Spherical-Diarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

322

Trades

689

lifetime

Volume

$474

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-02 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

69% 11% -$27

Crypto

31% 69% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 7?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-08 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?	8	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$13	06-28 19:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-08 18:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 8?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-08 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-08 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-30 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	7	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-31 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 7?	6	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	05-07 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	10-30 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 7?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	05-07 23:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	07-02 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 7?	3	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	05-07 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-27 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 29?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-29 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-07 23:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	3	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-30 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-26 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-29 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	07-01 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-27 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-29 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	06-28 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26?	3	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$5	06-26 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 29?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$5	06-29 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$5	06-26 17:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$5	06-30 21:43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$5	06-30 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?	3	$5	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	05-08 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 7?	3	$4	10	10	+0	Yes	-$4	05-07 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x2b6e82…
11-02 04:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x0445bd…
11-02 04:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd27b9d…
11-02 03:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xef2836…
11-02 03:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x86f7dc…
11-02 03:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2b60a5…
11-02 03:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb65ca0…
11-02 03:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x093d8c…
11-02 03:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x7aaea7…
11-01 20:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x13df31…
11-01 07:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xfe15e8…
11-01 07:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa85b71…
11-01 06:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8ee0e8…
11-01 06:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0529c9…
11-01 06:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbff540…
11-01 04:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x881567…
11-01 04:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd6fc9…
11-01 04:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x075546…
10-31 14:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x87a6cc…
10-31 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xab783b…
10-31 08:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe7c5da…
10-31 08:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1ba155…
10-31 07:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x08bc76…
10-31 07:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x55fa4b…
10-31 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfe6b43…
10-31 05:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x18a0cd…
10-31 05:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedd42b…
10-31 05:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x463a7f…
10-31 05:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7f5eb4…
10-31 05:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf6fd42…
10-31 05:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x2d7716…
10-31 05:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa649b4…
10-31 05:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x20c2fc…
10-30 07:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe4ea3e…
10-30 07:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb47874…
10-30 07:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb211b4…
10-30 07:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x64c434…
10-30 07:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xe2ada4…
10-30 07:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x68743e…
10-30 07:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb40cf1…
10-30 07:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0621c5…
10-30 05:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x22c684…
10-30 05:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x73217a…
10-30 02:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x16d7e8…
10-30 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4985b5…
10-30 02:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2c077f…
10-30 02:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2c6b41…
10-30 02:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x234e3f…
10-30 02:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcc1bee…
10-30 02:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x579f46…
10-30 02:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8700ec…
10-30 02:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3f9ba4…
10-30 02:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xa58e45…
10-30 02:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x10a74d…
10-30 02:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x350268…
10-30 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x42a632…
10-30 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f3633…
10-30 01:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2c303c…
10-30 01:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4f8bc1…
10-30 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc110c4…
10-29 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x70062a…
10-29 22:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x50bb7d…
10-29 08:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x1460f2…
10-29 08:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x648d86…
10-29 08:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5f1f8a…
10-29 07:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x65b7ff…
10-29 07:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8512a5…
10-29 07:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf80989…
10-29 07:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x8f346f…
10-29 07:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x41d0be…
10-29 07:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x03c64f…
10-29 05:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe8d460…
10-29 05:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x43032f…
10-29 05:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x9659d5…
10-29 05:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb222d7…
10-29 04:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x969974…
10-29 04:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5a0256…
10-29 04:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22962b…
10-29 04:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf76c71…
10-29 04:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xe69eab…
10-29 04:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x965d3d…
10-29 04:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x187286…
10-29 04:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbc94a8…
10-29 03:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x04ba7b…
10-29 03:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x81d6f4…
10-29 03:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x3d7a53…
10-29 03:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbece35…
10-29 03:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc860ac…
10-29 03:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6611f0…
10-29 01:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2dd7fd…
10-29 01:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xde5dc2…
10-29 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7657b2…
10-29 01:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x6eac25…
10-29 01:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xec39a2…
10-29 00:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xf7217a…
10-29 00:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4b6ed8…
10-29 00:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3ae638…
10-29 00:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0157f3…
10-28 23:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x91f0a3…
10-28 23:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xda93f7…