Nimble-Colonialism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

292

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-26 00:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 43% $-13

Other

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	15	$23	215	205	+10	open	—	04-24 22:14
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	8	$23	24	23	+1	open	—	04-24 13:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	11	$22	55	46	+9	open	—	04-26 10:23
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	11	$22	53	52	+1	open	—	04-24 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	13	$22	162	120	+42	open	—	04-25 11:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$15	30	29	+1	open	—	04-27 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$11	62	42	+20	open	—	04-27 23:12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	04-27 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$9	19	18	+1	open	—	04-27 20:13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$9	24	23	+1	open	—	04-27 17:55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$8	24	23	+1	open	—	04-26 13:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	04-27 18:42
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$4	22	21	+1	open	—	04-25 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$3	9	8	+0	open	—	04-26 20:51
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 20:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 03:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 00:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 07:00
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 00:47:33	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x986d81…
05-26 00:45:27	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x1780f7…
05-26 00:40:09	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8fa4f3…
05-26 00:35:10	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xe7ac13…
05-26 00:32:23	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x43816a…
05-26 00:25:29	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x97fee2…
05-26 00:20:17	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xab2d2b…
05-26 00:15:14	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x54054f…
05-26 00:10:26	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc3b1df…
05-26 00:00:17	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0ee268…
05-25 01:46:15	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6fdaca…
05-25 01:40:34	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x9bd79d…
05-25 01:40:18	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x52d66f…
05-25 01:36:15	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d10ae…
05-25 00:55:14	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe04998…
05-25 00:55:14	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xcc5734…
05-25 00:40:11	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb8ea7e…
05-25 00:15:38	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xf69b93…
05-25 00:05:10	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x41fdfb…
05-24 21:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x55d06e…
05-24 21:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d0f0c…
05-24 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xb49442…
05-24 11:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x3c343f…
05-24 09:30:13	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x60c18b…
05-24 07:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x4ed319…
05-12 01:30:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xbe06fe…
05-12 01:30:40	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x486f5a…
05-11 03:30:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xdc1c5f…
05-11 03:30:17	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x46241d…
05-11 03:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x3b8dc7…
05-11 03:30:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x00a40b…
05-11 03:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x001aa1…
05-11 03:25:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x74f32f…
05-11 03:25:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x68d1fa…
05-11 03:25:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x552705…
05-11 03:25:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3d59f2…
05-11 03:21:41	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0617b8…
05-11 03:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x904d25…
05-11 03:20:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7c7bc9…
05-11 03:20:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x1ddb4b…
05-11 03:20:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x143060…
05-11 03:10:54	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf01ae6…
05-11 03:10:54	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x394f17…
05-11 03:10:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ef835…
05-11 03:05:47	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc5e37…
05-11 03:05:30	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xb5ba7f…
05-11 03:05:19	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa79136…
05-11 03:05:12	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0997d5…
05-11 03:00:36	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x80b799…
05-11 03:00:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe9035a…
05-11 03:00:27	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x17d937…
05-11 02:55:26	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x18f4f3…
05-11 02:55:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x12cad3…
05-11 02:55:23	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7bbb77…
05-11 02:50:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x421402…
05-11 02:45:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbea29a…
05-11 02:40:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7369d6…
05-11 02:40:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x729973…
05-11 02:40:34	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa42f20…
05-11 02:40:23	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x49dda7…
05-11 02:35:38	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x99347f…
05-11 02:35:36	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xb65c5b…
05-11 02:35:36	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4f4dea…
05-11 02:35:36	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x084231…
05-11 02:31:42	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x620bb7…
05-11 02:31:10	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbbcd08…
05-11 02:31:10	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x870ba8…
05-11 02:25:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd86d46…
05-11 02:25:29	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x26b481…
05-11 02:20:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcc4c98…
05-11 02:20:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xa7cdd7…
05-11 02:20:37	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a70d3…
05-11 02:15:16	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xba6b7a…
05-11 02:05:32	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x68b0c2…
05-11 02:05:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x478786…
05-11 02:01:20	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef422a…
05-11 02:01:18	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x93c3be…
05-11 01:55:14	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x879883…
05-11 01:35:17	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x39812d…
05-11 01:30:28	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x68afc9…
05-09 15:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xebf8a1…
05-09 03:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x65151e…
05-08 23:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7b088e…
05-08 20:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x34af29…
05-08 20:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc80e25…
05-08 20:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa73432…
05-08 20:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xb853e4…
05-08 20:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8c5dce…
05-08 19:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd009e0…
05-08 19:40:11	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2b82e8…
05-08 19:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8d1207…
05-08 19:30:12	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x46e4b0…
05-08 19:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfadd66…
05-08 19:24:05	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7673b6…
05-08 19:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x05d7f4…
05-08 19:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbba45c…
05-08 19:15:32	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8a5568…
05-08 19:15:32	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x6a6836…
05-08 19:15:11	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x08c976…
05-08 19:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x727832…