Frigid-Analogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

2,289

Trades

5,017

lifetime

Volume

$729.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-05 22:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$5,476

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:00 UTC	13	$5.5K	5,135	3,432	+1,702	Down	-$874	08-11 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 17:30 UTC	18	$5.3K	6,159	4,034	+2,124	Up	-$1,742	07-30 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 02:15 UTC	17	$4.5K	4,096	4,096	+0	Down	-$1,876	08-02 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 04:15 UTC	16	$4.2K	4,905	2,915	+1,990	Down	-$2,778	08-02 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	10	$4.2K	3,778	3,778	+0	Down	-$1,147	08-11 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:00 UTC	11	$4.1K	5,041	3,179	+1,862	Down	-$996	07-30 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 16:15 UTC	10	$4.0K	4,856	2,954	+1,902	Down	-$91	07-30 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 18:30 UTC	11	$3.9K	3,814	3,439	+376	Up	-$1,365	08-12 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 02:30 UTC	16	$3.9K	4,876	2,536	+2,340	Down	-$934	08-02 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 10:15 UTC	10	$3.8K	3,807	2,267	+1,540	Up	-$500	08-11 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	11	$3.5K	3,219	2,179	+1,040	Up	-$973	08-09 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 13:30 UTC	6	$3.4K	2,970	1,644	+1,325	Up	-$322	08-05 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	14	$3.3K	2,886	1,778	+1,109	Up	-$134	08-09 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:15 UTC	8	$3.2K	3,921	1,587	+2,334	Up	-$669	08-11 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 04:00 UTC	10	$3.1K	3,450	1,227	+2,223	Down	-$41	08-12 04:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 03:45 UTC	9	$3.0K	3,564	1,406	+2,157	Down	-$602	08-02 03:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 02:45 UTC	11	$2.9K	3,595	1,680	+1,916	Up	-$383	08-02 02:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 12:45 UTC	9	$2.8K	3,050	1,619	+1,431	Down	-$218	08-02 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 18:45 UTC	6	$2.7K	3,589	899	+2,690	Down	+$438	07-30 18:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 15:00 UTC	10	$2.7K	3,060	1,149	+1,911	Up	+$257	08-11 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 05:45 UTC	9	$2.7K	2,877	1,422	+1,456	Up	-$2,389	08-16 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC	9	$2.7K	3,157	1,514	+1,644	Up	-$687	08-02 15:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:15 UTC	7	$2.6K	2,762	1,599	+1,163	Down	-$381	07-23 13:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	12	$2.5K	2,585	994	+1,590	Down	-$290	08-08 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC	9	$2.5K	3,397	1,697	+1,700	Up	-$199	08-14 10:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 16:30 UTC	7	$2.5K	1,880	1,375	+505	Down	-$243	08-12 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:30 UTC	9	$2.4K	2,967	1,734	+1,232	Up	-$141	08-11 11:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 14:15 UTC	8	$2.4K	2,777	2,777	+0	Up	-$1,783	08-03 14:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 14:00 UTC	7	$2.4K	2,729	801	+1,928	Up	+$218	08-05 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 03:00 UTC	7	$2.4K	2,981	867	+2,114	Down	+$469	08-02 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 22:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	555	90¢	$500	0xd022e8…
09-05 22:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	53	56¢	$30	0x064677…
09-05 22:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x974090…
09-05 22:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	712	16¢	$114	0xd9cad1…
09-05 22:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	712	70¢	$500	0x80f1b5…
09-05 15:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	559	90¢	$500	0xfd2aa4…
09-05 14:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	570	88¢	$500	0x05003a…
09-05 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x3f4efa…
09-05 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	569	88¢	$500	0x1307e3…
09-04 14:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x131b25…
09-02 23:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	629	79¢	$500	0x9e4f86…
09-02 20:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	538	77¢	$415	0x4181c2…
09-02 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x1123a0…
09-02 19:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	550	91¢	$500	0x73e390…
09-02 19:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	82	41¢	$34	0x8b10dc…
09-02 19:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x0827ad…
09-02 19:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0xfb42ab…
09-02 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0xfe7b0b…
09-02 18:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x54b472…
09-02 14:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0x759e46…
09-02 14:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x1214f3…
09-02 14:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	583	86¢	$500	0x5264e9…
09-02 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	579	86¢	$500	0xf4b389…
09-02 13:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	621	80¢	$500	0x77b140…
09-02 13:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	541	92¢	$500	0x9cb467…
09-02 12:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0xdaa22d…
09-02 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0xe56d39…
09-02 12:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	564	89¢	$500	0x7df34f…
09-02 12:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	622	60¢	$373	0x5be399…
