Lighthearted-Takeover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$45.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$512

Open exposure

$42

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-13 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

73% — —

Crypto

26% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No		-47	$-41	90¢	$-42	$-1	06-10 05:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$11.1K	5,561	5,560	+1	open	—	03-10 02:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$11.1K	5,540	5,539	+1	open	—	02-10 07:12
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$11.0K	5,522	5,520	+1	open	—	03-10 02:28
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$10.9K	5,483	5,481	+1	open	—	03-10 02:28
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	1	$41	0	47	-47	open	—	06-10 05:13
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$32	17	16	+2	open	—	03-03 09:10
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$30	16	14	+2	open	—	06-13 07:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	02-03 02:55
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-10 05:15
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-10 05:14
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 23	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-23 02:03
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	06-10 05:15
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-07 02:33
will ethereum dip to 2500 january 19 25	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	01-23 02:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-07 02:34
bitcoin above 58k on june 14 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-13 07:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-11 03:14
bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-10 05:16
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-17 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-17 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-29 03:12
ethereum above 3200 on january 23	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-23 02:03
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-03 03:02
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-07 02:33
bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	06-13 07:51
will anxiety doechii win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	01-31 03:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 05:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-11 03:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 03:20
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-03 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 07:51:21	bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6e4af9…
06-13 07:51:01	bitcoin above 58k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd17979…
06-13 07:47:48	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x59a0bc…
06-10 05:16:18	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1f0afc…
06-10 05:15:55	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xadd905…
06-10 05:15:36	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xabd8f8…
06-10 05:15:16	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x662c8f…
06-10 05:14:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdc7b70…
06-10 05:13:57	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0x3f04fb…
05-18 05:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4dba81…
05-18 05:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8e7b54…
05-18 05:03:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf3a25e…
05-18 05:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x834acd…
05-11 03:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0aa31f…
05-11 03:15:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7228bc…
05-11 03:14:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xae6904…
05-11 03:14:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe8e92b…
04-13 01:14:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x685621…
04-13 01:13:33	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd37f72…
04-13 01:13:25	bitcoin above 58k on april 14	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5d6d0a…
04-13 01:13:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x60c0a8…
04-13 01:12:47	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9c869e…
04-13 01:12:37	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe1892e…
04-07 02:34:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfa5314…
04-07 02:33:45	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2dd269…
04-07 02:33:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3bcbe2…
04-07 02:33:17	bitcoin above 56k on april 9	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8c4eef…
04-07 02:33:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2958c9…
04-07 02:32:53	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8027ee…
04-01 02:51:59	bitcoin above 56k on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb92003…
04-01 02:51:49	bitcoin above 80k on april 2	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6bd35c…
04-01 02:51:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x883e74…
03-29 03:13:50	bitcoin above 72k on march 29	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d6a1e…
03-29 03:13:40	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe52831…
03-29 03:13:34	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 190 214	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8fa577…
03-29 03:13:24	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52354b…
03-29 03:13:12	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbe9d79…
03-29 03:12:54	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9efc5b…
03-17 03:20:51	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb096c7…
03-17 03:20:43	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb762ec…
03-17 03:20:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3e4e14…
03-17 03:20:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa1df10…
03-17 03:20:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa51970…
03-10 02:31:03	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4e5311…
03-10 02:30:41	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9779e0…
03-10 02:30:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x070909…
03-10 02:30:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 10	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x091341…
03-10 02:29:55	ethereum above 1500 on march 13	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b4144…
03-10 02:29:47	ethereum above 2600 on march 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x428ca7…
03-10 02:29:39	ethereum above 1600 on march 11	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ecfff…
03-10 02:29:29	ethereum above 1800 on march 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5efa45…
03-10 02:29:21	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7cd6db…
03-10 02:29:13	bitcoin above 82k on march 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c6fd3…
03-10 02:29:07	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x59eea6…
03-10 02:29:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadd2bb…
03-10 02:28:33	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd813a6…
03-10 02:28:23	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x57d6de…
03-10 02:28:13	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4ff3c6…
03-03 09:19:29	will opinion launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa29d53…
03-03 09:19:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x197e0d…
03-03 09:19:03	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x55f204…
03-03 09:18:53	ethereum above 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x701aba…
03-03 09:18:33	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdf56e8…
03-03 09:18:09	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xceb54c…
03-03 09:10:55	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x7f1af0…
02-10 08:39:49	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	5,476	100¢	$5,465	0x7ebf55…
02-10 08:24:47	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	5,483	100¢	$5,477	0x67228b…
02-10 08:00:37	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5,515	100¢	$5,493	0xed0b4c…
02-10 07:40:01	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5,522	100¢	$5,505	0xac246f…
02-10 07:12:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	5,539	100¢	$5,522	0xfa5e4a…
02-10 06:51:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	5,540	100¢	$5,529	0xbdfeae…
02-10 02:31:37	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5,555	100¢	$5,544	0xe7c551…
02-10 02:04:09	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5,561	100¢	$5,556	0x9b73d1…
02-03 03:02:06	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xde7b0f…
02-03 03:01:34	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 560 579	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3951ee…
02-03 03:01:06	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x439b4f…
02-03 02:55:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7d97ed…
01-31 03:00:18	will anxiety doechii win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5a7636…
01-31 03:00:02	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the oklahoma city thunder	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa9cf7c…
01-31 02:59:44	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x03133c…
01-31 02:59:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x55d960…
01-24 02:23:04	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2bb8ec…
01-24 02:22:48	ethereum above 3200 on january 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x629b7d…
01-24 02:22:30	bitcoin above 94k on january 24	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd5391a…
01-23 02:05:02	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x0308e3…
01-23 02:04:34	will ethereum dip to 2500 january 19 25	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x76f1f3…
01-23 02:03:40	will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 23	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x105de6…
01-23 02:03:08	ethereum above 3200 on january 23	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8b45ee…