Warped-Thermals 0x2bf214…23bace Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
353
Trades
1,224
lifetime
Volume
$888
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$43
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 11-05 19:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
52% 44% -$9
Politics
36% 65% +$19
Sports
6% 45% -$10
Pop-Culture
3% 71% $0
Crypto
3% 92% -$6
Tech
2% 62% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +55 $10 21¢ $12 +$2 11-04 17:18
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 10-29 17:39
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$0 07-17 08:19
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -146 -$2 2¢ $-3 -$1 05-14 15:34
Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-30 17:02
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-29 17:47
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 8, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 11-04 17:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 10-29 17:46
Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1 $1 71¢ $1 $0 10-29 19:15
Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $0 10-30 17:46
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? No +2 $1 27¢ $0 -$1 11-03 00:56
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -59 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 11-05 19:20
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -88 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 10:11
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -1 $0 30¢ $-0 $0 06-15 04:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1 $0 13¢ $-0 $0 11-05 05:23
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -14 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-05 20:32
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -0 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 07-10 14:53
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? No +0 $0 35¢ $0 $0 07-29 04:38