Substantial-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

438

Trades

1,044

lifetime

Volume

$845.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$810

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-28 04:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Sports

49% 33% -$13,117

Other

30% 32% -$15,247

Crypto

21% 61% -$2,730

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. Spurs	4	$28.5K	26,427	26,427	+0	Knicks	+$17,069	06-14 03:20
LSU vs. Ole Miss	5	$28.2K	61,958	26,323	+35,635	Ole Miss	-$5,030	09-20 03:04
Cardinals vs. Rams	6	$22.2K	19,935	19,935	+0	Cardinals	+$11,022	10-18 23:00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$18.8K	17,404	17,404	+0	Yes	+$15,968	07-15 21:11
Bills vs. Rams	9	$15.6K	14,772	14,772	+0	Bills	+$629	10-13 03:48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$15.4K	9,344	9,344	+0	Yes	+$2,663	06-21 04:35
Vikings vs. Bears	2	$15.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	Vikings	+$4,990	09-20 20:03
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$14.0K	7,674	7,674	+0	Yes	+$783	06-23 17:10
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	4	$13.0K	25,353	25,353	+0	Athletics	+$8,606	09-23 04:12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies	7	$12.5K	11,851	11,851	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$4,889	09-02 22:42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	6	$12.1K	10,395	10,395	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$1,269	10-28 04:32
Steelers vs. Browns	4	$12.1K	12,165	12,165	+0	Browns	+$2,322	10-02 03:40
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	5	$11.8K	10,811	10,811	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2,701	09-19 02:50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$10.7K	10,022	10,022	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$7,927	08-29 04:21
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners	4	$9.6K	16,370	7,521	+8,849	Athletics	-$1,766	09-04 04:22
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	2	$9.3K	6,422	6,422	+0	Yes	+$3,526	06-21 01:59
Colts vs. Chiefs	2	$9.3K	5,479	5,479	+0	Chiefs	+$1,265	09-21 03:51
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	4	$9.0K	17,382	17,382	+0	Buccaneers	+$438	10-09 03:15
Iowa vs. Minnesota	6	$9.0K	9,405	9,405	+0	Minnesota	+$650	10-24 22:57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$8.6K	7,743	3,140	+4,603	No	-$2,649	07-03 23:26
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	3	$8.4K	15,802	15,802	+0	No	+$4,583	06-15 23:01
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	2	$7.7K	9,482	9,482	+0	No	+$4,835	06-28 01:23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$7.5K	5,208	5,208	+0	Yes	+$2,489	06-29 18:57
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	1	$7.4K	8,804	0	+8,804	No	-$7,395	06-23 18:53
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	4	$6.9K	5,275	5,275	+0	Miami Marlins	+$412	09-23 03:30
Seahawks vs. Broncos	5	$6.9K	8,221	5,590	+2,631	Broncos	-$910	10-16 03:23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers	5	$6.6K	13,138	6,888	+6,250	Tampa Bay Rays	+$1,637	09-06 01:50
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	2	$6.5K	5,060	5,060	+0	Yes	+$3,587	06-18 01:07
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	5	$6.2K	6,419	5,330	+1,089	New York Yankees	+$1,252	09-25 01:57
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$6.1K	18,317	4,807	+13,511	St. Louis Cardinals	-$2,798	09-03 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:32:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	3,069	100¢	$3,066	0x6f51a4…
10-28 03:48:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3,069	55¢	$1,688	0x3b1fad…
10-28 03:48:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	3,864	46¢	$1,773	0xaf805d…
10-28 03:36:28	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3,864	46¢	$1,778	0x1b5fb0…
10-28 03:36:09	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	3,462	54¢	$1,869	0x2fec6b…
10-28 03:33:58	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3,462	57¢	$1,973	0xb818a5…
10-25 03:40:47	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6,260	30¢	$1,878	0x622cfc…
10-25 03:40:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	2,812	70¢	$1,969	0x483548…
10-24 23:03:23	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2,812	53¢	$1,491	0x6995a8…
