Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$393

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

179

Trades

1,505

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$131

8 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 11-01 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 40% -$276

Other

38% 11% -$148

Politics

4% 20% -$13

Tech

3% 0% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 546 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+81	$45	76¢	$62	+$18	10-09 12:39
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+39	$16	64¢	$25	+$9	10-27 10:16
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+82	$18	24¢	$19	+$2	10-27 10:16
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+39	$23	36¢	$14	-$9	10-04 14:40
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	No	+9	$8	78¢	$7	-$1	09-25 09:18
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt4 before 2027	Yes	+9	$4	22¢	$2	-$2	09-24 12:24
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	+1	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	10-05 14:57
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1	-$3	60¢	$1	+$4	10-04 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 11:35 UTC	92	$1.0K	1,742	285	+1,457	Down	+$162	09-17 11:37
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	22	$490	521	357	+163	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	39	$428	469	401	+67	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	10	$389	250	250	+0	open	—	10-27 10:21
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	18	$339	350	272	+78	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	40	$337	357	302	+55	open	—	10-10 02:32
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	8	$274	150	150	+0	Yes	+$6	10-05 01:16
spain snap election called by october 31	9	$180	200	200	+0	Yes	-$10	10-04 21:45
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	7	$158	200	149	+51	Yes	-$24	10-06 10:18
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	7	$137	150	149	+1	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	11	$132	131	131	+0	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	4	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	16	$117	151	75	+76	No	-$17	10-12 14:15
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?	4	$116	150	50	+100	open	—	10-04 14:40
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	13	$115	120	120	+0	open	—	09-24 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	16	$107	200	0	+200	Up	-$7	09-15 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:10 UTC	15	$103	200	0	+200	Down	-$4	09-17 07:11
Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	12	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	7	$100	80	80	+0	open	—	10-27 10:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:20 UTC	18	$99	188	0	+188	Up	-$11	09-17 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	14	$99	175	0	+175	Up	+$1	09-15 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 09:35 UTC	12	$98	196	0	+196	Up	-$2	09-17 09:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:55 UTC	17	$97	190	0	+190	Down	+$2	09-17 06:55
Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	7	$97	67	66	+1	open	—	10-27 10:16
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	8	$94	87	87	+0	open	—	09-24 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	16	$93	173	0	+173	Down	+$7	09-15 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	13	$91	175	0	+175	Down	-$16	09-15 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:30 UTC	11	$90	182	0	+182	Down	+$10	09-17 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:25 UTC	9	$88	175	0	+175	Down	+$11	09-17 07:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 11:25 UTC	13	$88	175	0	+175	Up	-$13	09-17 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:29:27	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x25871b…
11-01 15:29:24	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xf4613b…
11-01 15:29:21	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe9aee9…
11-01 08:29:21	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0xa97618…
10-31 18:29:22	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7d98a8…
10-31 18:29:19	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc70756…
10-31 12:59:25	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x3bb27e…
10-31 01:51:34	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x3165a2…
10-31 01:44:36	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x590238…
10-30 21:14:25	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf2045a…
10-30 21:14:22	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3d8da9…
10-30 21:14:19	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd4ec9e…
10-30 18:14:21	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x2d7fb9…
10-30 03:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0xc23f77…
10-30 01:44:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xaca81c…
10-30 01:14:19	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xba78e5…
10-29 23:29:22	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x6f2254…
10-29 22:29:21	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x3f235d…
10-29 14:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xfe3ceb…
10-29 14:16:41	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xb661e0…
10-29 14:14:25	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfadf1c…
10-29 14:14:25	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x1fdbca…
10-29 13:37:38	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x76baef…
10-29 11:14:20	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xd31313…
10-29 11:14:20	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x63379d…
10-29 09:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x1bd0f0…
10-29 09:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	75¢	$41	0x11bd1d…
10-29 06:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x4812ec…
10-29 04:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	97	77¢	$75	0xa2cdf9…
10-29 02:29:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xeef223…
10-28 19:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xad25cb…
10-28 18:29:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x74070a…
10-28 16:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xc26c87…
10-28 14:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	70¢	$32	0xa84053…
10-28 08:14:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x799c1d…
10-28 07:44:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x35a45d…
10-28 06:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	86	88¢	$75	0x433d78…
10-28 03:14:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x8d8d16…
10-27 23:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x9f6ea1…
10-27 23:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	77¢	$31	0x64077b…
10-27 23:44:21	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x34ee71…
10-27 23:44:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x61f6d5…
10-27 23:44:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x296333…
10-27 23:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xd9a5da…
10-27 22:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	91	82¢	$75	0xd0efbd…
10-27 21:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0x379019…
10-27 10:21:53	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xb95863…
10-27 10:21:53	Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xa9780d…
10-27 10:16:38	Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xe52354…
10-27 10:16:38	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x683b8b…
10-27 10:16:36	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x2ebf2b…
10-27 10:16:35	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xb7c509…
10-27 10:16:33	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x44b8fc…
10-27 10:16:32	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0xef5bc2…
10-27 10:16:32	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x039d42…
10-27 10:16:30	Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0xc1a1c1…
10-27 10:16:29	Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xce065d…
10-27 10:16:29	Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x839ad4…
10-27 10:16:27	Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xf47bd1…
10-27 10:16:26	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	44	17¢	$8	0x2519f1…
10-27 10:16:24	Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x9af2af…
10-27 10:16:24	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x60ebd0…
10-27 10:16:23	Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xcc103f…
10-27 10:16:21	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0xcb7995…
10-27 10:16:21	Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xb22d9d…
10-27 10:16:21	Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x7f88a6…
10-27 10:16:21	Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x03195c…
10-27 10:16:20	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xd2df6d…
10-27 10:16:18	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x9c9452…
10-27 10:16:17	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x36a777…
10-12 14:15:03	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3aa5fe…
10-12 12:15:48	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0xb2191c…
10-12 11:39:50	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c700c…
10-12 10:56:15	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x95acbb…
10-12 10:56:15	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x95acbb…
10-12 07:41:47	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	No	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0xf19b46…
10-12 07:38:31	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x7ccacc…
10-12 05:03:47	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xfd805c…
10-12 05:02:32	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x8bf367…
10-11 18:30:19	Will "Rockstar" by Post Malone, 21 Savage be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x83e87d…
10-11 09:23:16	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xabb053…
10-11 08:00:33	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0xbac643…
10-11 02:20:17	Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x99bc1e…
10-11 02:20:15	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xf0bc7a…
10-10 23:39:00	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x13dc82…
10-10 20:28:03	Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa5fbd4…
10-10 19:27:39	Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x5537e6…
10-10 03:24:35	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x988325…
10-10 02:51:54	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x834115…
10-10 02:51:53	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x87e43d…
10-10 02:32:11	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x65cba2…
10-09 21:39:47	Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x7a7bce…
10-09 20:46:14	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xab3e8f…
10-09 20:43:34	Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	SELL	42	83¢	$35	0x027df4…
10-09 16:53:41	Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x20f496…
10-09 16:37:27	Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x16a7da…
10-09 14:54:57	Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x5a0100…
10-09 13:41:57	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x08a2c8…
10-09 12:41:58	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x21916c…
10-09 12:39:33	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x70421e…