Shabby-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

623

Trades

648

lifetime

Volume

$5.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 06-18 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% +$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	06-04 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-04 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:50 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-04 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:50 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-05 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-03 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:30 UTC	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	06-09 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-02 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:05 UTC	1	$20	24	+24	Up	+$4	06-09 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Down	-$20	06-03 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:40 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-09 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$20	25	+25	Up	+$5	06-03 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:40 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:15 UTC	1	$20	28	+28	Down	-$20	06-05 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:05 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Down	-$20	06-04 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:50 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Down	-$20	06-04 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-03 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-03 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-09 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:40 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-09 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:40 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-04 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:40 UTC	1	$20	22	+22	Up	+$2	06-05 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:55 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-04 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:20 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Down	-$20	06-04 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:10 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-04 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:40 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$20	27	+27	Down	-$20	06-03 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-04 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-02 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:40 UTC	1	$20	27	+27	Up	+$7	06-03 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	1	$20	26	+26	Up	+$6	06-04 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 11:19:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe9b75d…
06-18 10:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3dc91d…
06-18 10:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0fd894…
06-18 09:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37a97a…
06-18 08:39:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x70b747…
06-18 08:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x90e87f…
06-18 08:19:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x109549…
06-18 07:59:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x695043…
06-18 07:49:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xff252f…
06-18 04:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x50f2cc…
06-18 03:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3ef1ae…
06-18 03:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x283a5a…
06-18 01:34:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x5111f8…
06-18 01:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf974f3…
06-17 22:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x4356d2…
06-12 22:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xca9e4a…
06-12 22:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf691b3…
06-12 22:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbfbc6c…
06-12 21:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbc829f…
06-12 21:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x83b7f8…
06-12 21:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcde79c…
06-12 21:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfe1798…
06-12 20:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa832fd…
06-12 19:19:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1af329…
06-12 18:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdb1ce7…
06-12 18:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8eebb9…
06-12 18:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbeb514…
06-12 17:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6d09f5…
06-12 17:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x624d0a…
06-12 17:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x898f51…
06-12 16:24:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x72f6fd…
06-12 16:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3c0c6a…
06-11 14:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf052a9…
06-11 03:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x4b1ef4…
06-11 03:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb04bf7…
06-11 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xeb7eff…
06-11 00:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x524e1a…
06-10 23:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9fda7a…
06-10 23:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x881450…
06-10 23:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x89d614…
06-10 22:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42c6b8…
06-10 22:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac3edb…
06-10 22:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3fbc1…
06-10 21:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbd70b8…
06-10 21:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x196d79…
06-10 21:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc57dcb…
06-10 21:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc00c3b…
06-10 20:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe1f019…
06-10 20:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdf7f6c…
06-10 20:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd18e36…
06-10 19:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x56e22a…
06-10 19:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x734972…
06-10 19:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe02b5a…
06-10 15:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xea60e4…
06-10 15:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x063e63…
06-10 14:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x9470dd…
06-10 14:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xd5d809…
06-10 14:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x2a0070…
06-10 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x42c859…
06-10 14:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x361f32…
06-10 13:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x82bf0e…
06-10 13:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b4c80…
06-10 13:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6179d…
06-10 12:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9b7294…
06-10 12:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdfcdd4…
06-10 12:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd04624…
06-10 11:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x4a867c…
06-10 11:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7db14f…
06-10 11:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x23ff2c…
06-10 10:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3f0a3…
06-10 10:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2baa48…
06-10 10:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd238d…
06-10 10:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c327e…
06-10 09:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb284e3…
06-10 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd5070a…
06-10 08:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x005b98…
06-10 08:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69725e…
06-10 07:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x98f064…
06-10 07:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xe50b9f…
06-10 07:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93d5de…
06-10 07:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x66b6f3…
06-10 07:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x439a88…
06-10 07:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda72e5…
06-10 06:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x59dbf8…
06-10 06:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x27d6f0…
06-10 06:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd63100…
06-10 03:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8168ad…
06-10 03:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x398269…
06-10 03:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37636b…
06-10 02:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcccb0b…
06-10 02:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa435ef…
06-10 02:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4559d7…
06-10 02:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xd4113b…
06-10 02:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe6d0af…
06-10 00:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x20841b…
06-10 00:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7964f5…
06-09 17:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x3f79bc…
06-09 16:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xf69506…
06-09 16:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0xc0e84a…
06-09 15:34:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x1da2f4…