Formal-Monger — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

12 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$29

$29 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 60% +$2

Sports

16% 0% $-1

Other

7% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles		+2	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-08 19:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$12	21	25	-3	Up	+$3	05-06 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$4	0	8	-8	open	—	05-09 00:01
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$2	0	2	-2	Atlanta Braves	$-0	05-06 04:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	$-2	05-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-08 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	0	4	-4	Down	+$1	05-06 03:29
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-08 19:48
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$1	5	0	+5	Los Angeles Angels	$-1	05-06 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Down	$-1	05-06 04:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 00:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xce102b…
05-08 23:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xb95c07…
05-08 19:48:28	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06cf11…
05-06 16:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8c8230…
05-06 04:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x65952b…
05-06 04:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9b126a…
05-06 04:24:08	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3d1df3…
05-06 03:35:02	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x913954…
05-06 03:34:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xad5864…
05-06 03:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd1f0e3…
05-06 03:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xa3ef30…
05-06 03:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x0ec9f0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.75K	77	05-09 00:02
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$1.59K	61	05-09 00:02
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	7	$1.04K	33	05-09 00:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	7	$949	84	05-09 00:02
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	7	$588	50	05-09 00:02
Queasy-Thrift 0x02fe…a6f3	5	$1.44K	25	05-09 00:02
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	5	$752	8	05-06 16:54
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$33.0K	19	05-09 01:15