Bubbly-Ford — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

179

Trades

339

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 09-15 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 77% -$158

Other

3% 39% +$24

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$951	487	487	+0	Up	+$13	05-18 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$948	484	484	+0	Down	+$10	05-18 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$830	435	435	+0	Up	+$30	05-17 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$788	402	402	+0	Up	+$8	05-17 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$784	398	398	+0	Down	+$4	05-17 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$780	394	394	+0	Down	+$0	05-17 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$726	370	370	+0	Down	+$6	05-16 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$720	364	364	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$649	365	365	+0	Up	+$73	05-15 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$579	294	294	+0	Down	+$3	05-15 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$573	292	292	+0	Down	+$5	05-14 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$558	283	283	+0	Down	+$3	05-17 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$555	289	289	+0	Up	+$17	05-14 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$517	273	273	+0	Up	+$25	05-14 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$509	291	291	+0	Up	+$13	05-14 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$485	247	247	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$470	639	0	+639	Down	-$470	05-18 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$399	419	0	+419	Down	+$20	05-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$390	396	0	+396	Up	+$6	05-17 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$371	392	1	+391	Down	+$22	05-16 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$369	373	0	+373	Up	+$4	05-16 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$366	375	0	+375	Down	+$9	05-16 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$365	369	0	+369	Up	+$4	05-16 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$211	110	110	+0	Up	+$7	05-14 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$188	102	102	+0	Up	+$10	05-19 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$185	247	247	+0	Down	+$7	05-18 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$181	94	94	+0	Down	+$3	05-19 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$181	101	101	+0	Down	+$19	05-14 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$178	90	90	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 16:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x243bd4…
09-15 05:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xe6ddf8…
08-22 07:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc608f5…
08-18 05:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0014f8…
08-17 20:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x635a28…
08-15 13:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1b87bb…
08-15 05:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd1167b…
08-14 18:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0ee364…
08-12 05:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x60e0ce…
08-12 05:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc934cc…
08-12 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xff0ca8…
08-11 07:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xbec4cd…
08-11 07:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x247919…
08-11 07:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6235a3…
08-11 06:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5435dc…
08-10 16:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x02d9bc…
08-10 05:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbb4950…
08-10 05:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa1e92c…
08-10 04:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x01f4ec…
08-09 16:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf5a35c…
08-09 09:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x33d3ba…
08-09 01:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xd65374…
08-09 01:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xa1e02d…
08-08 13:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcbf127…
08-08 03:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x8c502c…
08-08 00:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc83084…
08-07 18:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xa6e34d…
08-07 18:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x68240f…
08-07 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x972e7d…
08-06 12:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc2ef01…
08-06 06:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x83f803…
08-05 16:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd09983…
08-05 06:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5affce…
08-04 05:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcbcffa…
08-03 05:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x0360db…
08-03 04:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x44d251…
08-03 04:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	928	0¢	$1	0x1fd5d0…
08-03 04:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x814e41…
07-30 08:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x072690…
07-30 05:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x2adb2c…
07-29 08:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4cc43c…
07-29 06:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x57fab5…
07-28 12:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x390177…
07-28 05:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd09c1e…
07-28 05:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xea58b1…
07-27 21:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc4026c…
07-27 21:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5737d8…
07-26 07:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2754bb…
07-25 18:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x46775d…
07-25 16:16:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2b6137…
07-25 16:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x2ebe21…
07-25 16:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x46d319…
07-25 16:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbe172f…
07-25 16:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5710f4…
07-25 16:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x233c85…
07-25 05:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x101be2…
07-25 05:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x68050e…
07-25 03:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa2ccfd…
07-25 03:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf5d89a…
07-24 18:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc740d3…
07-24 18:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x108087…
07-24 18:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6ba1ef…
07-23 05:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xac5bf0…
07-23 05:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x04c63e…
07-23 03:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x0b53d9…
07-22 19:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf30b40…
07-22 18:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x795a52…
07-22 18:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xedeb7e…
07-22 05:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x35899e…
07-21 08:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfe7f09…
07-20 19:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb7470f…
07-20 19:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6eb304…
07-20 19:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x91b16a…
07-20 19:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x83580a…
07-20 19:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3dbfb8…
07-20 19:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xb1e090…
07-20 16:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x74b347…
07-20 16:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8481ed…
07-20 16:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbb74b2…
07-20 05:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xc11508…
07-20 02:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xfc399e…
07-20 02:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1b4e7e…
07-20 02:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0xd59490…
07-20 01:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd8dd93…
07-20 01:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x15d5ee…
07-19 16:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfeae77…
07-19 16:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x730a3c…
07-19 16:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0xfeaff6…
07-19 05:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x410f51…
07-18 05:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x95d1c2…
07-18 05:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x26564d…
07-18 01:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x34fc06…
07-17 18:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 18?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x2fc971…
07-17 17:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 18?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x6fa551…
07-17 16:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2560be…
07-17 16:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x306961…
05-30 11:35:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x6bd3e0…
05-30 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xb6fc06…
05-30 11:31:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf77e59…
05-30 11:10:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x09487b…