Jumpy-Bargain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$341

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$85.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$478

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 07-14 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

42% 91% +$339

Other

42% 92% -$703

Tech

14% 100% +$14

Crypto

3% 100% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	11	$8.3K	8,345	0	+8,345	No	+$22	07-14 09:13
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	2	$8.3K	8,311	0	+8,311	GamerLegion	+$20	07-08 00:58
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	1	$8.3K	8,285	0	+8,285	Yes	+$9	07-06 00:05
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	2	$5.1K	5,100	0	+5,100	No	+$5	07-04 06:42
israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	1	$5.1K	5,065	0	+5,065	No	+$5	07-06 10:04
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	3	$4.1K	4,134	0	+4,134	Yes	+$6	07-02 03:11
will claude be restored for international customers by september 30 20260629151305733	1	$4.1K	4,129	0	+4,129	Yes	+$4	07-01 22:31
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$4.0K	4,137	0	+4,137	No	+$94	07-01 12:25
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	33	$3.8K	7,492	5,939	+1,553	Yes	-$568	05-21 13:42
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?	1	$3.2K	3,168	0	+3,168	No	+$3	07-01 07:17
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$3.1K	3,165	0	+3,165	No	+$16	06-20 16:31
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?	1	$3.1K	3,158	0	+3,158	No	+$14	07-12 18:21
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	3	$2.8K	2,950	0	+2,950	Yes	+$196	06-10 22:04
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$2.7K	2,714	0	+2,714	Yes	+$3	06-04 06:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.0K	2,039	0	+2,039	No	+$8	06-04 00:03
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	15	$1.7K	885	885	+0	Yes	+$53	06-03 21:46
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	6	$1.2K	2,217	1,014	+1,203	Yes	-$15	05-21 20:45
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Mother" during the next White House Press Briefing?	2	$1.2K	1,157	0	+1,157	Yes	+$1	05-19 21:31
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	2	$1.0K	1,089	0	+1,089	No	+$54	05-22 04:23
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	10	$1.0K	1,216	407	+809	No	+$228	05-22 00:57
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,008	0	+1,008	Yes	+$1	05-17 03:56
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	14	$912	5,378	5,378	+0	Yes	-$486	05-21 13:36
Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 40+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	1	$904	905	0	+905	Yes	+$1	05-19 21:28
Will Dr. Oz say "Stock" or "Market" during the press briefing?	2	$832	833	0	+833	No	+$1	06-03 00:19
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$750	751	0	+751	No	+$1	06-02 18:14
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$678	366	315	+51	No	+$1	05-21 06:17
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?	3	$566	568	0	+568	No	+$2	05-22 01:01
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?	1	$503	508	0	+508	Yes	+$5	05-24 02:28
Will Donald Trump dance on May 16, 2026?	2	$426	439	0	+439	No	+$12	05-17 04:13
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	3	$395	396	0	+396	Yes	+$1	05-20 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 09:13:17	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	903	100¢	$899	0x99f92e…
07-14 07:11:47	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x32fdf7…
07-14 07:11:31	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa63882…
07-14 07:11:31	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x435bea…
07-14 06:43:17	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb18afd…
07-14 06:31:37	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	2,259	100¢	$2,254	0x498fe1…
07-12 18:38:38	Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f1082…
07-12 18:21:04	Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?	No	BUY	3,158	100¢	$3,144	0xa4ed7d…
07-12 13:02:20	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	2,878	100¢	$2,873	0xefe209…
07-11 01:56:44	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2e7669…
07-11 01:56:02	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	994	100¢	$989	0x2353e6…
07-11 00:34:59	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd92160…
07-11 00:34:53	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1,219	100¢	$1,217	0x6c0bad…
07-08 00:58:17	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	GamerLegion	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x20505c…
07-08 00:57:49	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07 game1	GamerLegion	BUY	8,307	100¢	$8,287	0x5cce45…
07-06 10:04:11	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5,065	100¢	$5,060	0x234c10…
07-06 00:05:37	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	8,285	100¢	$8,277	0xa7d461…
07-04 06:50:55	Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x93bdeb…
07-04 06:47:53	Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x44828b…
07-04 06:42:17	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0e2b3…
07-04 06:42:10	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	No	BUY	5,095	100¢	$5,090	0xf31e32…
07-02 03:11:41	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	1,868	100¢	$1,865	0xcf149c…
07-02 02:57:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x11bd1b…
07-02 01:31:43	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	2,264	100¢	$2,262	0x8f0f62…
07-01 22:31:07	will claude be restored for international customers by september 30 20260629151305733	Yes	BUY	4,129	100¢	$4,124	0x98ce9b…
07-01 12:25:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1,308	98¢	$1,282	0x06dc69…
07-01 12:22:25	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1,620	98¢	$1,583	0x53cd4d…
07-01 12:18:56	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1,209	97¢	$1,177	0x65d1db…
07-01 12:15:44	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x906195…
07-01 07:17:37	Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	3,168	100¢	$3,165	0x1f4337…
