Down	+$944	06-13 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:00 UTC	1	$3.0K	5,089	0	+5,089	Down	+$2,089	03-04 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:20 UTC	1	$3.0K	5,185	0	+5,185	Up	-$3,000	03-11 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:25 UTC	5	$3.0K	5,221	1,255	+3,967	Up	+$2,133	04-10 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:10 UTC	8	$2.9K	3,344	1,672	+1,672	Down	+$903	06-13 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$2.9K	1,997	1,997	+0	Down	+$712	05-08 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 16:50 UTC	2	$2.8K	1,883	1,854	+29	Up	+$865	02-19 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:00 UTC	4	$2.7K	3,586	868	+2,718	Up	-$1,332	04-10 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:50 UTC	4	$2.7K	3,527	854	+2,672	Down	-$1,334	04-02 11:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:05 UTC	3	$2.6K	1,483	1,287	+196	Down	-$75	03-03 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:25 UTC	67	$2.6K	2,970	1,823	+1,146	Up	+$350	06-13 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:00 UTC	71	$2.5K	1,857	1,852	+5	Down	+$753	06-07 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 09:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	499	40¢	$200	0x681d1d…
08-03 09:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	373	30¢	$111	0x2d90ed…
08-03 09:47:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	373	51¢	$190	0xc863e5…
08-01 16:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	609	99¢	$603	0xef3b24…
08-01 16:21:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	609	49¢	$300	0x8b8ac6…
08-01 16:16:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x968427…
08-01 15:32:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	194	41¢	$79	0x3e5042…
08-01 15:31:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	129	45¢	$58	0xe9894d…
07-24 08:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x9fef1b…
07-24 08:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x5dc804…
07-24 08:36:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x86e37b…
07-09 17:15:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x8dcef0…
07-09 17:15:05	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	222	22¢	$50	0x21414c…
07-09 17:14:59	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0xa85589…
07-09 17:14:53	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x3120f4…
07-09 17:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb27530…
07-04 22:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	247	90¢	$223	0x81e26f…
07-04 22:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	247	52¢	$128	0xa6cf7e…
06-30 13:29:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	299	50¢	$150	0xee4b8c…
06-30 12:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x7f071a…
06-30 01:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x7dd93b…
06-30 01:20:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x4ac922…
06-30 00:33:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xb4b764…
06-29 21:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x86cb4d…
06-29 11:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xa069ac…
06-28 23:05:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	111	55¢	$61	0xc7be8d…
06-28 23:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xb5e6de…
06-28 23:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	143	84¢	$121	0xd70ccd…
06-28 23:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x126ad9…
06-28 22:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xf22cc5…
06-28 22:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	274	78¢	$213	0x7df3d6…
06-28 22:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	274	55¢	$150	0x1fb600…
06-28 22:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	315	16¢	$50	0x0ae56e…
06-28 14:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xd5b090…
06-28 14:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x59e063…
06-28 14:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xe40e64…
06-28 12:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x9f58fa…
06-28 11:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x7e0bb2…
06-26 22:45:37	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xf450eb…
06-26 22:45:19	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x2b6d0f…
06-26 22:43:40	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xdc57eb…
06-26 22:43:32	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x0fcc67…
06-25 22:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x66b35e…
06-25 21:28:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x7039fe…
06-24 19:59:17	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xd6f8f2…
06-24 18:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	148	17¢	$25	0x5dfd4b…
06-24 18:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	148	14¢	$20	0x32eeb8…
06-24 18:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	227	34¢	$77	0x520e0e…
06-24 18:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x98417c…
06-24 18:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	219	26¢	$57	0xd3221c…
06-24 18:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1,983	27¢	$538	0x477bfb…
06-24 18:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xf0adfa…
06-24 18:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2,153	24¢	$508	0x63ec93…
06-24 10:46:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x334f74…
06-24 08:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa1b8da…
06-24 08:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc86f23…
06-24 08:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb681e9…
06-23 20:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xeea373…
06-23 20:15:53	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	167	14¢	$23	0x0efcd4…
06-23 19:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x748e02…
06-23 19:52:07	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xebc192…
06-23 19:51:32	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x8cf9f7…
06-23 19:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	129	70¢	$90	0x045025…
06-23 05:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb64026…
06-23 05:57:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xe1d95d…
06-22 05:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x92e09e…
06-22 05:15:07	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xb4f8b8…
06-21 21:52:40	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xa43aa1…
06-21 21:51:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf4d7a2…
06-21 21:41:58	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x94a49f…
06-21 21:40:55	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x9f5350…
06-21 02:18:04	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x8b4689…
06-21 02:17:47	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xcffcea…
06-20 20:57:17	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	357	40¢	$143	0xe02fb6…
06-20 19:32:43	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x0e8538…
06-20 14:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	348	57¢	$200	0x78bd41…
06-20 09:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xcfff08…
06-18 19:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	390	51¢	$200	0x0d9696…
06-18 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	532	71¢	$378	0xb0cd36…
06-18 17:41:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	532	66¢	$351	0xb12a65…
06-18 17:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1,064	61¢	$649	0x5e5904…
06-18 17:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	709	58¢	$411	0x709935…
06-18 17:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,023	55¢	$566	0xe8fe18…
06-18 17:39:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	773	53¢	$410	0xe4e0bf…
06-18 17:39:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,041	50¢	$524	0x4b74a7…
06-18 17:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,212	33¢	$400	0x1d51ee…
06-18 15:38:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x0c8f56…
06-17 21:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x794d2f…
06-17 19:12:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	841	40¢	$339	0x135f38…
06-17 19:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	841	24¢	$200	0xa3d83d…
06-17 19:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	45	98¢	$45	0x66fcb1…
06-17 19:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3474a4…
06-17 19:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xb7cdf1…
06-17 19:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	265	45¢	$119	0x1bd8a6…
06-17 19:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	265	19¢	$50	0xefdc2e…
06-17 16:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x4ef6e7…
06-17 06:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x156d1e…
06-17 06:38:29	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x5a937c…
06-17 06:38:16	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xf9957a…
06-17 06:37:58	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xa1743c…