10-24 22:57:18	Iowa vs. Minnesota	Minnesota	SELL	1,975	78¢	$1,543	0xd5a9fb…
10-24 22:17:54	Iowa vs. Minnesota	Minnesota	BUY	1,975	74¢	$1,467	0xe78889…
10-24 22:11:45	Iowa vs. Minnesota	Iowa	SELL	4,659	32¢	$1,503	0x3b96e9…
10-24 22:01:05	Iowa vs. Minnesota	Iowa	BUY	4,659	37¢	$1,714	0xae0404…
10-24 21:59:05	Iowa vs. Minnesota	Minnesota	SELL	2,771	64¢	$1,769	0xbae3b5…
10-24 21:07:06	Iowa vs. Minnesota	Minnesota	BUY	2,771	35¢	$983	0x64a7e9…
10-24 03:45:51	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3,355	37¢	$1,245	0x8f0711…
10-24 03:10:54	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	1,319	95¢	$1,251	0x21fc2f…
10-24 02:12:53	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,319	75¢	$989	0x442646…
10-24 01:36:00	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	2,775	36¢	$1,000	0x7ef379…
10-23 11:21:27	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	637	52¢	$331	0xc75c85…
10-23 03:26:30	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x001a87…
10-23 03:09:33	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x66cffe…
10-23 03:09:03	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	SELL	5,241	4¢	$210	0xc67e37…
10-23 02:27:18	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	5,241	33¢	$1,729	0xc7e289…
10-23 01:35:18	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,765	85¢	$1,500	0xc60b82…
10-21 03:01:27	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	16,667	12¢	$2,000	0xfaf6c2…
10-21 00:59:42	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2,661	62¢	$1,650	0x336c17…
10-21 00:32:24	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	5,172	31¢	$1,603	0xad35c2…
10-21 00:06:26	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	5,172	29¢	$1,500	0xe28d28…
10-20 03:03:36	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	7,834	28¢	$2,200	0xdcad29…
10-20 03:01:20	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	SELL	14,579	16¢	$2,343	0xe8b839…
10-20 02:34:08	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	14,579	7¢	$987	0xb1f04c…
10-18 23:05:35	Bills vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	3,571	28¢	$1,000	0xcfe61e…
10-18 23:00:38	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	SELL	3,393	99¢	$3,359	0x1a878c…
10-18 22:55:00	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	3,393	29¢	$1,000	0x37fdf8…
10-18 22:53:24	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	13,144	80¢	$10,544	0x5e0e3e…
10-18 22:36:56	Cardinals vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	13,144	20¢	$2,629	0x060059…
10-18 22:36:18	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	SELL	3,398	80¢	$2,718	0x02f697…
10-18 22:14:17	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	3,398	58¢	$1,971	0xf0cf9c…
10-18 02:46:15	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xa02457…
10-18 00:53:11	Nevada vs. North Dakota State	Nevada	BUY	24,383	8¢	$1,946	0x266df0…
10-16 03:23:33	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	2,631	54¢	$1,421	0x86ce9e…
10-16 03:23:04	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	SELL	2,757	53¢	$1,461	0x08645c…
10-16 03:22:06	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	2,757	54¢	$1,489	0x93586d…
10-16 03:19:06	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	SELL	2,833	54¢	$1,530	0x8be175…
10-16 03:14:01	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	2,833	35¢	$992	0x927960…
10-13 03:48:32	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	1,972	99¢	$1,952	0x493b1d…
10-13 03:42:27	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	1,972	71¢	$1,400	0x963718…
10-13 03:41:48	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	5,007	29¢	$1,452	0x8108db…
10-13 03:25:21	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xaf144e…
10-13 03:24:59	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	4,994	54¢	$2,697	0xe7f0bb…
10-13 03:22:11	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	5,336	52¢	$2,775	0xb36aba…
10-13 03:17:48	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	5,336	35¢	$1,888	0x435b77…
10-13 03:16:06	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	2,457	79¢	$1,941	0x6dc2a2…
10-13 03:10:12	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	2,457	61¢	$1,499	0x879f54…
10-09 03:15:11	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Buccaneers	SELL	2,716	96¢	$2,610	0xd0a1b1…
