Critical-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

138

Trades

519

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-14 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 89% +$3,399

Other

40% 71% +$1,535

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No		+6	$6	99¢	$6	+$0	05-14 06:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on february 15	29	$1.9K	1,380	2,080	-700	No	+$402	02-14 08:03
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	4	$639	346	846	-500	No	+$29	02-23 05:15
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	11	$611	2,200	700	+1,500	Up	-$53	02-13 14:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 9	4	$557	900	900	+0	Yes	+$279	02-08 22:51
spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	9	$554	500	1,400	-900	Down	+$384	02-19 11:25
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$546	849	1,249	-400	Yes	+$168	02-23 10:52
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$538	500	500	+0	Yes	+$368	01-31 09:17
spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	11	$473	4,100	0	+4,100	Down	-$473	02-26 14:30
will gold gc hit low 4450 by end of february 844 276 171 389 959 616 957 814 619 837	8	$437	1,985	480	+1,505	No	+$194	02-22 23:39
ethereum above 1800 on february 27	2	$436	344	344	+0	Yes	+$223	02-25 20:05
nvda above 170 on february 27 2026	5	$413	400	400	+0	Yes	+$165	02-14 13:41
coin up or down on february 20 2026	2	$387	44	444	-400	Up	-$32	02-20 18:33
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 15	2	$372	300	300	+0	No	+$186	02-08 17:47
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of february	4	$362	353	344	+8	No	+$243	02-23 02:51
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$359	515	515	+0	No	+$45	02-09 18:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 11	4	$346	810	806	+4	No	+$156	02-10 06:23
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	10	$343	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$263	02-28 13:54
bitcoin up or down on february 9	2	$332	700	700	+0	Down	+$192	02-08 18:34
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$328	297	297	+0	Yes	+$114	02-17 09:41
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 15	2	$303	300	300	+0	Yes	+$63	02-15 16:06
will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on february 8	5	$301	500	500	+0	No	+$189	02-07 07:48
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on february 15	8	$299	304	704	-400	No	+$171	02-15 08:41
coin up or down on february 19 2026	2	$295	500	500	+0	Up	+$185	02-19 17:30
bitcoin above 66k on february 13	4	$292	400	400	+0	Yes	+$124	02-12 22:26
nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	4	$290	228	228	+0	No	+$149	02-09 14:31
will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 20	7	$286	503	500	+3	Yes	+$7	02-20 15:34
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	16	$280	768	1,400	-632	No	+$154	02-21 07:34
nvda above 190 on february 6 2026	10	$279	462	462	-0	No	+$94	02-02 10:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 14	7	$261	300	300	+0	Yes	+$21	02-14 11:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 8	2	$258	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$132	02-08 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:06:12	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x85916c…
03-02 18:10:33	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbfbffc…
03-02 08:07:01	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6852cb…
03-01 22:08:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f88cd…
03-01 14:00:43	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x98d820…
03-01 11:10:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x487ff2…
03-01 08:27:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x70166d…
03-01 08:27:37	bitcoin above 58k on march 4	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfd53b7…
03-01 08:26:57	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x57c351…
03-01 08:26:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 3	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd85e8…
03-01 08:26:27	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd351c2…
03-01 08:25:15	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83f7ec…
03-01 08:24:59	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x789d0a…
03-01 08:24:49	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98c2ef…
02-28 13:54:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	400	14¢	$56	0xc02614…
02-28 13:54:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	400	14¢	$56	0x9a0d66…
02-28 13:54:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	679	15¢	$102	0x64dbd4…
02-28 13:54:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x59bd82…
02-28 13:54:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	86	14¢	$12	0x4f4f3d…
02-28 13:53:33	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0xcb3770…
02-28 13:53:33	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	81	18¢	$15	0xb81704…
02-28 13:53:33	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	133	18¢	$24	0x75f4f2…
02-28 13:53:29	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	SELL	126	18¢	$23	0xd18b8c…
02-28 13:52:21	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 23 march 1	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0xc0eb90…
02-28 07:16:31	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	301	17¢	$51	0x69aa5d…
02-28 07:12:57	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0x632411…
02-28 07:12:57	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x3a41e4…
02-28 07:12:55	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	149	13¢	$19	0x88d8e8…
02-28 07:05:13	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x597a01…
02-27 21:01:29	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	700	9¢	$63	0xa0bfd7…
02-27 21:00:09	Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0x45bd4c…
02-26 14:30:50	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0xb0777c…
