Thin-Operator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$771

Unrealized P&L

+$68

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

3,008

Trades

3,954

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$169

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 08-25 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 57% -$543

Other

12% 58% -$159

Sports

8% 47% -$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes		+152	$85	93¢	$142	+$57	08-25 07:12
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+35	$17	78¢	$27	+$10	08-23 13:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8pm et	13	$104	4,663	0	+4,663	Up	-$31	04-13 00:52
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	7	$90	157	5	+152	open	—	08-25 07:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	11	$76	131	41	+90	Down	+$17	04-12 22:09
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	13	$72	79	77	+3	Down	-$8	04-13 05:52
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	3	$70	98	50	+48	Texas Rangers	-$23	06-01 06:56
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	3	$70	102	52	+50	Seattle Mariners	-$24	06-01 06:57
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	3	$70	71	36	+35	Colorado Rockies	-$24	06-01 06:55
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 5pm et	7	$64	326	0	+326	Up	+$241	04-12 21:51
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC	15	$57	111	0	+111	Up	-$19	04-13 02:53
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 21:30 UTC	9	$53	272	0	+272	Up	-$11	04-12 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 01:15 UTC	6	$51	100	0	+100	Down	-$11	04-13 01:22
ethereum above 2180 on april 13 2026 1am et	5	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 05:53
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	2	$47	59	59	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$1	06-01 06:54
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$47	48	48	+0	Minnesota Twins	-$1	06-01 06:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 01:15 UTC	6	$39	118	0	+118	Down	-$39	04-13 01:24
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	6	$39	82	27	+56	Down	+$15	04-12 23:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 21:45 UTC	5	$39	69	0	+69	Up	-$39	04-12 21:52
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	8	$36	43	35	+8	Down	-$18	04-12 23:57
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 5am et	36	$36	190	0	+190	Down	-$23	04-12 09:53
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC	7	$36	58	14	+45	Up	-$4	04-13 03:21
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC	4	$35	145	0	+145	Up	-$17	04-13 03:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 21:30 UTC	6	$33	364	0	+364	Up	+$1	04-12 21:45
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 8pm et	5	$32	475	0	+475	Up	-$22	04-13 00:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 08:00 UTC	12	$32	68	0	+68	Down	+$27	04-12 10:44
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12am et	2	$31	22	21	+1	Down	+$12	04-13 05:53
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 10pm et	3	$30	45	0	+45	Down	+$15	04-13 02:14
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC	5	$29	139	0	+139	Up	-$21	04-13 03:37
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	6	$28	36	35	+1	Down	-$6	04-13 05:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 01:30 UTC	4	$28	160	0	+160	Up	-$28	04-13 01:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 00:45 UTC	7	$27	143	0	+143	Up	-$4	04-13 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 11:56:12	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x4f8803…
08-25 07:12:13	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4ce4c7…
08-24 13:39:00	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x8e9ce0…
08-24 12:17:04	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3db422…
08-23 16:24:57	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd7f452…
08-23 16:24:55	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x6fa4cf…
08-23 13:49:25	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x64a47d…
08-23 13:41:57	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0xf0801a…
08-23 13:41:13	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x5fafde…
06-02 07:21:54	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Diego Padres	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xa58dfd…
06-02 07:21:21	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xf84514…
06-02 07:20:58	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x3ce8fc…
06-02 07:20:32	Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs	Athletics	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x4d6e00…
06-02 07:20:11	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x6b2fd5…
06-01 06:57:28	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	New York Mets	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x4e0bb7…
06-01 06:57:00	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x75da69…
06-01 06:56:36	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0x9be10f…
06-01 06:56:15	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x0f6d2f…
06-01 06:55:49	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0xdcbcfd…
06-01 06:54:37	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Francisco Giants	SELL	59	39¢	$23	0xcd54be…
06-01 06:54:07	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	New York Mets	SELL	52	45¢	$23	0x065c43…
06-01 06:53:34	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	48	47¢	$23	0x04409e…
06-01 06:53:15	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x3e068f…
06-01 06:52:59	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	36	65¢	$23	0x09ad8a…
06-01 06:52:41	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	New York Mets	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xc2a275…
06-01 06:51:45	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xcf1f26…
06-01 06:51:19	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0x57aca4…
06-01 06:50:27	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x123b63…
06-01 06:50:07	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x86903f…
05-31 13:29:22	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x3d1ec0…
05-31 13:28:56	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0xc79579…
05-31 13:28:26	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xdcec4d…
05-31 13:28:07	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x5a64a4…
05-31 13:27:37	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	49	47¢	$23	0xca5741…
05-30 09:13:13	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Minnesota Twins	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0x36037d…
05-30 09:12:29	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0x39f597…
05-30 09:11:57	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x538f33…
05-30 09:11:24	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0xb3ffed…
05-30 09:10:54	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xbaccc8…
05-29 07:28:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xd27590…
05-29 07:27:59	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xc88769…
05-29 07:27:17	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xd68ce0…
05-29 07:26:42	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers	Kansas City Royals	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xdad959…
05-29 07:26:14	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x9c087d…
05-27 08:24:55	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x15bd5d…
05-27 08:24:32	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdcbf63…
05-27 08:24:11	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x698252…
05-27 08:23:38	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Colorado Rockies	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x839dd3…
05-27 08:22:35	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x83519a…
05-24 08:58:27	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaa21b4…
05-24 08:58:01	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x05298a…
05-24 08:57:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xbec9c9…
05-24 08:57:05	Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	Athletics	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x41835e…
05-24 08:56:28	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Colorado Rockies	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xec7dbc…
05-23 07:59:51	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x428ed5…
05-23 07:58:34	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x81195b…
05-23 07:58:09	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf79007…
05-23 07:57:43	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x53b23c…
05-23 07:57:06	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfcc98c…
05-22 19:55:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7faf1d…
05-22 19:54:58	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3b019b…
05-22 19:54:05	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc2d0b7…
05-22 19:53:30	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf0a78a…
05-22 19:51:52	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb7b5c3…
04-13 05:53:19	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xb103e5…
04-13 05:53:11	ethereum above 2180 on april 13 2026 1am et	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xda1950…
04-13 05:53:05	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbd38c4…
04-13 05:52:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	56	33¢	$19	0xe0018f…
04-13 05:52:51	bitcoin above 71400 on april 13 2026 1am et	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd6bc7f…
04-13 05:52:43	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0xac0ab1…
04-13 05:52:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xd2230b…
04-13 05:52:29	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x88ea6d…
04-13 05:35:59	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x1c8067…
04-13 05:22:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x853bf0…
04-13 05:22:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x93616b…
04-13 05:22:27	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x32a3d1…
04-13 05:22:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x18379d…
04-13 05:22:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x49e38a…
04-13 05:22:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xf31a67…
04-13 05:22:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3cb4cf…
04-13 05:22:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x053117…
04-13 05:13:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd24167…
04-13 05:12:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x68c523…
04-13 05:01:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe52cd5…
04-13 05:01:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x47df0a…
04-13 05:01:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1d60de…
04-13 04:53:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xd0c5cb…
04-13 04:53:03	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfdb803…
04-13 04:53:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xce01dd…
04-13 04:52:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	132	6¢	$8	0x20e80d…
04-13 04:51:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0xd885fa…
04-13 04:51:17	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xe23b6c…
04-13 04:38:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xdf520b…
04-13 04:37:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x496a6d…
04-13 04:35:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x9a6ab7…
04-13 04:35:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xd061b7…
04-13 04:34:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x86900d…
04-13 04:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x9eef3f…
04-13 04:34:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x2e3068…
04-13 04:33:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x9f9048…