Welcome-Republican — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

2,060

Trades

2,263

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-27 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 77% -$58

Other

6% 91% +$17

Sports

0% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	3	$14	38	38	+0	No	+$8	07-07 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 21:10 UTC	1	$13	27	0	+27	Up	-$13	04-03 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:20 UTC	2	$12	14	14	+0	Up	-$2	04-03 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 21:15 UTC	1	$12	27	0	+27	Down	+$15	04-03 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:05 UTC	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$9	03-16 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 22:20 UTC	1	$11	27	0	+27	Down	+$16	04-03 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 21:30 UTC	1	$10	27	0	+27	Up	-$10	04-03 21:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:45 UTC	2	$9	908	0	+908	Up	-$9	03-19 15:49
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	05-12 05:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:25 UTC	1	$9	19	0	+19	Down	+$10	04-04 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:35 UTC	1	$8	19	0	+19	Up	-$8	04-04 00:38
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$8	76	0	+76	No	-$8	07-14 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 00:30 UTC	1	$8	19	0	+19	Up	-$8	04-04 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$7	255	0	+255	Down	-$7	05-07 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 21:40 UTC	1	$7	27	0	+27	Up	-$7	04-03 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	7	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-12 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:10 UTC	2	$7	11	0	+11	Down	-$7	07-11 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:25 UTC	1	$7	13	0	+13	Down	+$7	04-03 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:35 UTC	1	$7	13	0	+13	Up	-$7	04-03 17:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:30 UTC	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	07-11 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 01:15 UTC	1	$6	18	0	+18	Up	-$6	04-04 01:18
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$6	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:05 UTC	2	$6	11	0	+11	Down	-$2	07-11 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:40 UTC	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	07-11 00:42
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:10 UTC	1	$6	14	0	+14	Down	+$8	04-03 19:11
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:15 UTC	1	$6	16	0	+16	Up	-$6	04-04 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 13:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x463030…
07-27 02:32:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6b633a…
07-26 20:32:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x51fa76…
07-26 17:57:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x304c5f…
07-26 08:42:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdd54a1…
07-26 08:27:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x04f75b…
07-26 07:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbfdbc4…
07-26 07:02:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5b2a87…
07-25 21:02:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2c8a05…
07-25 19:57:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x814f87…
07-25 19:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcabe09…
07-25 13:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3cf1e8…
07-25 13:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x77dc7e…
07-25 11:07:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf18c49…
07-25 08:06:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x27b718…
07-25 08:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xc3c0ef…
07-25 07:56:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc8e656…
07-25 06:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x04f983…
07-25 05:31:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb811e1…
07-25 03:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2ddd0a…
07-25 03:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8d3435…
07-25 03:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb9c9a3…
07-25 02:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x913926…
07-25 00:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd578f6…
07-25 00:02:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1fd3e2…
07-24 23:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xaca7da…
07-24 23:35:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbef1e8…
07-24 23:05:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xee0cc1…
07-24 22:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa3bd5f…
07-24 22:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe0c9e4…
07-24 21:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x677849…
07-24 21:47:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x515423…
07-24 21:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd54941…
07-24 21:02:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc6db79…
07-24 20:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5a4929…
07-24 20:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x00ccb6…
07-24 19:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8f1458…
07-24 16:34:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa8179e…
07-24 09:07:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x87c6ad…
07-24 00:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6a69ae…
07-23 23:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf7eacc…
07-23 22:12:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8136b6…
07-23 22:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xacfe32…
07-23 19:11:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1578ab…
07-23 16:33:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x37ccfa…
07-23 12:31:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x425c7d…
07-23 09:47:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcba6c2…
07-23 08:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5e1040…
07-23 07:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf20bec…
07-23 06:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2111cf…
07-23 05:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc42915…
07-23 02:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xa8b27e…
07-22 21:46:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6c0cd9…
07-22 20:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfb923e…
07-22 19:06:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x28ead5…
07-21 23:07:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xdbdb53…
07-21 21:51:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xded626…
07-21 21:46:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x04bd5d…
07-21 20:21:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x47ee28…
07-21 20:05:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc2a0fa…
07-21 13:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8b7438…
07-21 13:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x718878…
07-21 09:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbf0469…
07-21 05:52:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4042b8…
07-21 05:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x426840…
07-21 02:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2ed8ad…
07-21 01:31:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x83c89f…
07-20 22:06:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7bdd18…
07-20 22:01:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xdcdb22…
07-20 22:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xdd8e36…
07-20 21:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xfe3877…
07-20 21:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb00be2…
07-20 16:41:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2b8000…
07-20 16:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xad5853…
07-20 09:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x900783…
07-20 08:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x016a4d…
07-20 07:47:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0xfa89d4…
07-19 22:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa34ab4…
07-19 21:16:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4e527c…
07-19 20:01:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe70d05…
07-19 18:51:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x36227f…
07-19 17:01:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x86aeb4…
07-19 12:50:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x056d8f…
07-19 10:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8134aa…
07-19 02:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf8c43e…
07-19 00:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x01d5bf…
07-18 23:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfe9894…
07-18 20:21:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3380e1…
07-18 07:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x86efd2…
07-17 09:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x122acf…
07-17 09:01:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x617186…
07-17 08:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd69765…
07-17 08:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc4b0b8…
07-17 04:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x730785…
07-17 02:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5b1ea8…
07-17 01:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3181d4…
07-16 21:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2b8b0c…
07-16 20:52:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2f2fc9…
07-16 19:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6c964d…
07-16 19:17:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7ddbb2…