09-02 12:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	622	80¢	$500	0x510fc8…
09-02 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x6f7493…
09-02 11:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	609	82¢	$500	0xce2f50…
09-02 09:05:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0xf53cd6…
09-02 09:02:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	560	89¢	$500	0x1647a1…
09-02 08:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	706	71¢	$500	0x5f41b6…
09-02 08:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x878004…
09-02 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x265c9c…
09-01 19:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0x5ff813…
09-01 19:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	599	67¢	$402	0x74cf30…
09-01 19:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	599	84¢	$500	0xac10e8…
09-01 18:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x0dd962…
09-01 18:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0xec2084…
09-01 17:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	611	82¢	$500	0xc3bf8e…
09-01 17:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x041a5f…
09-01 17:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x56d0fe…
09-01 16:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	598	84¢	$500	0xfdc092…
09-01 16:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0x439670…
09-01 16:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	539	91¢	$490	0xc7acd8…
09-01 16:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0x03bd85…
09-01 15:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	551	91¢	$500	0x4efbf0…
09-01 15:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	567	88¢	$500	0x968f2b…
09-01 15:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	590	85¢	$500	0x6ffc01…
09-01 14:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	582	86¢	$500	0x754916…
09-01 14:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	604	83¢	$500	0xdca3bd…
09-01 13:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	593	84¢	$500	0x79ccfa…
09-01 13:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	516	97¢	$500	0x88f110…
09-01 13:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	553	90¢	$500	0x7de450…
09-01 13:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0xebf1ef…
09-01 12:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	536	93¢	$500	0xccc6ab…
09-01 12:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	524	95¢	$500	0xdaa551…
09-01 12:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0x6ac73a…
09-01 12:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	592	60¢	$354	0x56ae45…
09-01 12:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	592	84¢	$500	0xb6688e…
09-01 11:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	296	31¢	$93	0x03f37d…
09-01 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	290	45¢	$130	0xed0490…
09-01 11:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	586	85¢	$500	0x73563a…
09-01 11:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	586	85¢	$500	0x3d7a32…
09-01 05:39:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x682878…
09-01 05:37:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	564	89¢	$500	0xb563e0…
09-01 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	79	87¢	$69	0xa3cd96…
09-01 04:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0xb9289e…
09-01 04:59:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	525	95¢	$500	0xa86d92…
09-01 04:58:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	476	1¢	$5	0x4d2f93…
09-01 04:58:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0xbd5ff8…
09-01 04:23:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	95	6¢	$5	0xe46aad…
09-01 04:21:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	594	84¢	$500	0x999594…
09-01 04:18:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x1007d1…
09-01 04:13:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	299	2¢	$6	0x90529b…
09-01 04:13:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	785	5¢	$43	0xbb9b8a…
09-01 04:10:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xfa03bf…
09-01 04:08:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xa89878…
09-01 03:54:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	525	95¢	$500	0x39de1a…
09-01 03:47:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	583	86¢	$500	0x92aca1…
09-01 03:34:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	537	93¢	$500	0xd486fb…
09-01 03:32:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	589	85¢	$500	0xb432ad…
09-01 03:28:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0x14397f…
09-01 03:13:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	549	33¢	$181	0x19f8ec…
09-01 03:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0x8cee84…
09-01 02:50:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	613	82¢	$500	0x9c9a77…
09-01 02:33:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	558	90¢	$500	0x8b5d79…
09-01 02:32:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	576	87¢	$500	0x36d8cd…
09-01 02:29:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x048593…
09-01 02:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	582	11¢	$63	0xd6ddbb…
09-01 02:23:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	582	86¢	$500	0x885b2d…
09-01 02:03:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	626	80¢	$500	0x0f4bad…
09-01 01:54:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0xc57e7c…
09-01 01:51:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	565	89¢	$500	0x51d669…
09-01 01:35:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	596	84¢	$500	0xacc3fa…
09-01 01:26:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xc72239…
09-01 01:26:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x4b7aaf…