Vague-Epoch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

510

lifetime

Volume

$2.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-08 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

36% 100% +$9

Crypto

36% 43% $-3

Other

23% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	3	$97	62	62	+0	open	—	01-26 03:13
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	3	$95	57	57	+0	open	—	01-25 23:38
btc updown 5m 1774144500	2	$77	95	0	+95	open	—	03-22 01:59
btc updown 5m 1772925900	1	$75	112	0	+112	open	—	03-07 23:28
nba lac lal 2026 02 20	2	$66	89	0	+89	open	—	02-21 05:01
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	1	$48	61	0	+61	open	—	03-03 03:50
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	6	$47	103	103	+0	open	—	02-09 01:55
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	2	$45	78	78	+0	open	—	01-27 05:12
mex pac pue 2026 03 07 pac	5	$43	83	83	+0	open	—	03-08 02:51
btc updown 5m 1772936100	1	$40	69	0	+69	open	—	03-08 02:18
btc updown 5m 1772937300	1	$40	52	0	+52	open	—	03-08 02:39
will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	2	$36	34	34	+0	open	—	02-09 01:58
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	01-29 14:52
nba orl lal 2026 02 24	1	$30	49	0	+49	open	—	02-25 05:29
nba lal chi 2026 01 26	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	01-27 03:31
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	1	$25	58	0	+58	open	—	01-29 04:01
btc updown 5m 1775248500	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	04-03 20:39
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	2	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	02-08 18:15
nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	1	$21	31	0	+31	open	—	03-11 03:29
btc updown 5m 1773808500	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	03-18 04:37
btc updown 15m 1770606900	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	02-09 03:18
nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	02-08 02:37
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 liv1	2	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-18 02:58
btc updown 5m 1776953400	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-23 14:13
btc updown 5m 1773291000	2	$19	35	0	+35	open	—	03-12 04:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 27	1	$18	28	0	+28	open	—	01-27 14:32
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	2	$17	37	37	+0	open	—	02-09 01:17
will new england face seattle in super bowl lx	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	01-26 03:55
mex pac jua 2026 02 07 pac	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	02-08 02:41
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	2	$16	22	0	+22	open	—	03-18 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:34:46	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xbf606c…
06-08 03:26:36	btc updown 5m 1780889700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x59f586…
06-08 03:26:18	btc updown 5m 1780889400	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4984d2…
06-08 03:25:31	btc updown 5m 1780889100	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcec2ca…
06-07 03:40:57	Who will finish higher: Norris or Russell?	Russell	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0df8b0…
06-07 03:40:37	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x14addc…
06-07 03:39:07	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x7f29a4…
06-07 03:38:46	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x64c01e…
06-07 03:33:03	btc updown 5m 1780803000	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe72b67…
06-07 03:29:46	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	Boston Red Sox	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3b546b…
06-04 14:16:45	btc updown 5m 1780582500	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x68a104…
06-04 14:15:16	mlb bal bos 2026 06 04	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x93c3c5…
06-04 14:15:03	mlb cle nyy 2026 06 04	New York Yankees	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc5329b…
06-03 05:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xce596e…
06-02 21:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa3badc…
06-02 20:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc9b610…
06-02 20:56:02	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x27b244…
06-02 20:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcd9ec4…
06-02 20:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x77841b…
06-02 04:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xb8beca…
05-30 22:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x447d6b…
05-30 05:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4511f3…
05-29 23:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf121c0…
05-29 05:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x50ee62…
05-29 05:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x24fc01…
05-24 17:56:16	Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?	Norris	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf3e49a…
05-24 17:56:05	Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?	Verstappen	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4ea119…
05-24 17:55:48	Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Verstappen?	Leclerc	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1971b7…
05-24 17:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x54e0f2…
05-24 04:36:08	Who will finish higher: Norris or Verstappen?	Norris	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x09411a…
05-24 04:35:36	Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?	Russell	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x521258…
05-24 04:35:24	Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?	Norris	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5736da…
05-24 04:35:03	Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?	Leclerc	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7b2e5c…
05-24 04:34:47	Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?	Bortoleto	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa130b8…
05-24 04:34:26	Who will finish higher: Alonso or Stroll?	Alonso	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x940ae8…
05-24 04:34:21	Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?	Colapinto	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x933ba0…
05-24 04:33:16	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5fc06c…
05-24 04:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x142f08…
05-24 02:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x21bb92…
05-22 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc031c0…
05-22 14:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x529a5a…
05-22 14:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa2b845…
05-21 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6be880…
05-18 03:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xadda9a…
05-17 21:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd9675d…
05-17 21:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x75c44f…
05-17 21:38:10	San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf6dca2…
05-17 21:37:52	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x77d60f…
05-17 21:37:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x22bff8…
05-17 21:37:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x904cfe…
05-17 00:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd2bf76…
05-17 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x286f04…
05-16 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x006788…
05-16 16:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x33ce44…
05-16 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x437cde…
05-16 05:58:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1d21d9…
05-16 05:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x62d804…
05-15 19:19:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x416f74…
05-15 05:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x158378…
05-13 13:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa968e9…
05-13 03:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6b82a3…
05-12 13:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x422800…
05-10 21:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd5b823…
05-10 21:40:52	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x40ff6e…
05-10 12:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57b23c…
05-08 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xf560a0…
05-08 14:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x535adf…
05-04 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8717d7…
05-03 14:01:10	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa774ea…
05-02 18:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2e0d9c…
05-02 02:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd95d61…
05-02 01:52:54	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x3b7b42…
05-02 01:52:10	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4cb228…
05-02 01:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf6f967…
05-01 19:15:56	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xdff81a…
05-01 19:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6d489b…
05-01 04:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcc7814…
04-30 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8b010a…
04-30 03:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x25d34e…
04-29 04:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xabf11c…
04-29 03:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfb1201…
04-26 21:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0ebd0e…
04-26 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8250d7…
04-26 21:31:18	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa420cf…
04-26 21:31:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x1f79c5…
04-26 21:31:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x156ee8…
04-26 21:30:50	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xedb200…
04-26 21:30:14	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x990a8a…
04-26 21:30:06	Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe9b2c8…
04-26 21:28:50	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xee2650…
04-25 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x279e95…
04-25 17:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd16172…
04-24 05:01:32	btc updown 5m 1777006800	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe7663e…
04-23 14:22:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb3f1be…
04-23 14:22:28	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xa92725…
04-23 14:22:20	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x00e78f…
04-23 14:22:08	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9a530c…
04-23 14:21:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3e559c…
04-23 14:21:46	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x254e64…
04-23 14:21:30	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2fbb7d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	235	$629.0K	5,893	06-10 03:11
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	167	$5.16M	20,343	06-04 19:32
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	157	$1.43M	10,141	05-16 14:19
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	157	$180.4K	3,281	06-10 03:06
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	155	$5.21M	45,115	06-07 00:22
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	154	$18.5K	3,901	06-08 03:38
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	147	$61.0K	4,914	06-08 03:38
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	146	$2.79M	17,291	05-15 19:41