Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

162

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$76.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

67% 48% -$878

Politics

19% 50% +$364

Sports

11% 37% -$712

Tech

2% 75% +$22

Crypto

1% 0% -$638

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$70

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	17	$3.7K	3,623	3,366	+257	No	-$191	01-08 23:58
will mike kafka be fired by february 28	7	$1.8K	1,753	1,753	+0	Yes	+$11	01-02 17:06
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded this season	4	$1.7K	1,033	1,033	+0	No	+$95	01-10 21:32
will january 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	6	$1.5K	1,029	1,029	+0	Yes	+$27	01-09 03:07
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	5	$1.4K	971	971	+0	Yes	+$35	01-10 22:52
will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	9	$1.3K	1,454	1,454	+0	No	+$24	01-09 05:11
nba 2025 26 apg leader cade cunningham	4	$1.3K	1,045	1,045	+0	No	-$5	01-08 16:45
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?	3	$1.3K	1,021	1,021	+0	No	-$516	01-11 19:33
will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	3	$1.2K	669	669	+0	No	-$27	01-11 12:42
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	3	$1.1K	682	682	+0	No	+$0	02-22 10:07
google gemini parlay	5	$1.1K	830	830	+0	No	+$5	01-05 08:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	3	$1.0K	632	632	+0	Yes	+$6	01-08 20:43
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$1.0K	692	692	+0	Yes	+$14	01-05 02:45
will pln win the second most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	3	$1.0K	899	899	+0	Yes	-$45	01-03 11:17
will the new england patriots be eliminated in the conference championship round	2	$1.0K	640	640	+0	No	-$26	01-11 07:55
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	6	$992	912	912	+0	No	-$68	01-09 01:07
will trump say transgender this week january 18	3	$960	662	662	+0	Yes	-$33	01-10 21:13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$946	918	918	+0	Yes	+$9	02-05 00:21
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	8	$923	1,018	1,018	+0	No	-$20	02-01 00:18
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	8	$910	970	970	+0	Yes	+$5	01-10 21:00
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	4	$894	813	813	+0	No	+$0	01-02 08:10
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	7	$892	789	789	+0	No	-$1	01-09 21:12
will forgent power solutions market cap be between 8pt75b and 9pt00b at market close on ipo day	2	$875	735	735	+0	Yes	-$22	02-05 11:43
will inga ibsdotter lilleaas sentimental value win best supporting actress motion picture at the 83rd golden globes	3	$868	520	520	+0	No	-$16	01-05 00:33
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	3	$858	604	604	+0	No	-$60	04-12 00:19
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$832	743	743	+0	Yes	+$0	01-01 16:34
will israel strike lebanon on january 4 2026	4	$832	885	885	+0	Yes	+$35	01-02 18:47
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	2	$828	920	919	+1	Yes	-$37	02-03 15:25
will the washington wizards have the worst record in the nba	4	$827	651	651	+0	Yes	+$72	01-02 23:02
will criminal or criminalize be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 1	2	$818	861	861	+0	Yes	+$77	02-22 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:11:37	Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	243	63¢	$153	0xe0d647…
04-12 01:44:59	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x4da242…
04-12 01:43:57	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x3e0086…
04-12 00:19:19	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	SELL	127	66¢	$84	0x9c8a04…
04-12 00:18:15	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	SELL	477	66¢	$315	0xbbd47d…
04-11 19:28:45	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	SELL	118	77¢	$91	0xbba133…
04-11 19:27:39	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	SELL	74	77¢	$57	0x1e336d…
04-11 19:26:39	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	SELL	108	77¢	$83	0x925792…
04-11 09:39:21	will faze be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	SELL	516	27¢	$139	0xb08a43…
04-10 04:39:51	Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?	No	BUY	389	68¢	$265	0xb3b4f2…
04-10 03:38:31	will faze be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	516	46¢	$237	0xffe0dd…
04-10 02:04:01	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	BUY	604	76¢	$459	0x4fa6a9…
