Frosty-Millstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,503 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$33

$3.26K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 09-14 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

100% 20% -$1,526

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 7?	182	$318	3,325	0	+3,325	No	-$318	06-06 18:50
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?	1	$148	583	0	+583	No	-$148	06-08 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?	4	$140	1,281	1,281	+0	No	+$4	05-25 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on May 26?	3	$119	6,837	0	+6,837	No	-$119	05-24 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 26?	2	$109	639	639	+0	No	-$105	05-25 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 10?	2	$54	194	194	+0	No	-$15	06-08 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 10?	1	$53	277	0	+277	No	-$53	06-08 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or below on May 26?	3	$35	4,487	0	+4,487	No	-$35	05-24 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10?	2	$24	83	83	+0	No	-$3	06-08 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 9?	2	$23	47	47	+0	Yes	-$6	06-08 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9?	2	$23	91	91	+0	No	-$1	06-08 17:25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or below on May 27?	2	$19	806	0	+806	No	-$19	05-24 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10?	2	$15	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	06-08 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?	2	$14	25	25	+0	Yes	-$2	06-08 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10?	2	$12	26	26	+0	No	$0	06-08 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10?	2	$8	22	22	+0	No	-$2	06-08 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9?	1	$8	24	0	+24	No	-$8	06-08 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 11?	2	$8	33	33	+0	No	+$6	09-11 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 9?	2	$8	15	15	+0	No	$0	06-08 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 9?	2	$7	13	13	+0	No	-$1	06-08 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 10?	1	$7	32	0	+32	No	-$7	06-08 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 10?	2	$6	9	9	+0	No	$0	06-08 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 31?	3	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	05-29 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 26?	1	$5	521	0	+521	No	-$5	05-24 16:46
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?	1	$5	21	0	+21	No	-$5	06-08 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 10?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	06-08 16:47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 31?	3	$5	11	0	+11	Yes	+$6	05-29 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 11?	2	$4	10	10	+0	No	+$2	09-11 10:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?	1	$4	8	0	+8	No	-$4	05-22 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 11?	2	$4	14	0	+14	No	-$4	06-10 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 10:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x87f699…
09-13 10:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe1bcb5…
09-11 13:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 11?	Yes	SELL	33	20¢	$7	0x3ef182…
09-11 10:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4faf97…
09-11 02:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x5cf43d…
09-10 05:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa0b5be…
09-10 05:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x17d936…
09-10 05:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 11?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x182c51…
09-10 05:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x084c34…
09-10 04:59:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb89217…
09-10 04:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xea362d…
09-10 04:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on September 11?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xbc4cbf…
09-10 04:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x1baa62…
09-10 04:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x03d515…
09-10 04:57:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf67956…
09-10 04:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x50d47e…
09-10 04:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd0eec8…
09-10 04:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd9f029…
09-10 04:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7a6e87…
09-10 04:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9f55dd…
09-10 04:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x53ac96…
09-10 04:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x62f1fc…
08-14 05:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9fee3b…
08-14 05:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa3c00c…
06-18 17:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x9b3641…
06-18 17:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4eb5ac…
06-18 17:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1f2af7…
06-18 17:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	129	2¢	$2	0xfb0ab4…
06-18 17:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xde5be0…
06-18 17:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8129b7…
06-18 17:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xeefb30…
06-18 17:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x45c319…
06-18 17:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x2c17a7…
06-18 17:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x56ff80…
06-18 17:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x311e53…
06-18 17:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2346ed…
06-18 17:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd00dd4…
06-18 17:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$3	0xc4bb9f…
06-18 17:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0664fa…
06-18 14:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x0f4c76…
06-18 14:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xf12678…
06-18 14:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee0181…
06-18 14:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x9fcb1a…
06-18 14:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on June 19?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x4a7737…
06-18 14:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x4231db…
06-18 14:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	165	2¢	$3	0x9a3b38…
06-18 14:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaac982…
06-18 14:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x777352…
06-18 14:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9620e6…
06-18 14:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x3bbde0…
06-18 14:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x05a942…
06-18 11:03:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x7f495b…
06-18 11:03:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc36d0c…
06-18 11:03:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x31d2b0…
06-18 11:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x518f55…
06-18 11:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xc377fa…
06-18 11:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1c84e8…
06-18 11:02:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$2	0x90aad3…
06-18 11:02:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x51d25b…
06-18 11:02:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xca6eaf…
06-18 11:02:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x896ef6…
06-18 11:02:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7ce656…
06-18 11:02:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x013643…
06-18 11:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x4ea541…
06-18 11:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	48	3¢	$2	0x985772…
06-18 11:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$2	0x094cf2…
06-18 11:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf8e77b…
06-18 11:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd37e15…
06-18 11:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$2	0x1f3f95…
06-18 08:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x97e398…
06-18 08:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x866f35…
06-18 08:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x11b013…
06-18 08:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$1	0x2beecb…
06-18 08:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd51614…
06-18 08:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x1b5b4d…
06-18 08:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd407dd…
06-18 08:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf7eea…
06-18 08:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x51dd13…
06-18 08:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x78a244…
06-18 08:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4c0a24…
06-18 08:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x34e1e2…
06-18 08:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xed1c7a…
06-18 08:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbcce5f…
06-18 08:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xad3f11…
06-18 08:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x541b27…
06-18 08:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x44219a…
06-18 08:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x22daca…
06-18 08:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x79f915…
06-18 08:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x56b77c…
06-18 08:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x245c14…
06-18 08:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x457a7e…
06-18 08:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xbf258e…
06-18 08:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0x88c653…
06-18 08:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf46621…
06-18 08:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0xe50ac6…
06-18 08:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x840f16…
06-18 08:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$2	0xd7af5b…
06-18 08:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc235c9…
06-18 08:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	276	1¢	$2	0x1412ac…
06-15 16:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbfb669…