Probable-Muskrat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$166

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-05 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 0% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$62	58	44	+14	open	—	05-16 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776709800	2	$15	14	13	+1	open	—	04-20 18:36
btc updown 5m 1780681500	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	06-05 17:49
btc updown 5m 1776796200	1	$7	112	0	+112	open	—	04-21 18:33
btc updown 5m 1776715800	2	$6	267	0	+267	open	—	04-20 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776711600	2	$5	59	0	+59	open	—	04-20 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$4	36	2	+33	open	—	05-16 20:00
btc updown 5m 1780681800	2	$4	38	0	+38	open	—	06-05 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$4	107	0	+107	Up	$-4	05-07 20:49
btc updown 5m 1776710100	1	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	04-20 18:38
btc updown 5m 1776713700	1	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	04-20 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	05-16 18:49
sol updown 5m 1776714000	2	$3	28	0	+28	open	—	04-20 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 19:18
btc updown 5m 1776712800	1	$2	200	0	+200	open	—	04-20 19:24
btc updown 5m 1776712500	1	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 19:18
btc updown 5m 1776795300	1	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	04-21 18:18
btc updown 5m 1776710400	1	$2	29	0	+29	open	—	04-20 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$2	53	0	+53	open	—	05-16 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$2	18	0	+18	Up	$-2	05-07 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	05-16 19:24
btc updown 5m 1776712200	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	04-20 19:14
btc updown 5m 1780684200	2	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	06-05 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776711900	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-08 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-16 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-16 19:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-07 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776716700	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 20:28
btc updown 5m 1776716400	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 19:24:13	btc updown 5m 1780687200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4eb55b…
06-05 18:34:16	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x33cf2d…
06-05 18:34:09	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xfcdbee…
06-05 17:53:06	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc18fd2…
06-05 17:52:51	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc38759…
06-05 17:49:15	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0d4098…
06-05 17:46:37	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6e8b6e…
05-16 20:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5fba2c…
05-16 20:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x08ee42…
05-16 20:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	44	66¢	$29	0xa63383…
05-16 20:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x24552e…
05-16 20:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdd19b8…
05-16 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf1dcc5…
05-16 20:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1e8ce7…
05-16 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x69437c…
05-16 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe64be6…
05-16 19:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x41f857…
05-16 19:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa4e33a…
05-16 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7a788c…
05-16 19:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3a5eb4…
05-16 19:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf3b5ee…
05-16 19:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3eb27f…
05-16 19:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb34e64…
05-16 19:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x235bdb…
05-16 19:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x286787…
05-16 19:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb4e1a3…
05-16 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc9ee51…
05-16 18:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3a8364…
05-16 18:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb3a1c1…
05-08 05:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x229c30…
05-07 21:21:02	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe11960…
05-07 21:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xea615e…
05-07 21:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x68e842…
05-07 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x5fe7e4…
05-07 20:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6a0b1c…
05-07 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x883239…
05-07 20:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc250d7…
05-07 20:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c0b9f…
05-07 20:39:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfd4dde…
04-21 18:33:12	btc updown 5m 1776796200	Down	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0xce4833…
04-21 18:18:34	btc updown 5m 1776795300	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8498e0…
04-21 18:14:32	btc updown 5m 1776795000	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xec29cd…
04-21 18:09:18	btc updown 5m 1776794700	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf2bd96…
04-20 20:44:46	btc updown 5m 1776717600	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb18e20…
04-20 20:33:22	btc updown 5m 1776717000	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xabcbbf…
04-20 20:28:58	btc updown 5m 1776716700	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x549e3d…
04-20 20:22:38	btc updown 5m 1776716400	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x13f22c…
04-20 20:14:28	btc updown 5m 1776715800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x47c44a…
04-20 20:13:22	btc updown 5m 1776715800	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xfa29f8…
04-20 19:44:10	sol updown 5m 1776714000	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x4bb3b4…
04-20 19:43:16	sol updown 5m 1776714000	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xeb2fd0…
04-20 19:39:22	btc updown 5m 1776713700	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x12a812…
04-20 19:24:54	btc updown 5m 1776712800	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x254861…
04-20 19:18:38	btc updown 5m 1776712500	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x60b3f1…
04-20 19:14:32	btc updown 5m 1776712200	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x01ab14…
04-20 19:09:10	btc updown 5m 1776711900	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc406ba…
04-20 19:03:54	btc updown 5m 1776711600	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x01334e…
04-20 19:02:12	btc updown 5m 1776711600	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xba1178…
04-20 18:42:12	btc updown 5m 1776710400	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x7e4484…
04-20 18:38:16	btc updown 5m 1776710100	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xd6a60d…
04-20 18:36:42	btc updown 5m 1776709800	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbe34e9…
04-20 18:32:46	btc updown 5m 1776709800	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1045c1…