Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
14.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
54
lifetime
Volume
$228
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$34
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-22 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
57% 0% -$5
Other
43% 14% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +569 $19 3¢ $19 $0 10-20 19:01
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +271 $2 3¢ $8 +$6 10-22 20:10
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -40 -$5 11¢ $-4 +$1 10-20 19:03
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 05-26 08:59
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +25 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-20 19:04
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +222 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-10 21:15
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -50 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 12:03
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +111 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-31 10:40