Shallow-Hose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

109

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 08-23 11:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 42% -$49

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$73	51	50	+1	Down	+$5	04-24 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$56	146	30	+116	Down	-$26	04-24 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:50 UTC	6	$47	77	72	+4	Up	+$17	04-24 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:10 UTC	6	$43	32	31	+1	Up	+$5	04-24 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$30	44	0	+44	Up	-$3	04-24 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	6	$30	55	28	+27	Down	-$4	07-13 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:05 UTC	4	$29	52	49	+3	Down	+$8	04-24 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:35 UTC	5	$29	32	30	+2	Up	+$15	04-24 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC	5	$26	54	51	+3	Up	+$5	04-24 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	8	$25	29	23	+6	Down	+$5	07-13 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	5	$23	42	20	+22	Down	-$3	04-24 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$23	19	18	+1	Up	+$2	04-24 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:50 UTC	4	$20	15	14	+1	Down	+$4	04-21 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:10 UTC	4	$19	22	21	+1	Up	+$5	04-24 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC	6	$18	17	16	+1	Down	+$3	04-24 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$17	43	41	+2	Down	-$3	04-24 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:15 UTC	3	$16	20	9	+12	Up	-$4	04-21 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$15	74	0	+74	Up	-$15	08-23 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:25 UTC	4	$15	20	19	+1	Up	+$4	04-24 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$13	19	18	+1	Down	+$4	04-24 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:05 UTC	5	$12	20	12	+8	Up	+$0	07-13 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:00 UTC	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	04-21 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 10:15 UTC	2	$12	9	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-21 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:40 UTC	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$5	04-24 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:35 UTC	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	04-21 11:36
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$10	62	62	+0	No	+$0	04-25 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 10:05 UTC	4	$10	11	10	+1	Up	+$2	04-21 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$10	206	6	+200	Up	+$2	08-23 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$10	14	13	+1	Up	+$2	04-24 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	07-13 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 11:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x78286d…
08-23 11:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x16a20c…
08-23 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x32d2d9…
08-23 11:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x4e4a84…
08-23 11:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xfd44e3…
08-23 11:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x535663…
08-23 11:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8c3a15…
08-23 11:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa6d29d…
08-23 11:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb0f333…
08-23 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4a88a5…
07-13 14:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc1f067…
07-13 14:27:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x38b0b3…
07-13 14:26:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8dd885…
07-13 14:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$4	0x990682…
07-13 14:16:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xad01be…
07-13 14:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2e70e2…
07-13 14:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xead489…
07-13 14:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xdf3525…
07-13 14:06:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x645a14…
07-13 14:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x155d38…
07-13 14:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xef2da1…
07-13 14:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc8141a…
07-13 14:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xdcc8d2…
07-13 14:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x92e658…
07-13 14:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc5029a…
07-13 14:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xaf8b07…
07-13 14:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x356fb5…
07-13 14:02:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x517c4d…
07-13 14:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc1a9a7…
07-13 13:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x43f514…
07-13 13:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x79909d…
07-13 13:46:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x5d71a4…
07-13 13:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x593df1…
07-13 13:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7d8c76…
07-13 13:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x2273d8…
07-13 13:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x73cf97…
07-13 13:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x057c8d…
07-13 13:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc1c0ad…
07-13 13:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x07aae8…
07-13 13:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb95123…
07-13 13:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xe56104…
07-13 13:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3f3f45…
06-13 14:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd06ae1…
06-13 14:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9acb35…
06-13 14:35:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x125bb8…
06-13 14:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0cd745…
06-13 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5ce30b…
06-13 14:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe253c3…
06-13 14:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1f202c…
06-13 14:26:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb0bf2c…
05-19 11:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2fd9fc…
05-19 11:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4b8416…
05-19 11:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2aaa21…
05-19 11:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe6b6df…
05-19 10:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb3d396…
05-19 10:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbd746e…
05-19 00:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x91f3ce…
05-19 00:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x0cc1f2…
05-19 00:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x99bfbe…
05-19 00:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x62b785…
05-19 00:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3442ac…
05-19 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xa36779…
05-19 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc72c71…
05-19 00:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x56f0c5…
05-19 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6ddcac…
05-19 00:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9ab958…
05-18 23:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5d4350…
05-18 23:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1524f1…
05-18 23:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x672da9…
05-18 23:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x71a534…
05-18 23:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x98ece0…
05-18 23:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd96527…
05-18 22:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe1164b…
05-18 22:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x7d08aa…
05-18 22:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaba628…
05-18 22:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x9d182b…
05-18 22:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5a5512…
05-18 22:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe445fc…
04-25 21:45:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$5	0x748c6c…
04-25 20:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x2866b9…
04-25 20:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x964a40…
04-25 20:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5dab97…
04-25 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x490c0e…
04-25 19:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x19511e…
04-25 19:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x5897e4…
04-25 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8a79f9…
04-25 19:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9b4506…
04-25 19:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd954bf…
04-25 19:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x859730…
04-25 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5c3552…
04-25 19:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xed1e4c…
04-25 19:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x380176…
04-25 19:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xdc692f…
04-25 19:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2e20b5…
04-25 19:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x48a9fe…
04-25 19:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0933b0…
04-25 19:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x586934…
04-25 19:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x7337ad…
04-25 19:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x09ca84…
04-25 19:34:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9a98dd…