Simplistic-Flu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

582

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 07-26 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$2

Other

33% 100% +$24

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	10	$596	566	417	+149	open	—	04-13 06:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$502	267	267	+0	open	—	05-21 17:40
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	2	$361	377	309	+68	open	—	06-14 14:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$358	258	258	+0	open	—	04-23 17:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$289	192	192	+0	open	—	05-30 11:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$267	251	172	+79	open	—	05-30 11:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$265	194	194	+0	open	—	03-31 16:54
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	7	$247	223	223	+0	open	—	03-17 07:50
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$232	123	123	+0	open	—	05-15 09:25
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	3	$224	196	196	+0	open	—	06-16 21:08
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$219	127	127	+0	open	—	03-28 10:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5	$201	120	120	+0	open	—	04-23 17:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$194	154	154	+0	open	—	03-11 07:25
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	3	$192	118	118	+0	open	—	05-16 11:19
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 team total home 1pt5	4	$186	184	159	+25	open	—	06-15 20:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	8	$175	279	279	+0	open	—	03-03 21:28
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$172	105	105	+0	open	—	04-16 06:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$171	143	143	+0	open	—	05-04 06:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$170	104	104	+0	open	—	05-13 16:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$167	108	108	+0	open	—	04-23 17:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$163	155	77	+77	open	—	04-03 17:56
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$160	198	0	+198	open	—	02-27 13:15
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	2	$156	106	106	+0	open	—	06-14 00:18
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	4	$154	90	90	+0	open	—	03-07 16:27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$154	136	136	+0	open	—	04-08 09:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$149	118	118	+0	open	—	05-06 14:58
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	2	$147	156	156	+0	open	—	06-20 21:46
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	2	$143	164	82	+82	open	—	06-13 20:34
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	4	$132	86	86	+0	open	—	03-23 18:25
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$132	83	83	+0	open	—	03-29 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 14:40:28	btc updown 5m 1785076800	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x238b3f…
07-25 18:28:15	ufc mag1 bog1 2026 07 25	Bogdan Guskov	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x44619b…
07-23 19:24:12	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Up	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x65a518…
07-23 19:23:45	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1a1acf…
07-23 19:23:31	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0808c2…
07-23 19:22:57	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2ac623…
07-23 19:22:31	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9508af…
07-23 19:22:24	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9d5eae…
07-23 19:22:12	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x478919…
07-23 19:21:22	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x32ff98…
07-23 19:20:24	btc updown 5m 1784834400	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa0bf82…
07-23 19:19:10	btc updown 5m 1784834100	Down	SELL	55	28¢	$15	0x3a3316…
07-23 19:18:13	btc updown 5m 1784834100	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x68288d…
07-23 19:16:42	btc updown 5m 1784834100	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbb77ce…
07-23 19:15:31	btc updown 5m 1784834100	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xaf886c…
07-23 19:15:27	btc updown 5m 1784834100	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb620f1…
07-23 19:15:24	btc updown 5m 1784834100	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0d8dcc…
07-23 19:13:21	btc updown 5m 1784833800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4bc2f9…
07-23 19:11:58	btc updown 5m 1784833800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0a26f5…
07-23 19:10:40	btc updown 5m 1784833800	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x985bf5…
07-23 19:10:34	btc updown 5m 1784833800	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x188b65…
07-23 19:06:54	btc updown 5m 1784833500	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb87f14…
07-23 19:05:58	btc updown 5m 1784833500	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1c24d2…
07-19 21:40:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa82c4b…
07-19 21:18:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x6dd3b4…
07-19 21:17:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x751f8d…
07-19 20:22:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x6e5b53…
07-19 19:11:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x90931d…
07-18 23:03:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x9e49e1…
07-18 23:01:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 1pt5	England	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xbfa676…
07-18 22:34:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xdde70d…
07-18 22:34:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	61	46¢	$28	0x141bdc…
07-18 22:32:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	73	16¢	$12	0xbe8c6d…
07-18 21:43:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xef95be…
07-18 21:43:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa7003e…
07-18 21:36:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x6c4b66…
07-18 21:35:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	160	15¢	$24	0x8d1836…
07-18 13:29:12	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 1pt5	England	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa9fea5…
07-15 19:59:16	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x4e67d6…
07-15 17:55:28	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x78b12a…
07-11 23:51:41	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x6d109b…
07-11 21:56:43	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11 pimblett win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf9f934…
07-11 21:54:41	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x620206…
07-11 20:21:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8057f0…
07-11 20:21:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x262d02…
07-09 19:55:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4064c0…
07-09 16:45:02	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xeb12bc…
07-09 16:45:02	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8ac146…
07-07 22:39:59	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x4a6ebf…
07-05 15:24:26	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05 set 3 winner Safiullin vs Djokovic	Djokovic	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x70be60…
07-05 15:18:10	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05 set 4 winner Safiullin vs Djokovic	Safiullin	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd32989…
07-05 15:17:17	atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05	Roman Safiullin	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb562f4…
07-04 15:41:34	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte1	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x1c5575…
07-04 00:07:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0xace47b…
06-29 20:01:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xf65a35…
06-29 19:54:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals deniz undav gte1	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6c3765…
06-29 19:54:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals deniz undav gte2	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x9bd29f…
06-28 19:09:07	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9a003c…
06-25 19:33:07	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 goals nadiem amiri gte1	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf95ea4…
06-25 18:26:37	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 goals deniz undav gte1	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xecff86…
06-23 20:54:50	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe79ea7…
06-22 19:57:40	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x4d1afd…
06-22 16:40:02	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd26e19…
06-21 16:16:20	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa7f912…
06-21 12:03:26	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe06b6b…
06-21 12:02:29	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x336481…
06-21 12:01:56	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa484b1…
06-21 12:01:34	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc8db10…
06-21 12:00:56	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2bf2dd…
06-20 21:46:16	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	156	30¢	$47	0x382acb…
06-20 21:42:14	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x6e2426…
06-20 21:36:46	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals deniz undav gte1	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x0dca87…
06-20 20:34:22	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xae9dcf…
06-20 18:22:41	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals deniz undav gte1	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x94589c…
06-20 18:19:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals cody gakpo gte3	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x99ad05…
06-20 01:55:35	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x7ece08…
06-20 01:49:43	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x404db4…
06-20 01:17:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9c8d5d…
06-20 01:16:59	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9fb573…
06-20 00:46:02	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe97909…
06-20 00:14:50	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3a208a…
06-19 22:53:43	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 assists bilal el khannouss gte1	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xfd3d39…
06-19 22:06:25	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 goals bilal el khannouss gte1	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x28d2e3…
06-19 19:13:40	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xeb905d…
06-18 21:16:35	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xaa4d7c…
06-18 20:57:43	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x4d7b7d…
06-18 06:18:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5e522f…
06-17 19:54:01	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2f957d…
06-17 19:53:08	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	9¢	$5	0xb45892…
06-17 19:52:31	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x9cc50f…
06-17 19:52:05	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe343e9…
06-17 18:21:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x3e04bf…
06-17 16:32:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7fa042…
06-17 16:16:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 assists bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xda7efc…
06-16 21:28:40	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5fb85d…
06-16 21:08:44	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xb305cc…
06-16 20:37:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x70761e…
06-16 17:24:29	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	143	50¢	$72	0x7b0f39…
06-16 17:23:29	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xab29f9…
06-16 06:19:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa7ffb5…