Realized P&L
-$97
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
37.8%
Resolved
54
Trades
789
lifetime
Volume
$4.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$81
14 positions
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-14 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
60% 39% -$66
Tech
18% 100% +$0
Politics
12% 27% -$29
Sports
6% 50% -$2
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027? Yes +38 $10 40¢ $15 +$5 11-11 11:55
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +17 $10 68¢ $12 +$2 11-09 07:24
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026? No +12 $8 86¢ $11 +$2 11-13 15:36
Will Al Dhafra SSC win on 2026-11-19? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 11-13 18:56
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LXI? Yes +20 $3 38¢ $8 +$5 11-11 07:15
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30? No +18 $6 36¢ $6 +$1 11-14 00:13
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027? No +28 $6 22¢ $6 +$0 11-11 14:53
Will NYC get between 0.50" and 0.99" of rain November 12 to 15? Yes +200 $10 2¢ $5 -$5 11-12 20:39
Will Kanye West attend Super Bowl LXI? No +10 $5 43¢ $4 $0 11-11 10:34
Will PAOK vs. First Vienna end in a draw? No +200 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 11-11 01:36
clf reg bwl 2026 11 14 reg No +181 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 11-13 15:01
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? Yes +40 -$1 2¢ $1 +$2 11-12 13:22
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? No +0 -$2 56¢ $0 +$2 11-11 08:12
Seahawks vs. Raiders Raiders +0 $1 28¢ $0 -$1 11-10 19:45