Informal-Peertopeer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$455

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved (90d)

1,745

Trades (90d)

3,578

10,397 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.4K

$45.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 09-30 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Other

52% 38% -$774

Crypto

48% 57% -$607

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$140	87	87	+0	Down	+$30	05-01 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$114	70	70	+0	Up	+$20	05-01 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	10	$107	84	77	+7	No	+$46	08-14 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18?	4	$106	82	77	+5	No	+$48	08-18 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 10?	9	$96	72	72	+0	No	+$48	08-10 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$95	146	0	+146	Up	-$95	05-01 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?	6	$92	80	72	+8	No	+$43	07-19 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	2	$91	72	72	+0	No	+$53	08-12 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$89	60	60	+0	Down	+$28	05-04 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	7	$83	57	49	+8	Up	+$18	05-02 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$81	55	55	+0	Up	+$25	05-03 14:53
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?	2	$79	60	60	+0	No	+$40	07-05 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$79	68	34	+34	Down	+$23	05-01 12:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$79	53	53	+0	Down	+$22	04-30 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	2	$78	60	60	+0	No	+$42	09-04 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	4	$76	310	0	+310	Yes	-$76	07-07 07:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 3?	6	$76	60	60	+0	No	+$43	07-05 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	6	$74	60	60	+0	No	+$45	07-18 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$74	47	46	+0	Down	+$14	04-30 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$72	44	44	+0	Up	+$13	04-30 07:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$71	43	43	+0	Up	+$11	04-30 09:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$70	42	42	+0	Down	+$11	04-30 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	2	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$30	09-03 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	2	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$30	08-18 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	4	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$30	08-24 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?	2	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$30	08-21 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$69	43	43	+0	Down	+$13	04-30 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?	5	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$31	08-03 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$69	50	40	+9	Up	+$19	04-30 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	3	$68	50	50	+0	No	+$31	07-12 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 07:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 2?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x612279…
09-30 07:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe754d1…
09-30 07:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbf1d2a…
09-30 06:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xd5ae5e…
09-30 05:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd97a4f…
09-30 05:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4449c6…
09-30 04:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xe4284f…
09-30 04:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xaabe6e…
09-30 04:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6bbf36…
09-30 03:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xad9552…
09-30 03:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdf92ce…
09-30 03:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x36a320…
09-30 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xca8b4f…
09-30 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x68b940…
09-30 02:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xb4fbab…
09-30 02:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x075a65…
09-30 00:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xb9ecda…
09-29 22:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x61f9d9…
09-29 18:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x81182e…
09-29 18:33:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	No	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xc71879…
09-29 15:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0xbe718b…
09-29 14:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xc20287…
09-29 14:32:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1c30c6…
09-29 12:40:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbac33c…
09-29 12:39:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x27c37a…
09-29 12:39:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xc8caa5…
09-29 09:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 1?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x09f9c0…
09-29 09:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x8fbe0c…
09-29 08:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9f9cb6…
09-29 07:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x853162…
09-29 07:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x220815…
09-29 06:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3cf910…
09-29 06:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcaa7b2…
09-29 06:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x56f07b…
09-29 06:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x18f04b…
09-29 06:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x5ea615…
09-29 06:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xfa530b…
09-29 06:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x1e62cd…
09-29 05:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x884793…
09-29 04:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x97ffa2…
09-29 03:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x71d425…
09-29 03:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xb1d94b…
09-29 03:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xeb0471…
09-29 03:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x690249…
09-29 03:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x49c6e0…
09-29 03:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4add7a…
09-28 23:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0x0ac58f…
09-28 23:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x96c3a8…
09-28 22:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4ce092…
09-28 21:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x1b8175…
09-28 18:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 28?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xf7465f…
09-28 18:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x301b60…
09-28 18:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x237bc3…
09-28 17:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x5f3c06…
09-28 17:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xfdbef2…
09-28 16:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0xba3368…
09-28 16:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x66717f…
09-28 15:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x8b3785…
09-28 15:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0xd98672…
09-28 15:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x4240d4…
09-28 13:06:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	No	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x15b9da…
09-28 13:06:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	No	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xf39d4a…
09-28 12:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x48f9ea…
09-28 12:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9cc111…
09-28 10:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xdcc743…
09-28 10:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x258e5e…
09-28 10:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8c21be…
09-28 10:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe2dec6…
09-28 10:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xf51a52…
09-28 09:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x89d754…
09-28 09:40:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc6ab7d…
09-28 09:40:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x04ad35…
09-28 09:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xe8e151…
09-28 08:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf863a4…
09-28 08:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x4bb27b…
09-28 08:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3b250d…
09-28 08:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x214e61…
09-28 07:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x096267…
09-28 07:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xbe355a…
09-28 07:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xd7befc…
09-28 07:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xc99cb7…
09-28 06:53:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xfcc527…
09-28 06:53:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb4d341…
09-28 06:53:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xa6bde1…
09-28 06:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe7e409…
09-28 06:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x30d764…
09-28 06:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x146fce…
09-28 06:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x0aa946…
09-28 06:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x3327b9…
09-28 06:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcd14d8…
09-28 06:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdfd534…
09-28 06:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x76212b…
09-28 06:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4e8384…
09-28 05:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x5e9f4f…
09-28 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeeb04b…
09-28 03:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x3d17c8…
09-28 03:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x87e7b7…
09-28 03:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2e633b…
09-28 03:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x35e6e4…
09-28 00:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xa76fd9…