Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$105

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-21

last 11-01 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

82% 54% +$1

Politics

16% 62% +$5

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on october 16 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Down	$0	10-16 04:33
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 04:02
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-14 05:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 08:27
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-16 23:28
will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-13 21:36
will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-24 02:59
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 23:35
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-16 15:27
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$2	09-22 07:35
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 17:48
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-09 14:08
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-15 09:23
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 07:18
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-16 06:17
spx up or down on august 26 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	08-26 02:38
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-10 02:27
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 17:37
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-23 18:28
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-25 04:55
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-14 14:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	09-22 15:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-14 22:27
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-17 07:30
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-21 07:19
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-30 11:58
will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-27 17:48
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-08 02:31
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-02 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:47:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0ac3dd…
10-22 20:25:26	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcf57c1…
10-22 12:23:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa4c153…
10-18 12:09:51	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa792f1…
10-18 00:13:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x094b2d…
10-17 16:11:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd08170…
10-17 04:18:54	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeab5b6…
10-16 13:01:46	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe71321…
10-16 04:33:42	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb38a95…
10-16 01:52:07	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x234c0e…
10-15 15:07:49	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6de157…
10-15 07:07:29	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa7defd…
10-14 23:07:09	saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 20	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x22f4bc…
10-14 13:19:12	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5d8629…
10-14 04:55:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa187df…
10-13 20:48:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0305d1…
10-13 12:15:49	will nvda reach 228 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x562418…
10-11 03:49:44	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x41308f…
10-10 19:34:43	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe589d0…
10-10 04:48:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8bf606…
10-09 19:37:37	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd19b48…
10-06 21:12:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2ad434…
10-06 12:51:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xecff92…
10-06 04:42:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcb3c9b…
10-05 17:56:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd7e969…
10-05 00:19:16	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x81570b…
10-02 10:28:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb4f934…
10-02 01:37:51	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0c2a4e…
10-01 08:54:53	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x71da27…
09-30 23:23:26	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5d9183…
09-30 11:56:24	meta up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1f0b48…
09-30 03:56:02	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcb2ab2…
09-29 19:55:48	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4eb0e3…
09-29 11:43:12	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3b89c5…
09-29 03:41:24	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x311812…
09-28 19:41:06	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x451705…
09-28 10:35:44	spy closes above 770 on september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xafd049…
09-28 00:56:35	will tsla dip to 352 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb6233c…
09-27 16:44:05	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf3bd8f…
09-27 06:23:23	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6c4b0b…
09-26 21:29:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x241f2f…
09-26 07:13:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x552d3c…
09-25 21:37:36	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x13b3b6…
09-25 13:37:21	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa79f6f…
09-25 04:53:29	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc79f65…
09-25 03:33:36	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x82be8a…
09-24 19:12:17	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc6414c…
09-24 10:59:38	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc31ce8…
09-24 02:59:22	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa63283…
09-23 18:28:01	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4966b0…
09-23 10:02:16	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4ece21…
09-23 00:11:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x742cfa…
09-22 15:44:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x15474d…
09-22 07:35:40	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x3e14cc…
09-21 23:35:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe90c4c…
09-21 15:27:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdb51fd…
09-21 07:19:47	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x77e1cb…
09-21 07:18:17	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf22b0c…
09-20 22:16:28	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7c422b…
09-19 23:07:13	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb52810…
09-19 04:02:45	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x03b786…
09-17 17:37:58	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe84306…
09-17 07:30:21	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2a695a…
09-16 23:28:03	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8fb4a9…
09-16 15:27:45	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x52171d…
09-16 06:17:19	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7ac835…
09-15 18:16:30	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x98a4e2…
09-15 09:23:01	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x89a95c…
09-14 22:27:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xde2974…
09-14 14:10:18	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6906c6…
09-14 05:38:46	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x4226a2…
09-13 21:36:42	will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0e8707…
09-10 18:05:36	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb195b0…
09-10 08:27:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x68a945…
09-10 02:27:12	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc01c29…
09-09 14:08:16	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xdd43c6…
09-09 05:56:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7121a7…
09-08 17:48:30	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x31233b…
09-08 02:31:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x28fcd5…
09-07 16:09:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0d3caf…
09-02 18:31:25	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02239b…
09-01 09:57:52	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x659c1a…
08-31 13:54:07	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4e8d74…
08-31 05:35:06	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf2eea5…
08-30 21:32:15	will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x73ba1e…
08-30 11:58:39	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa6e090…
08-30 01:37:34	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb61b1f…
08-29 16:47:09	will coin reach 185 in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbb0ed3…
08-29 08:45:21	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x957abb…
08-27 17:48:19	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x908b61…
08-27 09:46:28	will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb93048…
08-26 13:38:54	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1f1b0a…
08-26 02:38:45	spx up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x60f590…
08-25 04:55:28	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xc25565…
08-24 20:53:13	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x57fbdc…
08-24 10:29:40	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x4284c2…
08-24 02:18:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb6cc5e…
08-23 08:55:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7850b7…
08-22 01:32:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4a14f3…
08-21 15:37:06	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc02887…