02-26 14:30:46	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	671	8¢	$54	0x30ef30…
02-26 14:30:44	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	850	3¢	$25	0x1c86c8…
02-26 14:30:42	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9979f0…
02-26 14:30:42	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x45c7c6…
02-26 14:30:42	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x4017a0…
02-26 14:30:38	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x340548…
02-26 14:30:24	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x1d5b84…
02-26 14:30:22	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0xe24ebc…
02-26 14:30:16	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x5cd18f…
02-26 14:30:08	spx opens up or down on february 26 2026	Up	BUY	400	33¢	$132	0xe745ac…
02-25 20:05:40	ethereum above 1800 on february 28	Yes	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xe1e06b…
02-25 20:05:40	ethereum above 1900 on february 26	Yes	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0xdeb316…
02-25 20:05:40	ethereum above 1800 on february 27	Yes	SELL	344	96¢	$329	0x6b5c0f…
02-25 20:04:46	ethereum above 1900 on february 26	Yes	BUY	108	31¢	$34	0xbb88eb…
02-25 20:04:46	ethereum above 1800 on february 28	Yes	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0x6f7098…
02-25 20:04:46	ethereum above 1800 on february 27	Yes	BUY	344	31¢	$107	0x2d8f45…
02-25 10:55:34	Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	64	34¢	$22	0xacac6b…
02-25 04:03:22	solana above 90 on march 3	No	SELL	208	79¢	$165	0xed2aab…
02-25 00:10:00	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0xa2451a…
02-25 00:10:00	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4ec36c…
02-25 00:09:58	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x052f5f…
02-25 00:09:54	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xae48da…
02-25 00:09:54	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x143772…
02-25 00:09:48	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xef9e23…
02-25 00:09:46	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xef02b6…
02-25 00:09:44	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xb3e90f…
02-25 00:09:42	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0xdb88b8…
02-25 00:09:40	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc34866…
02-25 00:09:38	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdb520a…
02-25 00:09:36	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8f4d13…
02-25 00:09:34	solana above 90 on march 3	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xaa3b49…
02-24 12:36:50	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Up	SELL	74	43¢	$32	0xad557e…
02-24 12:36:34	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Up	SELL	117	43¢	$50	0xfe9862…
02-24 12:34:26	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Up	BUY	190	23¢	$44	0x6a65df…
02-23 14:05:56	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	718	2¢	$17	0x4a9bfc…
02-23 11:41:08	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x4bdb80…
02-23 10:52:06	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xf6a1f8…
02-23 10:27:40	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	143	35¢	$50	0x7e79f3…
02-23 10:27:22	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	197	35¢	$69	0x6beff0…
02-23 10:03:20	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	349	24¢	$84	0xbc667d…
02-23 09:30:30	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x594a00…
02-23 09:13:50	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x6008f5…
02-23 07:57:22	pltr up or down on february 23 2026	Down	SELL	36	60¢	$22	0xd139aa…
02-23 07:23:34	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on february 23	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xd302ce…
02-23 07:12:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 25	No	SELL	79	87¢	$68	0x0977df…
02-23 07:12:00	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 25	No	BUY	79	40¢	$31	0x64d11c…
02-23 07:00:30	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	750	27¢	$203	0xc895b5…
02-23 06:28:06	pltr up or down on february 23 2026	Down	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x776557…
02-23 06:27:38	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	21¢	$22	0x75d6c6…
02-23 06:27:28	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	46	21¢	$10	0xb585ac…
02-23 06:10:28	pltr up or down on february 23 2026	Down	BUY	136	31¢	$42	0x24717f…
02-23 05:43:48	Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0xef96f1…
02-23 05:30:28	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$3	0x85ea0c…
02-23 05:21:38	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0x54b3d0…
02-23 05:15:14	bitcoin above 66k on february 23	No	SELL	162	69¢	$111	0xecf1c1…
02-23 05:15:14	bitcoin above 66k on february 23	No	SELL	660	69¢	$456	0x7c5ede…
02-23 05:15:14	bitcoin above 66k on february 23	No	SELL	24	69¢	$17	0x10cfc7…
02-23 05:14:48	bitcoin above 66k on february 23	No	BUY	346	16¢	$55	0x65914a…
02-23 05:12:40	xrp above 1pt4 on february 24	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x3cba86…
02-23 04:25:40	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0xf36eac…
02-23 04:08:56	xrp above 1pt4 on february 24	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdb4318…
02-23 04:01:40	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	106	2¢	$2	0xddcf74…
02-23 02:51:16	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of february	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xb7c99d…
02-23 01:53:18	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of february	No	SELL	234	85¢	$200	0x3ac116…
02-23 01:40:12	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x2b6c88…
02-23 00:51:18	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xff0885…
02-23 00:01:16	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x2fa23f…
02-22 23:51:22	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x83d6aa…