10-09 03:07:06	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Buccaneers	BUY	2,716	77¢	$2,086	0x6a160e…
10-09 03:01:59	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	SELL	14,667	14¢	$2,114	0x3b675b…
10-09 02:38:59	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	14,667	15¢	$2,200	0xd46fdc…
10-09 02:24:57	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	3,188	73¢	$2,321	0xea56c8…
10-09 02:17:26	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	3,188	37¢	$1,180	0x7d38e1…
10-09 02:12:26	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	SELL	1,818	68¢	$1,236	0x3d80ad…
10-09 02:02:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0xf23e95…
10-07 04:33:21	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	8,333	23¢	$1,916	0x2bf1e9…
10-07 00:54:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,266	17¢	$212	0xbf2949…
10-07 00:54:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	24,065	7¢	$1,711	0x3a2601…
10-04 03:53:38	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	11,187	13¢	$1,432	0xb775d8…
10-03 21:25:28	Florida vs. Missouri	Florida	BUY	10,345	29¢	$3,000	0x34cc58…
10-03 02:25:53	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech	BUY	4,838	51¢	$2,467	0xdb39cd…
10-02 03:40:15	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	SELL	4,332	97¢	$4,203	0x47868c…
10-02 03:33:54	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	4,332	68¢	$2,946	0xb0e6f4…
10-02 03:32:17	Steelers vs. Browns	Steelers	SELL	7,832	39¢	$3,024	0x134117…
10-02 02:58:23	Steelers vs. Browns	Steelers	BUY	7,832	25¢	$1,958	0xb80408…
09-30 02:23:47	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29	Boston Red Sox	BUY	6,191	16¢	$991	0x15450f…
09-26 20:35:42	cfb miss fl 2026 09 26	Ole Miss	BUY	21,507	23¢	$4,850	0xfb36a8…
09-25 01:57:17	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1,089	1¢	$16	0x854aa3…
09-25 01:52:32	Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	7,818	27¢	$2,111	0x5c4bbc…
09-25 01:51:30	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	2,376	93¢	$2,210	0xc04703…
09-25 01:43:26	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	2,376	62¢	$1,473	0xf63d2e…
09-25 01:42:00	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	2,954	52¢	$1,536	0xe08edc…
09-25 01:21:29	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	2,954	34¢	$1,004	0xbb4e59…
09-24 23:34:03	Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	4,523	43¢	$1,935	0x689701…
09-24 03:56:51	San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,388	19¢	$264	0xbb7f75…
09-24 03:56:35	San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,222	19¢	$232	0x3e68d0…
09-24 03:54:29	mlb laa oak 2026 09 23	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	8,741	6¢	$524	0xc20db8…
09-24 03:15:14	mlb laa oak 2026 09 23	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	8,741	22¢	$1,923	0xdf8842…
09-24 02:15:08	Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	6,424	30¢	$1,927	0xd0095d…
09-24 01:44:25	mlb cin atl 2026 09 23	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	4,234	43¢	$1,821	0x4c679d…
09-24 01:40:38	mlb cin atl 2026 09 23	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2,988	64¢	$1,912	0x7afa87…
09-24 01:22:49	mlb cin atl 2026 09 23	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2,988	67¢	$2,002	0x0c05dd…
09-23 04:12:59	Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	3,970	50¢	$2,002	0xdbb9c8…
09-23 04:04:49	Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	2,660	42¢	$1,115	0xf71b9b…
09-23 04:01:07	Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	18,722	41¢	$7,671	0xfd3593…
09-23 03:50:19	Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	25,353	9¢	$2,183	0x5d5999…
09-23 03:30:20	Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	Miami Marlins	SELL	2,832	82¢	$2,322	0x02b53c…
09-23 03:26:20	Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	Miami Marlins	BUY	2,832	45¢	$1,274	0x094571…
09-23 03:25:58	Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	2,444	55¢	$1,344	0x965240…
09-23 03:16:17	Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2,444	81¢	$1,979	0xbf95da…
09-21 23:17:25	Giants vs. Rams	Giants	BUY	14,286	28¢	$4,000	0x38d880…
09-21 03:51:41	Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	SELL	5,479	96¢	$5,265	0x02b2cf…