Vague-Epoch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

656

Trades

767

lifetime

Volume

$3.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-07 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

40% 46% +$76

Sports

29% 38% -$110

Crypto

28% 45% -$106

Politics

3% 18% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$24

Tech

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	3	$97	62	62	+0	Seahawks	+$27	01-26 03:13
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	3	$95	57	57	+0	Patriots	+$19	01-25 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 01:55 UTC	2	$77	95	0	+95	Up	+$19	03-22 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	1	$75	112	0	+112	Down	+$37	03-07 23:28
nba lac lal 2026 02 20	2	$66	89	0	+89	Lakers	+$23	02-21 05:01
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	3	$52	75	0	+75	Yes	+$23	06-11 19:06
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	1	$48	61	0	+61	Clippers	-$48	03-03 03:50
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	6	$47	103	103	+0	Seahawks	-$11	02-09 01:55
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	2	$45	78	78	+0	Yes	-$5	01-27 05:12
mex pac pue 2026 03 07 pac	5	$43	83	83	+0	Yes	-$11	03-08 02:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:15 UTC	1	$40	69	0	+69	Down	-$40	03-08 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:35 UTC	1	$40	52	0	+52	Up	+$12	03-08 02:39
will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	2	$36	34	34	+0	Yes	+$26	02-09 01:58
Buccaneers vs. Jaguars	1	$30	50	0	+50	Jaguars	-$30	08-26 21:19
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$30	41	0	+41	Yes	-$30	01-29 14:52
nba orl lal 2026 02 24	1	$30	49	0	+49	Magic	-$30	02-25 05:29
nba lal chi 2026 01 26	2	$28	18	18	+0	Lakers	+$8	01-27 03:31
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	2	$26	51	0	+51	Yes	+$25	06-15 13:41
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	1	$25	58	0	+58	No	+$33	01-29 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:35 UTC	1	$25	39	0	+39	Up	-$25	04-03 20:39
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 draw	2	$25	39	0	+39	No	-$25	02-08 18:15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	4	$21	22	20	+3	Yes	+$6	05-30 17:51
nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	1	$21	31	0	+31	Bulls	+$10	03-11 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 04:35 UTC	1	$20	27	0	+27	Up	-$20	03-18 04:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 03:15 UTC	1	$20	27	0	+27	Up	+$7	02-09 03:18
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$20	47	0	+47	Yes	+$27	07-01 00:28
nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	1	$20	43	0	+43	Lakers	-$20	02-08 02:37
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$20	30	0	+30	Yes	+$10	06-15 13:39
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	1	$20	26	0	+26	Yes	+$6	07-11 22:55
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 liv1	2	$20	26	0	+26	Yes	+$6	03-18 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 18:04:55	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x853d35…
11-07 18:04:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x3ad52f…
11-03 21:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b0a29…
11-01 21:30:37	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x52b97d…
11-01 20:46:07	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xa40435…
11-01 20:38:36	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x93324d…
10-17 16:03:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8ea962…
10-17 15:48:59	Will Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc05ebe…
09-20 03:41:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa2f886…
09-20 03:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xda3f9c…
09-20 03:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x33273a…
09-20 03:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8bce31…
09-13 13:04:19	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x127eb1…
09-13 13:03:15	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x69d497…
09-13 13:02:54	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xfe8562…
09-13 13:01:55	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3c009e…
08-26 21:19:09	Buccaneers vs. Jaguars	Buccaneers	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7d0fb8…
08-16 17:03:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x85f234…
08-16 17:03:43	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4cdb0b…
08-16 17:03:37	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0f699f…
08-16 17:03:27	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8b575d…
08-16 17:03:19	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xfd799f…
08-16 17:03:01	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0404d6…
08-16 17:03:00	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd3a128…
08-07 15:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x61f88e…
08-07 15:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd8167b…
07-31 21:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1bf32f…
07-31 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc4253c…
07-27 11:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa44e4a…
07-27 11:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8ec114…
07-19 21:22:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xe60225…
07-19 20:17:10	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x06123c…
07-16 04:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xae0403…
07-16 04:15:26	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x9ebde7…
07-11 22:55:08	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xf8693e…
07-11 20:47:32	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0x73b63b…
07-10 14:11:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x2830ca…
07-10 03:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7e3384…
07-09 02:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xeb9598…
07-03 03:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdfca90…
07-01 00:28:47	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x448824…
06-25 04:56:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x59d528…
06-25 04:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc5295d…
06-23 22:16:40	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x386c60…
06-23 04:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x54c2d4…
06-23 04:23:44	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94984a…
06-22 12:56:23	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf5011a…
06-22 12:56:13	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb4c536…
06-22 12:56:05	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x429c82…
06-22 12:55:46	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7dd589…
06-22 12:55:37	Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x88aeab…
06-22 12:55:26	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x48033a…
06-22 12:55:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x3cd223…
06-22 12:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd5316e…
06-21 22:38:22	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x70b4f4…
06-21 22:38:14	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xee8879…
06-21 22:38:08	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc21790…
06-21 02:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5d91cd…
06-20 23:50:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe4cf1f…
06-20 23:49:59	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x01ee7b…
06-20 23:49:46	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x72557a…
06-20 23:49:34	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x62dbd6…
06-20 23:49:26	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1bfa19…
06-20 23:49:14	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x613b2f…
06-20 23:49:04	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0725ea…
06-20 23:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8cb2d5…
06-20 23:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3cb247…
06-20 13:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x69a96c…
06-20 12:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf1897d…
06-20 04:48:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4a6fbe…
06-20 04:47:56	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeed0c2…
06-20 04:47:44	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x977835…
06-20 04:47:35	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x81cf90…
06-20 04:46:35	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfdcff9…
06-20 04:46:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xf3c812…
06-20 04:46:20	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe05525…
06-20 04:46:07	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x06918f…
06-20 04:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd49999…
06-18 04:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc1f6e1…
06-17 13:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6bd583…
06-17 04:21:55	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5fb005…
06-16 03:33:22	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd371dd…
06-15 22:31:24	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3d8884…
06-15 22:30:46	Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd7fd08…
06-15 22:30:34	Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbc4760…
06-15 22:30:13	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb05e22…
06-15 22:30:01	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xcd9933…
06-15 22:29:54	Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa41365…
06-15 22:29:28	Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x24f774…
06-15 22:29:13	Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x595828…
06-15 22:29:03	Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x11b5a7…
06-15 22:28:55	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb3a11d…
06-15 22:27:51	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6cebcd…
06-15 22:27:33	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x6b0525…
06-15 13:41:30	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8ad495…
06-15 13:41:19	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc27da2…
06-15 13:41:06	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe1fff7…
06-15 13:40:49	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xca8873…
06-15 13:40:18	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b175e…
06-15 13:40:07	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbaf2c0…