Worried-Cutover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

453

Trades

4,346

lifetime

Volume

$230.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$200

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-20 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 99% +$87

Other

4% 96% $-154

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up		+200	$198	100¢	$200	+$2	05-15 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 20:24:04	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x2edd82…
05-20 18:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x78cd9d…
05-20 17:13:56	doge updown 5m 1779297000	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x38cb9b…
05-20 16:48:44	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x666457…
05-20 16:48:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0xef97ef…
05-20 16:44:11	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9e0b3f…
05-20 16:28:43	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa85b2f…
05-20 15:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0xbfa56b…
05-20 15:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xae79c2…
05-20 15:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7e55e1…
05-20 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x073d40…
05-20 14:14:09	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc3e755…
05-20 14:14:09	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x393feb…
05-20 14:14:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xba77bb…
05-20 14:14:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c9fb0…
05-20 14:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x71459c…
05-20 14:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x298cf2…
05-20 13:48:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xdead8a…
05-20 13:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xf994f3…
05-20 13:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x6ec3f1…
05-20 13:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x6e0b56…
05-20 13:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe7b2e7…
05-20 12:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3d831e…
05-20 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa321a7…
05-20 10:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x9feb5d…
05-20 10:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x174d07…
05-20 09:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1729e8…
05-20 08:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x85e81b…
05-20 07:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x821d03…
05-20 07:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfeeb03…
05-20 05:39:48	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x2a4d5b…
05-20 05:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf7f305…
05-20 05:39:21	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0d62fb…
05-20 05:39:20	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd08b55…
05-20 05:39:14	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5d102b…
05-20 02:19:11	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdb4aa9…
05-20 01:54:13	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9f52a0…
05-20 00:13:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x19bdf0…
05-20 00:09:08	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x24eb0e…
05-19 23:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x12602d…
05-19 23:18:51	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x631650…
05-19 23:04:58	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xdc4eac…
05-19 23:03:58	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa90bb0…
05-19 23:03:53	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x65f9ef…
05-19 22:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x389a47…
05-19 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x98ac6c…
05-19 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3b3403…
05-19 19:33:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x599a22…
05-19 19:24:12	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb792c0…
05-19 19:09:23	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3a838e…
05-19 19:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x6833c8…
05-19 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa8fd36…
05-19 18:28:45	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa9542c…
05-19 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x28df6b…
05-19 17:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x58a947…
05-19 16:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xbb319c…
05-19 16:53:39	doge updown 5m 1779209400	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb4688a…
05-19 16:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x80017b…
05-19 16:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x4e448f…
05-19 16:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2b1e5f…
05-19 15:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xffaae9…
05-19 15:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x57f99e…
05-19 15:04:09	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x68b2a9…
05-19 14:38:40	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa40936…
05-19 14:38:40	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x5960cd…
05-19 14:38:40	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x46ed82…
05-19 13:24:22	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x794e75…
05-19 13:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9bba52…
05-19 11:43:59	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x58a545…
05-19 11:43:59	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x0452d3…
05-19 10:59:00	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x995438…
05-19 10:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xbf06b8…
05-19 10:38:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8168b3…
05-19 08:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x9e3b09…
05-19 08:44:08	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7b2725…
05-19 08:44:05	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x365fac…
05-19 08:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x159309…
05-19 08:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xec5207…
05-19 07:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0xc31e08…
05-19 07:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x07d09f…
05-19 07:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf10e30…
05-19 07:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3c4084…
05-19 07:39:13	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc9d871…
05-19 07:04:08	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x500e07…
05-19 06:49:12	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x49b24a…
05-19 06:48:42	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x32a03c…
05-19 06:48:35	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2504fd…
05-19 06:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1a24e5…
05-19 05:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb32d3c…
05-19 05:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x9ec96c…
05-19 05:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x7e1890…
05-19 05:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x2d9968…
05-19 05:18:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd48f86…
05-19 04:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x278606…
05-19 04:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf99b8…
05-19 04:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x448607…
05-19 04:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xbad9eb…
05-19 04:28:49	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xebec9d…
05-19 04:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb3c365…
05-19 03:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x42af56…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Favorable-Dawn 0x444f…1469	896	$601	1,239	05-20 18:23
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	890	$69.2K	7,719	05-20 18:23
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	889	$89.7K	42,478	05-20 16:48
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	831	$294.5K	19,759	05-20 18:22
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	809	$73.0K	4,760	05-20 18:21
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	793	$1.05K	3,262	05-20 20:25
(anonymous) 0xda34…8848	779	$1.11K	3,544	05-20 18:23
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	759	$1.34K	5,516	05-20 18:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$396	400	+400	Down	+$4	05-06 20:35
btc updown 5m 1776306600	6	$225	234	+234	open	—	04-16 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	10	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-16 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	15	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-14 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-13 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-14 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-07 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-06 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-13 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-08 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-12 06:34
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-14 15:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-18 12:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-14 06:13
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-07 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-07 00:34
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-13 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-07 15:09
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-06 16:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-19 02:53
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-06 18:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-12 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-11 16:34
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-07 19:18
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-20 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-14 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$198	200	+200	Up	+$2	05-11 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-08 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$198	200	+200	open	—	05-16 15:09