06-20 16:31:47	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	3,165	100¢	$3,149	0x223f75…
06-12 03:41:46	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x25d0b4…
06-10 22:04:07	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,321	94¢	$2,172	0x397b2c…
06-10 21:56:33	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	102	93¢	$95	0x3c39fe…
06-10 21:54:51	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	527	93¢	$487	0xaae3eb…
06-04 06:52:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	2,714	100¢	$2,711	0xa5be8f…
06-04 00:03:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf8cb59…
06-03 21:46:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	888	99¢	$883	0x9855ec…
06-03 21:46:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	885	100¢	$883	0x18b1f8…
06-03 21:44:46	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9c3b9f…
06-03 21:43:39	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	No	SELL	1,350	0¢	$3	0xa37a95…
06-03 19:25:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	431	100¢	$430	0x565b7f…
06-03 19:01:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf55e84…
06-03 18:29:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,344	6¢	$80	0x8de392…
06-03 16:29:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x67b795…
06-03 10:31:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	488	100¢	$487	0xb51eb5…
06-03 08:20:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x731fc9…
06-03 04:45:26	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xc41961…
06-03 04:43:13	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x9c67cd…
06-03 04:40:43	Will Dr. Oz say "Pete" or "Hegseth" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8356da…
06-03 04:40:36	Will Dr. Oz say "Cuba" or "Cuban" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xba02cc…
06-03 04:40:25	Will Dr. Oz say "China" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa07ba3…
06-03 04:40:15	Will Dr. Oz say "Iran" 3+ times during the press briefing?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x589b44…
06-03 04:40:06	Will Dr. Oz say "Trump Account" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x74f35f…
06-03 04:39:57	Will Dr. Oz say "No Tax" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xf9cd57…
06-03 04:39:31	Will Audrey Denney win the CA-01 Special Election?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8e13e0…
06-03 04:39:21	Will Mike McGuire win the CA-01 Special Election?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x7bfe8c…
06-03 04:39:12	Will James Gallagher win the CA-01 Special Election?	Yes	BUY	340	98¢	$333	0x948461…
06-03 02:21:14	Will Dr. Oz say "No Tax" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc53895…
06-03 02:20:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x8b84d4…
06-03 00:19:18	Will Dr. Oz say "No Tax" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x013e7e…
06-03 00:19:07	Will Dr. Oz say "Stock" or "Market" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	828	100¢	$827	0x41d9c7…
06-03 00:15:58	Will Dr. Oz say "Stock" or "Market" during the press briefing?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ba805…
06-02 18:14:09	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	751	100¢	$750	0xf2c18e…
06-01 22:29:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xbb2645…
06-01 22:29:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x9fb4d7…
06-01 22:26:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3bfd63…
06-01 20:25:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	443	93¢	$413	0x2b746f…
06-01 20:17:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x881285…
06-01 20:16:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x39771f…
06-01 20:15:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xcc561a…
06-01 20:14:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x7f0ff0…
06-01 20:14:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xcee9b8…
06-01 20:14:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x8edffb…
06-01 20:14:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4c7153…
06-01 20:14:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	93¢	$259	0x86cc7d…
06-01 12:05:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0xc457a1…
05-31 06:31:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	378	94¢	$354	0x718965…
05-30 21:10:39	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb3683e…
05-30 21:07:53	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	257	97¢	$249	0x381464…
05-28 04:38:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$353	0x16e8c8…
05-28 04:25:44	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x986bfc…
05-28 04:25:36	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xa3035a…
05-26 01:21:20	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$198	0x78ed0f…
05-26 01:20:29	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3a8d1a…
05-26 01:20:22	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xc0b3a6…
05-26 01:20:13	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa0ecba…
05-24 02:28:28	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?	Yes	BUY	508	99¢	$503	0xa23dff…
05-22 20:57:23	Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	0¢	$1	0x9392e5…
05-22 20:55:03	Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?	No	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0xad6409…
05-22 20:52:43	Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9187d2…
05-22 20:52:34	Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?	No	BUY	545	2¢	$13	0xe0790f…
05-22 13:15:32	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$387	0x6a26de…
05-22 04:23:28	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0x70aecc…
05-22 04:23:05	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xe10a80…
05-22 02:21:51	Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0xa176b0…
05-22 01:01:29	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$216	0xa20bbd…
05-22 00:57:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	124	52¢	$64	0x430b3e…
05-22 00:56:58	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	283	55¢	$156	0xcff89e…
05-22 00:29:59	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 260,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5823ec…