04-10 01:18:21	will mrbeasts latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	349	38¢	$133	0x0f5901…
04-10 01:18:11	will mrbeasts latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	391	38¢	$149	0xc98efa…
04-09 09:53:07	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	250	44¢	$110	0x954b47…
04-09 09:46:47	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	182	43¢	$78	0x8b3258…
04-09 09:29:25	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	217	44¢	$95	0x99bf35…
04-09 09:26:37	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	SELL	124	44¢	$55	0xb95ad2…
04-08 07:36:13	elc por ips 2026 01 04 ips	No	BUY	786	45¢	$354	0x73e5ad…
03-20 05:54:07	will trump say excursion during trophy presentation	No	BUY	618	64¢	$396	0x30cf30…
03-17 01:46:25	will two people dissent the march fed decision	No	BUY	966	46¢	$444	0xff96cc…
03-16 01:44:11	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	386	21¢	$81	0x9f6239…
03-14 11:49:35	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	386	23¢	$89	0x854261…
03-14 09:33:29	elc por ips 2026 01 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	805	43¢	$346	0xd12330…
03-06 10:24:51	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	No	BUY	516	68¢	$351	0xe7db68…
03-06 05:17:19	spl hil njm 2026 03 05 spread home 1pt5	Al Najmah Saudi Club	BUY	430	26¢	$111	0x8466ac…
02-25 01:17:22	cbb sd pepp 2026 01 27	Pepperdine Waves	BUY	691	89¢	$615	0x37ca6b…
02-24 22:24:46	will donald trump say scam on truth social this week	No	SELL	430	33¢	$142	0xa63cf9…
02-24 18:30:40	scop dun abe 2026 02 11 draw	No	SELL	237	72¢	$171	0x26710f…
02-24 03:25:08	scop dun abe 2026 02 11 draw	No	BUY	237	85¢	$201	0xa23e1a…
02-24 02:11:36	will donald trump say scam on truth social this week	No	BUY	430	32¢	$138	0xe85f1b…
02-23 13:35:04	will al green attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	579	48¢	$278	0x2f0ccd…
02-23 13:32:42	will al green attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x6057ed…
02-23 12:10:30	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	SELL	422	80¢	$338	0x736a83…
02-23 07:50:18	will al green attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	594	46¢	$273	0x6ea56a…
02-23 06:12:32	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xda3898…
02-23 06:10:58	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	No	SELL	235	5¢	$12	0x2660cb…
02-23 05:53:18	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xc11400…
02-23 05:04:48	will the us next strike iran on march 16 2026 et	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0x62d263…
02-23 04:29:04	scop dun abe 2026 02 11 dun	Yes	SELL	392	78¢	$306	0x8493ed…
02-23 03:13:04	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	BUY	422	76¢	$321	0x6a506e…
02-23 03:05:46	scop dun abe 2026 02 11 dun	Yes	BUY	392	22¢	$86	0x8aec89…
02-23 03:03:50	will the us next strike iran on march 16 2026 et	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x2ac74d…
02-23 01:50:42	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0xcbc1db…
02-23 00:40:46	solana up or down february 22 8pm et	Up	BUY	658	51¢	$336	0x1efcc8…
02-23 00:40:36	solana up or down february 22 8pm et	Up	BUY	210	51¢	$107	0x9b1808…
02-23 00:40:30	solana up or down february 22 8pm et	Up	BUY	382	51¢	$195	0x4b3858…
02-23 00:35:24	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	No	BUY	242	5¢	$13	0x6d6211…
02-23 00:35:14	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3b9416…
02-22 16:14:16	will atalanta advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	633	17¢	$108	0x0fd3d1…
02-22 16:14:02	will atalanta advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	71	17¢	$12	0x3a0499…
02-22 16:13:42	will atalanta advance to the round of 16	Yes	SELL	529	17¢	$90	0xbcbba2…
02-22 12:28:46	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in february 2026 988	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xdb18c1…
02-22 10:07:50	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	49	84¢	$41	0xdf6712…
02-22 09:59:54	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	633	84¢	$532	0xd2a9e1…
02-22 08:16:42	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	BUY	682	84¢	$573	0xecedf4…
02-22 08:05:56	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in february 2026 988	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe2d576…
02-22 07:52:38	will atalanta advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	329	14¢	$46	0xab5bb2…
