Negligible-Convertible-Feature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

523

Trades

977

lifetime

Volume

$3.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-11 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 53% -$140

Other

17% 57% +$84

Politics

7% 67% +$107

Sports

1% 0% -$22

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	10	$71	159	159	+0	Yes	+$32	04-23 23:47
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$62	70	70	+0	No	+$45	04-21 23:36
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	9	$54	73	73	+0	Yes	+$24	05-05 17:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	3	$45	38	38	+0	No	+$28	04-26 08:14
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	26	$30	32	32	+0	No	+$11	04-24 05:11
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	4	$29	33	33	+0	Yes	+$20	05-05 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 25?	5	$28	25	24	+1	Yes	+$21	04-26 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+1	Down	+$8	04-28 10:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:30 UTC	14	$25	87	0	+87	Up	-$4	04-16 05:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4AM ET	7	$23	28	16	+12	Down	$0	04-28 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:00 UTC	3	$21	30	0	+30	Up	-$6	04-15 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:25 UTC	3	$20	59	0	+59	Up	-$20	04-16 05:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 17:05 UTC	5	$20	48	0	+48	Down	+$28	04-15 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 14:25 UTC	2	$20	54	0	+54	Up	-$20	04-15 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:45 UTC	2	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	04-16 04:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:00 UTC	3	$20	50	0	+50	Up	-$20	04-14 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:35 UTC	3	$20	40	0	+40	Down	+$20	04-15 18:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:45 UTC	3	$20	52	0	+52	Up	+$9	04-15 18:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:30 UTC	4	$20	62	0	+62	Up	-$20	04-15 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C or below on April 27?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-26 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 27?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-26 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on April 28?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-26 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 27?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-26 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	4	$19	19	18	+1	Down	+$1	04-28 10:51
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	5	$16	35	0	+35	Down	+$6	04-28 04:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$15	19	0	+19	Up	-$3	05-10 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:55 UTC	2	$15	32	0	+32	Down	+$17	04-16 04:59
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$15	27	0	+27	Down	+$4	05-10 19:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$15	49	0	+49	Down	-$8	05-10 23:44
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$15	34	0	+34	Up	-$7	05-10 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 01:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6c53be…
05-11 01:44:46	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xf92275…
05-11 01:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9cee62…
05-11 01:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6a143d…
05-11 00:47:36	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4ed47b…
05-11 00:39:38	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb1668e…
05-11 00:12:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbd7d28…
05-11 00:04:52	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x41d4d1…
05-11 00:04:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0xcd4ff0…
05-10 23:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7f7f0b…
05-10 23:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	24¢	$9	0xe9abeb…
05-10 23:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x75ad4f…
05-10 23:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa4ce33…
05-10 23:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8299d1…
05-10 23:29:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x12573c…
05-10 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x787130…
05-10 23:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf18d8b…
05-10 23:23:50	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x661092…
05-10 23:23:11	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9e97ad…
05-10 23:15:00	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8f2d33…
05-10 23:14:58	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x587b4e…
05-10 23:14:30	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6f1d64…
05-10 23:14:30	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x1a246d…
05-10 23:14:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4ae6a5…
05-10 23:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbc8395…
05-10 23:09:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x7bbcd3…
05-10 23:09:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb4d336…
05-10 22:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5ab4cf…
05-10 22:54:54	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x3d6f03…
05-10 22:54:05	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xe4b4db…
05-10 22:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x977532…
05-10 22:44:48	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7d1bfd…
05-10 22:44:36	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0xf1e958…
05-10 22:44:27	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa99a1c…
05-10 22:44:19	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfc38bf…
05-10 22:43:05	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8fe5b9…
05-10 22:39:56	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x554ecd…
05-10 22:39:49	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5be765…
05-10 22:39:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x62e411…
05-10 22:39:25	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb3bff1…
05-10 22:29:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe6e37d…
05-10 22:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0xe25fb8…
05-10 22:24:48	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc9193b…
05-10 22:24:48	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbdc256…
05-10 22:24:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2eb6bc…
05-10 22:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xbd5d3c…
05-10 22:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdd80ce…
05-10 22:17:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8393c6…
05-10 22:15:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	719	1¢	$7	0x8a08a5…
05-10 22:15:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xa14977…
05-10 22:15:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x92b332…
05-10 22:14:46	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x03316e…
05-10 22:14:30	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9af838…
05-10 21:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb4bf39…
05-10 21:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x17f329…
05-10 21:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x43ee1d…
05-10 21:49:34	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbca5dc…
05-10 21:49:34	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x0628ed…
05-10 21:48:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x203feb…
05-10 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd8390b…
05-10 21:44:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xecf9fe…
05-10 21:42:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xe73d2c…
05-10 21:42:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x5babd3…
05-10 21:37:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdec504…
05-10 21:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcb61e7…
05-10 21:24:53	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd2ef1e…
05-10 21:24:53	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x1e5c2f…
05-10 21:24:52	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x19de1d…
05-10 21:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x60d9b3…
05-10 21:24:36	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x1d6f1e…
05-10 21:24:29	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xea1c71…
05-10 21:23:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc9e150…
05-10 21:13:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc48ca7…
05-10 21:12:42	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd0166c…
05-10 21:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9d5750…
05-10 21:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x888638…
05-10 21:04:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x90e088…
05-10 21:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0xde2036…
05-10 20:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x364e94…
05-10 20:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x46469b…
05-10 20:40:00	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x292f43…
05-10 20:29:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x57c89d…
05-10 20:29:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xb8d608…
05-10 20:28:29	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbc68cd…
05-10 20:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1e9a79…
05-10 20:25:02	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x429451…
05-10 20:24:41	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3e2331…
05-10 20:23:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xaaa124…
05-10 20:23:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x22db9e…
05-10 20:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1090e4…
05-10 20:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x73fb88…
05-10 20:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x50a964…
05-10 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x7d5b5d…
05-10 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x211d3e…
05-10 20:04:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2c1a4a…
05-10 20:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x5fa2bd…
05-10 20:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x646966…
05-10 19:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xaf73c1…
05-10 19:58:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2cc453…
05-10 19:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xff1613…