Scared-Pilaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$279

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$227

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-29 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

89% 0% -$3

Crypto

8% 100% +$4

Other

2% 33% +$279

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$6.8K	3,404	3,404	+0	No	-$3	06-16 10:41
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$6.8K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	06-16 10:45
dji up or down on february 4 2026	1	$346	630	0	+630	Up	+$284	02-04 11:05
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-13 08:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 23?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-23 07:32
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 2?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-02 07:03
bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-11 09:38
will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 9	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-09 08:05
xrp above 1pt3 on july 7 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-07 08:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-01 07:42
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-17 07:18
will xrp reach 1pt3 on july 10	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-10 08:00
will bitcoin reach 70k on june 22	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-22 08:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	06-15 08:24
bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	06-17 08:00
will bitcoin reach 70k on june 12	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-12 08:00
bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-10 07:32
Will XRP dip to $0.85 on July 29?	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-29 06:39
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-23 07:02
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-23 09:44
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-05 08:00
bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	06-04 08:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-08 08:18
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on June 3?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-03 08:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-01 08:22
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 2?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-02 08:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	05-26 08:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-30 08:19
will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 24	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-24 07:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-28 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 06:40:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xd55671…
07-29 06:39:50	Will XRP dip to $0.85 on July 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x910b65…
07-24 07:22:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeaf22d…
07-24 07:22:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a9f92…
07-24 07:21:48	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xec5bf2…
07-23 07:02:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x577f28…
07-23 07:02:00	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc56a9a…
07-17 07:22:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xf00938…
07-17 07:18:16	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x807d9f…
07-13 08:12:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x95cb34…
07-13 08:10:25	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3cfcab…
07-10 08:05:28	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x00e05d…
07-10 08:00:02	will xrp reach 1pt3 on july 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x81fc90…
07-09 08:06:22	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 9	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x17ce34…
07-09 08:05:37	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 9	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x49a1c5…
07-07 08:17:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2da66c…
07-07 08:16:01	xrp above 1pt3 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd74207…
07-02 07:04:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd02ae9…
07-02 07:03:44	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x16f72e…
07-01 07:42:46	xrp above 1pt2 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x76ea19…
07-01 07:42:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x4823a4…
06-23 07:33:20	will xrp dip to 0pt95 on june 23	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x09c170…
06-23 07:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 23?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc9db28…
06-22 09:00:58	will xrp dip to 0pt9 on june 22	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdd388d…
06-22 08:58:05	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 22	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x46aa36…
06-17 08:01:35	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xec2894…
06-17 08:00:41	bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf17b9a…
06-16 10:45:12	Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,400	100¢	$3,394	0xf1fb8e…
06-16 10:43:22	Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,400	100¢	$3,397	0x2c8361…
06-16 10:41:54	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3,404	100¢	$3,398	0xa9283a…
06-16 10:39:55	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3,404	100¢	$3,401	0x179713…
06-15 08:25:40	xrp above 1pt3 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x94f384…
06-15 08:24:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfbe9a9…
06-12 08:01:12	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe3620f…
06-12 08:00:27	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 12	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xadb019…
06-11 09:38:01	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x73aa35…
06-10 08:07:43	xrp above 1pt2 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xde406a…
06-10 07:32:00	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x94f95e…
06-08 08:19:43	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe1e1f8…
06-08 08:18:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x162be5…
06-05 08:02:12	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x1b7f87…
06-05 08:00:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb09e73…
06-04 08:51:07	xrp above 1 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7abbe1…
06-04 08:49:30	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc970ec…
06-03 08:41:22	Will XRP dip to $1.05 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe432de…
06-03 08:39:56	Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x638f67…
06-02 08:24:40	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe28d55…
06-02 08:23:56	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x560c50…
06-01 08:23:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7043ef…
06-01 08:22:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xe00c10…
05-30 08:20:34	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x06679d…
05-30 08:19:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x238c98…
05-29 08:23:19	Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xb9e12a…
05-29 08:22:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x173870…
05-28 09:34:53	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xb8f352…
05-28 09:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xfc2693…
05-28 09:31:58	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	671	1¢	$5	0x61565a…
05-28 09:25:03	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x742d0c…
05-27 10:06:09	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x66a6ec…
05-27 10:05:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x43f2b8…
05-26 08:44:26	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb45d9d…
05-26 08:41:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xd701a5…
05-23 09:44:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xeb87f8…
05-23 09:44:07	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe729cd…
05-23 09:43:18	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72d9d2…
02-04 11:05:20	dji up or down on february 4 2026	Up	BUY	630	55¢	$346	0x891bd4…
02-02 09:17:24	ethereum above 2700 on february 2	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef5168…