02-22 07:52:26	will atalanta advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	833	14¢	$117	0x1c5be4…
02-22 07:52:14	will atalanta advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9b8e21…
02-22 05:57:20	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	SELL	463	63¢	$292	0x76873d…
02-22 05:04:40	will criminal or criminalize be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 1	Yes	SELL	861	52¢	$448	0x3a3783…
02-22 04:10:36	will trump meet with kevin warsh in february 2026	No	SELL	140	68¢	$95	0x3ea741…
02-22 04:07:56	will trump meet with kevin warsh in february 2026	No	SELL	243	67¢	$163	0x8896d6…
02-22 02:08:34	will criminal or criminalize be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 1	Yes	BUY	861	43¢	$370	0xbdd203…
02-22 01:29:56	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	BUY	463	63¢	$292	0x055556…
02-22 01:20:32	cbb ala miss 2026 02 10	Ole Miss Rebels	BUY	265	80¢	$212	0x75a7d6…
02-21 06:31:20	will trump meet with kevin warsh in february 2026	No	BUY	383	70¢	$268	0x65669e…
02-21 03:35:44	will the announcers say dana white during strickland vs hernandez	No	SELL	871	36¢	$314	0x0a5440…
02-21 00:37:30	will the announcers say dana white during strickland vs hernandez	No	BUY	871	52¢	$453	0xa2f2c4…
02-21 00:32:32	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	458	58¢	$266	0x64853b…
02-21 00:32:24	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	75	58¢	$44	0x659a6c…
02-21 00:32:02	will forecastex self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	159	58¢	$92	0x1be5ea…
02-20 18:14:34	will trump say georgia during the state of the union address	No	SELL	290	56¢	$162	0x284592…
02-20 13:51:18	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	167	58¢	$97	0x654b1b…
02-20 12:23:08	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	338	38¢	$128	0x66fc34…
02-20 11:02:10	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 hsv	Yes	SELL	57	24¢	$14	0xf3fc6a…
02-20 08:27:26	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	201	65¢	$131	0xa5bca3…
02-20 07:57:46	will trump say georgia during the state of the union address	No	BUY	290	60¢	$174	0xed0abb…
02-20 07:47:24	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	338	37¢	$125	0xffc19a…
02-20 05:40:14	will trump say south america or latin america during the state of the union address	No	SELL	35	68¢	$24	0xbd7d43…
02-20 05:10:04	will trump say too late during the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x306ba5…
02-20 05:08:58	will trump say too late during the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xcb3ced…
02-20 04:31:20	will trump say tariff king in february	Yes	SELL	451	17¢	$77	0xfdf449…
02-20 04:31:06	will trump say tariff king in february	Yes	SELL	235	17¢	$40	0x92ce99…
02-20 01:54:14	will trump say tariff king in february	Yes	BUY	554	12¢	$66	0xf5d527…
02-20 01:53:56	will trump say tariff king in february	Yes	BUY	88	12¢	$11	0xb823b2…
02-20 01:53:48	will trump say tariff king in february	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x094003…
02-20 01:47:08	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	167	57¢	$95	0x51abbe…
02-20 01:39:36	will trump say too late during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	119	69¢	$82	0xb4bf0a…
02-20 01:11:34	cbb mtnst jaxst 2026 01 24	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	BUY	461	85¢	$391	0x27756f…
02-20 00:29:40	will trump say south america or latin america during the state of the union address	No	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x6a2052…
02-19 17:21:36	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 b04	Yes	SELL	219	40¢	$88	0xb329af…
02-19 17:21:20	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 b04	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xa4e967…
02-19 00:32:06	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 hsv	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0x36c954…
02-18 12:51:14	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x886abf…
02-18 04:14:22	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x92ec7e…
02-18 04:09:16	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 b04	Yes	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0x6b3edc…
02-18 00:29:55	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	SELL	47	68¢	$32	0x9deedb…
02-18 00:29:35	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	SELL	55	68¢	$37	0xd31e41…