Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

24.8%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$862

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-15 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

54% 33% -$1

Other

46% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No		+21	$13	64¢	$13	$0	09-15 08:29
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes		+21	$16	36¢	$8	-$9	09-14 17:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	18	$123	214	40	+175	open	—	10-11 03:33
Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	8	$80	113	29	+84	Yes	-$3	09-03 23:41
Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	8	$62	65	59	+6	No	+$2	08-24 23:11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	9	$53	64	60	+4	open	—	10-15 17:12
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	9	$48	67	67	+0	No	-$5	08-17 05:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	4	$44	46	46	+0	open	—	09-11 20:54
us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 9	4	$43	43	43	+0	Yes	-$5	09-21 23:46
Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?	4	$40	42	38	+4	open	—	08-27 16:50
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	4	$39	66	24	+42	open	—	09-15 08:29
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	4	$36	67	25	+42	open	—	10-01 22:56
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	4	$34	21	21	+0	open	—	10-07 23:46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 0%-3%?	4	$30	63	21	+42	open	—	09-25 05:39
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	09-06 18:12
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	2	$28	42	0	+42	open	—	10-14 03:52
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	09-18 16:47
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	2	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	09-30 10:15
Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	3	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	08-19 07:51
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	3	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	08-17 03:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	09-16 05:08
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	2	$15	21	21	+0	open	—	08-11 20:28
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	10-15 17:13
Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	3	$12	21	21	+0	No	+$0	08-25 23:20
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	2	$10	21	21	+0	open	—	08-15 10:43
will dji be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230552	2	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	08-18 13:04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 20%-25%?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	09-21 08:09
Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	2	$6	18	18	+0	No	-$1	08-29 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 17:13:29	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x891efa…
10-15 17:12:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xd7b1b1…
10-14 18:52:45	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x1e1998…
10-14 03:52:14	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x6c6c2a…
10-14 01:57:43	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x3e3c32…
10-11 03:33:47	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x06fe1b…
10-11 02:29:33	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0x47d2ce…
10-10 13:07:46	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x579435…
10-10 09:36:45	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfb2fc6…
10-10 07:53:13	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa720ed…
10-09 19:01:53	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x136bbc…
10-09 16:56:59	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x8c77f5…
10-09 13:39:30	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x15a210…
10-09 13:37:48	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe7beac…
10-09 13:37:48	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xd47d50…
10-09 09:35:52	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xcffaa3…
10-09 06:41:36	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x8c02ef…
10-08 20:03:39	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xc0be1f…
10-08 16:10:15	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf16489…
10-08 16:02:12	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x976f6d…
10-08 13:55:14	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdf3fab…
10-08 11:14:05	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xd4b08f…
10-08 10:43:36	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	No	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x2f0f13…
10-07 23:46:05	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0x85c368…
10-02 20:03:41	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd8aa46…
10-02 20:03:36	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xc12ec8…
10-02 20:03:36	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x0f0a45…
10-01 22:56:06	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x6922dc…
10-01 17:29:14	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x171ada…
10-01 16:59:27	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0xf0faf0…
10-01 07:44:53	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xeb2144…
09-30 10:15:24	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x36a6dc…
09-29 20:34:47	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x37cb9b…
09-25 05:39:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x1f7613…
09-24 15:41:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x86788c…
09-24 13:06:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xaec2d8…
09-24 12:21:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0xae8680…
09-23 15:15:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc2d21b…
09-23 12:26:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0xbb1378…
09-23 12:26:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x110134…
09-23 02:39:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x1004df…
09-22 22:07:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x04ac3e…
09-22 08:20:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x0be458…
09-22 08:20:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xc7b2ac…
09-22 08:20:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x94ff8d…
09-21 23:46:54	us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 9	No	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x086df8…
09-21 14:57:00	us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 9	Yes	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x006593…
09-21 14:10:56	us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 9	No	BUY	22	39¢	$8	0x95f6c0…
09-21 13:31:56	us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 9	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xe2a497…
09-21 08:09:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xc7bcb6…
09-20 18:37:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xabb7bf…
09-18 16:47:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x930191…
09-18 02:50:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x895423…
09-16 05:08:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x3c7b25…
09-16 02:45:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xb52d48…
09-15 08:29:01	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xa4b290…
09-15 01:02:39	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xb5c0df…
09-14 18:14:10	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x4d5ead…
09-14 17:33:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x329b31…
09-11 20:54:33	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xe9b2af…
09-11 07:26:49	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x546898…
09-11 07:00:46	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0x811bbb…
09-10 02:27:55	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x2a3428…
09-06 18:12:39	Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0xb2e966…
09-05 22:05:45	Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc0b436…
09-05 22:05:45	Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x28b011…
09-03 23:41:10	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x5600ed…
09-03 10:28:55	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x1876a1…
09-03 06:01:37	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0xdd86d4…
08-30 20:07:28	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x2302e3…
08-30 14:07:25	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0x7238f7…
08-30 14:06:39	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x6e03c5…
08-30 14:06:10	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xbf7d2d…
08-30 12:21:00	Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x1f84ab…
08-29 16:18:13	Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x83dd76…
08-28 04:48:03	Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x46c0f2…
08-27 16:50:42	Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0xbcd6a3…
08-27 11:19:52	Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x3dbe88…
08-27 11:19:52	Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x3dbe88…
08-27 06:00:04	Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xf062e2…
08-25 23:20:43	Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x0edc80…
08-25 20:30:34	Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x535f48…
08-25 20:16:40	Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xf49b4e…
08-24 23:11:55	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xab5e87…
08-22 11:50:13	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x448329…
08-22 09:04:00	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x63ed6b…
08-21 22:27:39	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x1d7f6d…
08-21 20:43:09	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xceb71d…
08-21 20:24:22	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xe4e7eb…
08-21 18:25:03	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x4c32b3…
08-21 01:42:21	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5767e4…
08-19 07:51:30	Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xf3aa5a…
08-19 06:47:21	Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xdccfe0…
08-18 17:45:25	Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2c6159…
08-18 13:04:46	will dji be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230552	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0x541795…
08-17 22:28:28	will dji be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230552	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xabfc62…
08-17 05:37:00	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x5913e2…
08-17 04:52:04	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb488cf…
08-17 04:52:04	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2720cb…
08-17 03:13:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x993397…