Valuable-Riddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$292

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

3,541

Trades

10,116

lifetime

Volume

$183.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 11-01 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% +$591

Politics

1% 50% -$260

Other

0% 38% $0

Sports

0% 12% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 417 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	18	$930	2,974	2,974	+0	No	-$265	06-11 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	7	$629	560	560	+0	Up	+$199	10-25 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 03:55 UTC	7	$609	869	869	+0	Down	+$89	08-23 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 02:35 UTC	6	$594	741	684	+57	Down	+$151	07-20 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 02:10 UTC	7	$582	950	807	+144	Down	+$126	07-20 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:20 UTC	8	$579	567	503	+64	Up	+$43	08-21 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:15 UTC	9	$572	735	618	+117	Down	-$11	08-23 05:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:25 UTC	10	$569	350	350	+0	Up	+$29	08-31 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 05:45 UTC	13	$515	1,076	1,076	+0	Up	-$85	09-28 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	18	$504	444	444	+0	Down	+$44	09-09 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 02:30 UTC	11	$497	1,608	1,608	+0	Up	-$403	07-20 02:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 00:45 UTC	8	$497	913	793	+121	Down	-$82	07-20 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	6	$448	482	482	+0	Down	+$108	10-08 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:40 UTC	4	$445	633	633	+0	Up	+$145	08-21 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:00 UTC	4	$425	288	288	+0	Down	+$125	08-21 09:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:00 UTC	11	$415	614	595	+19	Down	+$34	09-28 01:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:15 UTC	13	$411	574	574	+0	Up	+$51	09-28 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:05 UTC	8	$406	494	328	+166	Up	+$112	08-27 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 02:25 UTC	8	$389	621	509	+113	Down	-$311	07-20 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:35 UTC	6	$381	593	593	+0	Up	-$15	08-21 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 05:25 UTC	5	$381	397	336	+61	Down	+$42	07-20 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:10 UTC	9	$374	357	357	+0	Down	+$52	08-27 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	13	$372	440	303	+136	Down	-$128	09-01 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	10	$356	477	477	+0	Down	-$24	09-19 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:35 UTC	6	$354	297	234	+64	Up	+$78	08-27 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	12	$354	425	425	+0	Up	+$34	09-19 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:35 UTC	5	$343	331	269	+62	Up	+$23	08-21 09:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:05 UTC	6	$341	562	371	+191	Down	+$32	07-09 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	9	$339	515	462	+53	Down	-$128	07-20 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	5	$335	189	189	+0	Up	+$28	08-23 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x61022f…
11-01 17:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xdc4ba0…
11-01 17:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0xabef5c…
11-01 17:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3f1ce1…
11-01 17:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	59	28¢	$16	0x750ac5…
11-01 17:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x182b06…
11-01 17:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x797abf…
11-01 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x95fa9a…
11-01 17:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6bba72…
11-01 17:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xba7096…
11-01 17:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	51¢	$19	0x0cc1dc…
11-01 17:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x266d07…
11-01 17:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x88e312…
11-01 00:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	94	34¢	$32	0xcf50be…
11-01 00:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	312	29¢	$90	0x966868…
11-01 00:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	204	24¢	$50	0x720c3b…
11-01 00:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x360a04…
11-01 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0x343bd3…
11-01 00:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	500	23¢	$114	0x63e090…
11-01 00:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0xbb86fb…
11-01 00:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1f2936…
11-01 00:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	147	42¢	$62	0x95aff2…
11-01 00:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x1094e8…
11-01 00:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc5a379…
11-01 00:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xe8a40a…
11-01 00:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x9c337e…
11-01 00:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1af882…
11-01 00:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x0fbe9f…
11-01 00:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xafb9e9…
11-01 00:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x86a6e9…
11-01 00:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9fd45b…
11-01 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3ba898…
11-01 00:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9b3f7f…
11-01 00:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	39	7¢	$3	0x47ee1f…
11-01 00:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0c4365…
11-01 00:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x762d7d…
11-01 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	231	12¢	$28	0x4f4728…
11-01 00:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe2f61f…
11-01 00:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7b5396…
11-01 00:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x80c3de…
11-01 00:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf9a07c…
11-01 00:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x54ad0f…
11-01 00:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x77fb5b…
11-01 00:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe10e33…
11-01 00:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x28284c…
10-25 22:59:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	31	78¢	$25	0x3af275…
10-25 22:49:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x42c4a2…
10-25 17:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	52¢	$13	0x3bf804…
10-25 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xcc5b09…
10-25 17:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x7a01c8…
10-25 17:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb4ab03…
10-25 01:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	560	74¢	$414	0x658ac6…
10-25 01:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xc481d0…
10-25 01:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x4b64a2…
10-25 01:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	176	5¢	$9	0xd1ac37…
10-25 01:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xde9b11…
10-25 01:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xba2ed2…
10-25 01:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x746f4b…
10-25 01:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x0de413…
10-25 01:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa8313d…
10-25 01:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xca65fd…
10-25 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x1d01ba…
10-25 01:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0xd7d8b8…
10-25 01:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd55fdf…
10-25 01:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa6002a…
10-25 01:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	953	2¢	$19	0x1ee7b3…
10-25 01:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	589	8¢	$50	0xd938f2…
10-25 01:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf780f6…
10-25 01:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x01ca98…
10-25 01:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x5443dd…
10-25 01:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x7c1126…
10-25 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd6c29c…
10-25 01:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x6287f9…
10-25 01:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x303fee…
10-25 01:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x489be2…
10-25 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x62af2d…
10-25 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xaaa122…
10-25 01:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd2d99b…
10-25 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	8¢	$1	0xa9f781…
10-25 00:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x811700…
10-25 00:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47	14¢	$7	0x10c534…
10-25 00:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xaabc1c…
10-25 00:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb128b4…
10-25 00:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2f9bb8…
10-24 23:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x289e92…
10-24 23:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3df7e4…
10-17 23:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	43	26¢	$11	0x80ffa3…
10-17 23:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc11046…
10-16 00:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	136	53¢	$71	0xec1206…
10-16 00:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	64	58¢	$37	0x60a756…
10-16 00:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xd8ddd3…
10-16 00:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9657d7…
10-16 00:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x77868e…
10-16 00:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6bea8b…
10-16 00:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xee45c6…
10-16 00:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc50cd6…
10-16 00:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x7ae6bc…
10-11 18:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	361	53¢	$190	0xcd7858…
10-11 18:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xd16c01…
10-11 18:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x558d10…