Lighthearted-Takeover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

3.0%

Resolved

104

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$387

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-13 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Sports

72% 0% -$17

Crypto

27% 96% -$4

Other

1% 96% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$3	98¢	$1	-$2	06-10 05:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$11.1K	5,561	5,560	+1	No	-$6	03-10 02:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$11.1K	5,540	5,539	+1	No	-$6	02-10 07:12
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$11.0K	5,522	5,520	+1	No	-$6	03-10 02:28
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$10.9K	5,483	5,481	+1	No	-$5	03-10 02:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 13?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	10-13 06:44
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	09-10 02:45
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	2	$85	48	47	+1	open	—	06-10 05:13
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	2	$58	35	34	+1	No	-$7	08-20 02:52
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$45	30	15	+15	No	+$0	08-17 06:06
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$32	17	16	+2	No	$0	03-03 09:10
will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-23 04:50
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-06 05:32
will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-23 04:50
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-23 04:50
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$30	16	14	+2	No	$0	06-13 07:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	02-03 02:55
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-10 05:15
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-10 05:14
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 23	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-23 02:03
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-10 05:15
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-07 02:33
will ethereum dip to 2500 january 19 25	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-23 02:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-07 02:34
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-17 06:07
bitcoin above 58k on june 14 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-13 07:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-11 03:14
bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-10 05:16
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-17 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-17 03:20
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-29 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 06:44:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x287c18…
09-10 02:45:04	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x77c125…
08-20 02:52:01	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	SELL	34	74¢	$25	0x112755…
08-17 06:07:13	Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0d87c0…
08-17 06:06:51	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5fbd6b…
08-06 05:33:08	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xec3420…
08-06 05:32:23	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd4d626…
08-06 05:32:08	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x183929…
07-23 04:50:43	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1fe7f4…
07-23 04:50:24	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x921307…
07-23 04:50:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x433d3b…
07-04 05:11:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2b3a01…
07-04 05:09:55	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0d349f…
07-04 05:09:32	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda7796…
07-04 05:09:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c29d0…
07-04 05:08:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ea317…
07-04 05:08:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd52432…
07-04 05:08:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d21e4…
07-04 05:07:59	bitcoin above 50k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa0929e…
07-04 05:07:46	bitcoin above 56k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf0f77…
07-04 05:07:29	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51028e…
07-04 05:07:14	bitcoin above 58k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x72757c…
06-27 07:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2db7d4…
06-27 06:59:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59acfe…
06-27 06:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcef8d9…
06-13 07:51:21	bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6e4af9…
06-13 07:51:01	bitcoin above 58k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd17979…
06-13 07:47:48	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x59a0bc…
06-10 05:16:18	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1f0afc…
06-10 05:15:55	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xadd905…
06-10 05:15:36	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xabd8f8…
06-10 05:15:16	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x662c8f…
06-10 05:14:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdc7b70…
06-10 05:13:57	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0x3f04fb…
05-23 06:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x599fa3…
05-23 06:45:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe3960f…
05-23 06:45:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x085e74…
05-23 06:44:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x44d8d8…
05-18 05:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4dba81…
05-18 05:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8e7b54…
05-18 05:03:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf3a25e…
05-18 05:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x834acd…
05-11 03:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0aa31f…
05-11 03:15:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7228bc…
05-11 03:14:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xae6904…
05-11 03:14:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe8e92b…
05-01 03:52:46	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x1d2aa6…
04-13 01:14:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x685621…
04-13 01:13:33	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd37f72…
04-13 01:13:25	bitcoin above 58k on april 14	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5d6d0a…
04-13 01:13:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x60c0a8…
04-13 01:12:47	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9c869e…
04-13 01:12:37	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe1892e…
04-07 02:34:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfa5314…
04-07 02:33:45	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2dd269…
04-07 02:33:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3bcbe2…
04-07 02:33:17	bitcoin above 56k on april 9	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8c4eef…
04-07 02:33:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2958c9…
04-07 02:32:53	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8027ee…
04-01 02:51:59	bitcoin above 56k on april 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb92003…
04-01 02:51:49	bitcoin above 80k on april 2	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6bd35c…
04-01 02:51:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x883e74…
03-29 03:13:50	bitcoin above 72k on march 29	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d6a1e…
03-29 03:13:40	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe52831…
03-29 03:13:34	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 190 214	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8fa577…
03-29 03:13:24	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52354b…
03-29 03:13:12	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbe9d79…
03-29 03:12:54	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9efc5b…
03-17 03:20:51	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb096c7…
03-17 03:20:43	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb762ec…
03-17 03:20:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3e4e14…
03-17 03:20:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa1df10…
03-17 03:20:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa51970…
03-10 02:31:03	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4e5311…
03-10 02:30:41	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9779e0…
03-10 02:30:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 11	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x070909…
03-10 02:30:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 10	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x091341…
03-10 02:29:55	ethereum above 1500 on march 13	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b4144…
03-10 02:29:47	ethereum above 2600 on march 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x428ca7…
03-10 02:29:39	ethereum above 1600 on march 11	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ecfff…
03-10 02:29:29	ethereum above 1800 on march 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5efa45…
03-10 02:29:21	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7cd6db…
03-10 02:29:13	bitcoin above 82k on march 12	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c6fd3…
03-10 02:29:07	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x59eea6…
03-10 02:29:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadd2bb…
03-10 02:28:33	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd813a6…
03-10 02:28:23	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x57d6de…
03-10 02:28:13	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4ff3c6…
03-03 09:19:29	will opinion launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa29d53…
03-03 09:19:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x197e0d…
03-03 09:19:03	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x55f204…
03-03 09:18:53	ethereum above 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x701aba…
03-03 09:18:33	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdf56e8…
03-03 09:18:09	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xceb54c…
03-03 09:10:55	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x7f1af0…
02-10 08:39:49	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	5,476	100¢	$5,465	0x7ebf55…
02-10 08:24:47	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	5,483	100¢	$5,477	0x67228b…
02-10 08:00:37	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5,515	100¢	$5,493	0xed0b4c…
02-10 07:40:01	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5,522	100¢	$5,505	0xac246f…
02-10 07:12:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	5,539	100¢	$5,522	0xfa5e4a…